Barcelona vs Racing Santander Prediction

Barcelona
7-2
Finished
HT 4-1
Racing Santander
Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona 16/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
52%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
2.15
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseHighGap+6.7%
Barcelona Rest
3 days
Racing Santander Rest
4 days

Barcelona vs Racing Santander: result, form and history

Barcelona beat Racing Santander 7-2 in the La Liga on 16 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barcelona had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Racing Santander.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
95%1.08
X
3%13.50
2
2%26.00
Double Chance
1X
98%1.01
X2
5%8.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.63
No
52%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.44 + 0.78 = 3.22
Over 1.5
83%1.02
Over 2.5
62%1.07
Over 3.5
45%1.28
Under 1.5
17%17.00
Under 2.5
38%6.50
Under 3.5
55%3.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.7 + 2.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.17
Over 9.5
55%1.33
Over 10.5
48%1.56
Under 8.5
30%4.28
Under 9.5
45%2.96
Under 10.5
52%2.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
43%2.16
Over 4.5
24%3.60
Under 3.5
57%1.66
Under 4.5
76%1.26

Match Events

8'João CanceloAssist: Lamine Yamal
22'Pedro FelipeFoul
25'Raphinha(Penalty)
30'M. GueyeAssist: Asier Villalibre
36'Asier VillalibreOG
42'RaphinhaAssist: Dani Olmo
45'Lamine Yamal(Penalty missed)
45'Joan García INW. Szczęsny out
45+5'Lamine YamalFoul
59'Asier Villalibre INIñigo Vicente out
59'Pedro Felipe INIker Luque out
59'Juan Carlos Arana INM. Zabiri out
60'K. AdeyemiFoul
60'M. ZabiriFoul
61'Rodri INMarc Bernal out
61'Pedri INGavi out
65'M. Zabiri
67'Raphinha(Penalty)
69'Raphinha INGabriel Jesus out
69'João CanceloFoul
78'João Cancelo INAlejandro Balde out
78'Íñigo Sainz-Maza ING. Guliashvili out
79'Gabriel JesusAssist: Lamine Yamal
86'Facundo González INJorge Salinas out
89'Lamine YamalAssist: K. Adeyemi

Lineups

Barcelona
4-3-3Coach: H. Flick
Racing Santander
4-1-3-2Coach: José Alberto López
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.11
Joan García5.61J. García
Eric García6.524E. García
A. Christensen6.315A. Christensen
Gerard Martín6.118G. Martín
João Cancelo7.02J. Cancelo
Dani Olmo7.720D. Olmo
Rodri7.216Rodri
Pedri6.98Pedri
Lamine Yamal9.010L. Yamal
Raphinha8.211Raphinha
K. Adeyemi7.714K. Adeyemi
Julen Agirrezabala6.113J. Agirrezabala
Manu Hernando5.64M. Hernando
Pedro Felipe5.122P. Felipe
Facundo González5.716F. González
Aarón Martín5.53A. Martín
M. Prati5.918M. Prati
Sergio Canales6.320S. Canales
M. Gueye6.714M. Gueye
Íñigo Sainz-Maza6.26Í. Sainz-Maza
Asier Villalibre6.112A. Villalibre
Juan Carlos Arana6.29J. Carlos Arana

Barcelona Substitutes

5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
22Marc Bernal61'for Rodri6.1
12X. Espart
17A. Gordon
23J. Koundé
25D. Livaković
7Fermín
6Gavi61'for Pedri6.7
29H. Abdelkarim
13W. Szczęsny45'for Joan García5.0
9Gabriel Jesus69'for Raphinha79'7.4
3Alejandro Balde78'for João Cancelo6.5

Racing Santander Substitutes

31Laro Gómez
24J. Belocian
15Pablo García
7G. Guliashvili78'for Íñigo Sainz-Maza6.4
19Iker Luque59'for Pedro Felipe6.4
2Álvaro Mantilla
23Iván Martín
5Pablo Ramón
17Jorge Salinas86'for Facundo González5.5
10Iñigo Vicente59'for Asier Villalibre6.8
21M. Zabiri59'for Juan Carlos Arana60'65'7.3

Match Stats

BarcelonaRacing Santander
69%Ball Possession31%
18Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards2
30Total Shots5
9Shots on Goal3
15Shots off Goal2
23Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box0
6Blocked Shots0
10Fouls13
3Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
646Total Passes288
589Passes Accurate226
12Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

BarcelonaBarcelona
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
2068Elo Rating 1679
3.41Attack 1.13
1.44Defense 1.38
64%Hit Rate 42%
16.3Shots per Game 14.9
7.2Shots on Target 4.8
4.4Corners per Game 6.0
1.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+389 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

BarcelonaBarcelona
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

BarcelonaBarcelona1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Racing SantanderRacing Santander0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Copa del Rey15/01/2026
Racing SantanderBarcelona
02

Recent Form

BarcelonaBarcelona
9W0D1L
13/09/2026
LevanteBarcelona
24
W
09/09/2026
BarcelonaFeyenoord
51
W
06/09/2026
ValenciaBarcelona
05
W
31/08/2026
BarcelonaRayo Vallecano
52
W
27/08/2026
BarcelonaAthletic Club
20
W
23/08/2026
ElcheBarcelona
05
W
19/08/2026
BarcelonaAl Ahly
21
W
16/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Barcelona
25
W
08/08/2026
UdineseBarcelona
10
L
08/08/2026
BarcelonaNottingham Forest
10
W
Racing SantanderRacing Santander
3W1D6L
12/09/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
21
W
05/09/2026
Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander
32
L
28/08/2026
Racing SantanderElche
32
W
23/08/2026
GetafeRacing Santander
10
L
16/08/2026
Racing SantanderVillarreal
22
D
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderAlaves
6171
L
07/08/2026
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
41
W
01/08/2026
WolvesRacing Santander
30
L
29/07/2026
Racing SantanderAthletic Club
03
L
24/07/2026
OsasunaRacing Santander
20
L

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona12110148:13+3533WWLWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid12100231:10+2130WWWWW
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1291223:10+1328LWWWW
4Real BetisReal Betis1282220:15+526WWDLW
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1271421:20+122WLWWW
6SevillaSevilla1253417:19-218DLWLD
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1144315:11+416WWLDD
8VillarrealVillarreal1243517:15+215WLWDL
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1236315:14+115DWLDL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1242617:30-1314WLWLD
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1227310:10013DLDWD
12AlavesAlaves1234515:17-213DLDLL
13EspanyolEspanyol1233613:14-112DWLLD
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1133515:21-612WLDDD
15GetafeGetafe123368:18-1012LWLDL
16OsasunaOsasuna1233612:23-1112DLLWL
17LevanteLevante1225516:21-511DLLWD
18ElcheElche1224614:20-610LLWDD
19ValenciaValencia122378:20-129LWLDD
20MalagaMalaga120579:23-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona1248:1333
2Real MadridReal Madrid1231:1030
3Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1223:1028
4Real BetisReal Betis1220:1526
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1221:2022
6SevillaSevilla1217:1918
7Athletic ClubAthletic Club1115:1116
8VillarrealVillarreal1217:1515
9Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1215:1415
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander1217:3014
11Celta VigoCelta Vigo1210:1013
12AlavesAlaves1215:1713
13EspanyolEspanyol1213:1412
14Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1115:2112
15GetafeGetafe128:1812
16OsasunaOsasuna1212:2312
17LevanteLevante1216:2111
18ElcheElche1214:2010
19ValenciaValencia128:209
20MalagaMalaga129:235
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Barcelona vs Racing Santander forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barcelona and Racing Santander in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Barcelona are 1st and Racing Santander 10th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Barcelona 48-13, Racing Santander 17-30. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barcelona have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Barcelona and Racing Santander have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.