Rosenborg vs Sandefjord Prediction

Rosenborg
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sandefjord
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim·Christian Moen 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalSOLIDModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Rosenborg Rest
7 days
Sandefjord Rest
10 days

Rosenborg vs Sandefjord: the result in context

Rosenborg and Sandefjord drew 1-1 in the Eliteserien on 10 Oct 2026. Rosenborg had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for Sandefjord.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Rosenborg tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.0 for Sandefjord.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.34
X
19%5.13
2
13%7.03
Double Chance
1X
87%1.09
X2
32%3.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.57
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.87 = 2.87
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
65%1.36
Over 3.5
43%1.98
Under 1.5
16%6.50
Under 2.5
35%2.90
Under 3.5
57%1.81
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.14
Over 9.5
52%1.27
Over 10.5
43%1.50
Under 8.5
36%3.89
Under 9.5
48%3.14
Under 10.5
57%2.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
54%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

4'Penalty confirmedAmin Chiakha
5'Amin Chiakha(Penalty)
20'Amin ChiakhaFoul
44'Ole SelnaesFoul
45'Tobias BorkeeietFoul
51'Tobias Borkeeiet
56'Nemcik TomasFoul
60'Penalty cancelledEvangelos Patoulidis
61'Ole Selnaes
62'Evangelos Patoulidis INBendik Slotfeldt Berntsen out
63'Noah Sahsah INSimen Bolkan Nordli out
63'Jonas Svensson INAslak Fonn Witry out
67'Martin Hellan INFredrik Carson Pedersen out
67'Gustav Højbjerg INVetle Walle Egeli out
73'Vetle Walle EgeliAssist: Sander Risan Mörk
78'Mathias Ullereng Kjolo INDavid Duris out
80'Ervin Gigovic INJakob Vester Nielsen out
80'Jakob Maslo Dunsby INEdvard Sundbö Pettersen out
87'Mads Bomholt INIver Fossum out
87'Nemcik Tomas INMark Mampassi out

Lineups

Rosenborg
4-4-2Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Sandefjord
4-3-3Coach: Andreas Tegström
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.65
L. Wahlstedt6.61L. Wahlstedt
J. Svensson6.722J. Svensson
M. Ceïde7.54M. Ceïde
T. Nemčík6.421T. Nemčík
A. Pereira7.419A. Pereira
N. Sahsah6.311N. Sahsah
M. Bomholt6.617M. Bomholt
O. Selnæs6.010O. Selnæs
M. Kjølø6.56M. Kjølø
Amin Chiakha6.818A. Chiakha
E. Ceïde7.035E. Ceïde
E. Hadaya8.230E. Hadaya
M. Hellan6.12M. Hellan
R. Holten6.513R. Holten
X. Lambrix6.944X. Lambrix
G. Højbjerg6.25G. Højbjerg
E. Gigović6.410E. Gigović
T. Børkeeiet5.88T. Børkeeiet
S. Mørk7.26S. Mørk
E. Patoulidis6.57E. Patoulidis
S. Mathisen6.624S. Mathisen
J. Dunsby6.427J. Dunsby

Rosenborg Substitutes

16A. Witry63'for Jonas Svensson7.0
3T. Solheim
29D. Ďuriš78'for Mathias Ullereng Kjolo6.2
8I. Fossum87'for Mads Bomholt6.4
9D. Islamović
23M. Mampassi87'for Nemcik Tomas6.3
15J. Mortensen
7S. Nordli63'for Noah Sahsah7.2
12R. Sandberg

Sandefjord Substitutes

19Bendik Berntsen62'for Evangelos Patoulidis6.8
3V. Egeli67'for Gustav Højbjerg73'7.8
1A. Grønneberg
16H. Krogelien
4F. Pedersen67'for Martin Hellan6.7
14E. Pettersen80'for Jakob Maslo Dunsby6.3
31H. B. Skretteberg
37J. Vester80'for Ervin Gigovic6.0

Match Stats

RosenborgSandefjord
58%Ball Possession42%
7Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards1
21Total Shots8
10Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots0
16Fouls14
1Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves9
524Total Passes376
437Passes Accurate302
14Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

RosenborgRosenborg
SandefjordSandefjord
1766Elo Rating 1605
2.75Attack 1.20
2.50Defense 1.81
81%Hit Rate 36%
19.8Shots per Game 14.8
7.6Shots on Target 5.2
7.1Corners per Game 3.0
2.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+161 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RosenborgRosenborg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
SandefjordSandefjord
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RosenborgRosenborg5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
SandefjordSandefjord2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien18/04/2026
SandefjordRosenborg
00
Eliteserien29/10/2025
RosenborgSandefjord
11
Eliteserien06/07/2025
SandefjordRosenborg
20
Eliteserien29/09/2024
SandefjordRosenborg
01
Eliteserien01/04/2024
RosenborgSandefjord
20
Eliteserien12/11/2023
SandefjordRosenborg
32
Eliteserien23/04/2023
RosenborgSandefjord
11
Eliteserien12/08/2022
SandefjordRosenborg
25
Eliteserien16/05/2022
RosenborgSandefjord
30
Eliteserien24/10/2021
RosenborgSandefjord
41

Recent Form

RosenborgRosenborg
8W0D2L
03/10/2026
RosenborgOstersunds FK
20
W
19/09/2026
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
13
W
16/09/2026
FløyaRosenborg
14
W
12/09/2026
RosenborgTromso
53
W
05/09/2026
RosenborgHam-Kam
40
W
30/08/2026
Bodo/GlimtRosenborg
42
L
22/08/2026
National KamerateneRosenborg
09
W
14/08/2026
RosenborgViking
21
W
09/08/2026
LillestromRosenborg
02
W
02/08/2026
BrannRosenborg
32
L

Referee Profile

Christian Moen88 matches

3.26Cards per match
3.18Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
18.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Christian Moen3.26
Other referees3.33

3.26 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.33).

Cards come from 65 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde23124752:35+1740WDLWW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad23851028:36-829LDDDL
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2352:3540
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2328:3629
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rosenborg vs Sandefjord forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosenborg and Sandefjord in the Eliteserien table

The table shows a wide gap: Rosenborg are 4th in the Eliteserien, while Sandefjord sit 13th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Rosenborg 46-31, Sandefjord 22-31. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.