Rosenborg vs Tromso Prediction

Rosenborg
5-3
Finished
HT 4-0
Tromso
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim·T. Hansen 12/09/2026
RosenborgRosenborg
5-3
Finished
TromsoTromso

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+0.9%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Rosenborg Rest
7 days
Tromso Rest
5 days

Rosenborg vs Tromso: result, form and history

Rosenborg beat Tromso 5-3 in the Eliteserien on 12 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Rosenborg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Tromso.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Rosenborg tend to win more corners, 6.2 a game to 2.8 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.65
X
29%3.90
2
25%4.82
Double Chance
1X
75%1.17
X2
54%2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.62
No
40%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 1.29 = 3.01
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
62%1.65
Over 3.5
38%2.55
Under 1.5
16%4.40
Under 2.5
38%2.21
Under 3.5
62%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
68%1.27
Over 9.5
56%1.48
Over 10.5
44%1.76
Under 8.5
32%3.25
Under 9.5
44%2.36
Under 10.5
56%1.98
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
25%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
75%-

Match Events

3'Ole Selnaes
5'Amin Chiakha
34'Noah Sahsah
42'Vegard ErlienFoul
43'Aslak Fonn WitryAssist: Ole Selnaes
45'Sander Håvik Innvær INIsak·Dahlqvist out
47'Noah SahsahAssist: Mads Bomholt
49'David EdvardssonFoul
60'David Edvardsson INLars Olden Larsen out
60'Morten Bjorlo INJesper Andreas Grundt out
66'Emil Konradsen Ceide INMathias Ullereng Kjolo out
70'Vegard Erlien INTroy Engseth Nyhammer out
71'Troy Engseth NyhammerAssist: Heine Asen Larsen
73'Leopold WahlstedtFoul
75'Simen Bolkan Nordli INDavid Duris out
75'Amin Chiakha INMaciej Soboczynski out
75'Heine Asen Larsen(Penalty)
75'Aslak Fonn Witry INJonas Sogaard Mortensen out
77'Ole SelnaesOG
81'Noah Sahsah INTobias Solheim Dahl out
86'Maciej SoboczynskiFoul
88'Leon Hien INVince Osuji out
90+3'Vince OsujiFoul

Lineups

Rosenborg
4-4-2Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: J. Vik
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.00
L. Wahlstedt6.61L. Wahlstedt
A. Witry7.216A. Witry
M. Ceïde6.64M. Ceïde
T. Nemčík5.721T. Nemčík
A. Pereira6.419A. Pereira
N. Sahsah8.511N. Sahsah
M. Bomholt6.817M. Bomholt
O. Selnæs7.510O. Selnæs
S. Nordli6.17S. Nordli
Amin Chiakha8.118A. Chiakha
E. Ceïde6.535E. Ceïde
J. Haugaard6.51J. Haugaard
A. Warneryd5.229A. Warneryd
I. Vådebu6.230I. Vådebu
L. Hien5.921L. Hien
M. Jatta5.733M. Jatta
S. Innvær5.637S. Innvær
D. Edvardsson5.95D. Edvardsson
R. Jenssen6.311R. Jenssen
M. Bjørlo5.670M. Bjørlo
V. Erlien6.415V. Erlien
H. Larsen7.322H. Larsen

Rosenborg Substitutes

3T. Solheim81'for Noah Sahsah6.1
29D. Ďuriš75'for Simen Bolkan Nordli6.5
6M. Kjølø66'for Emil Konradsen Ceide6.2
23M. Mampassi
15J. Mortensen75'for Aslak Fonn Witry6.3
14J. Reitan-Sunde
12R. Sandberg
30M. Soboczynski75'for Amin Chiakha86'6.4
5H. Volden

Tromso Substitutes

17I. Dahlqvist45'for Sander Håvik Innvær5.5
7L. Olden Larsen60'for David Edvardsson6.3
12O. Lauvli
27M. Mikkelsen
10T. Nyhammer70'for Vegard Erlien71'6.6
24V. Osuji88'for Leon Hien90+3'5.1
8J. Grundt60'for Morten Bjorlo6.0
19L. Olden Larsen60'for David Edvardsson6.3
40Elias Molund

Match Stats

RosenborgTromso
54%Ball Possession46%
4Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots14
10Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
19Fouls12
6Goalkeeper Saves5
494Total Passes418
378Passes Accurate291
12Free Kicks18

Team Comparison

RosenborgRosenborg
TromsoTromso
1768Elo Rating 1622
2.26Attack 1.19
2.40Defense 0.57
63%Hit Rate 23%
19.7Shots per Game 11.1
6.3Shots on Target 2.6
6.2Corners per Game 2.8
2.7Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+146 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RosenborgRosenborg
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TromsoTromso
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

RosenborgRosenborg5Wins · 50%
Draws00%
TromsoTromso5Wins · 50%
3.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien06/04/2026
TromsoRosenborg
20
Eliteserien22/11/2025
TromsoRosenborg
10
Eliteserien27/07/2025
RosenborgTromso
41
Eliteserien04/08/2024
RosenborgTromso
10
Eliteserien20/05/2024
TromsoRosenborg
32
Eliteserien03/09/2023
TromsoRosenborg
31
Eliteserien16/07/2023
RosenborgTromso
21
Eliteserien28/08/2022
TromsoRosenborg
43
Eliteserien23/07/2022
RosenborgTromso
30
Eliteserien12/09/2021
RosenborgTromso
32

Referee Profile

T. Hansen126 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.36Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

T. Hansen3.50
Other referees3.28

3.50 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14AalesundAalesund2645:6024
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rosenborg vs Tromso forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosenborg and Tromso in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Rosenborg are 3rd and Tromso 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Rosenborg 53-32, Tromso 43-40. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rosenborg have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.