Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam Prediction

Rosenborg
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ham-Kam
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim·Marius Lien, Norway 05/09/2026
RosenborgRosenborg
4-0
Finished
Ham-KamHam-Kam

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.48
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Rosenborg Rest
6 days
Ham-Kam Rest
5 days

Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam: result, form and history

Rosenborg beat Ham-Kam 4-0 in the Eliteserien on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Rosenborg have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Referee Marius Lien averages 2.69 cards a game, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.33
X
23%5.15
2
16%8.00
Double Chance
1X
84%1.08
X2
39%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.73
No
41%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 1.18 = 3.17
Over 1.5
86%1.14
Over 2.5
67%1.48
Over 3.5
45%2.20
Under 1.5
14%5.42
Under 2.5
33%2.52
Under 3.5
55%1.64
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.21
Over 9.5
54%1.39
Over 10.5
43%1.65
Under 8.5
35%3.70
Under 9.5
46%2.65
Under 10.5
57%2.07
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.3 = 2.6
Over 3.5
27%-
Over 4.5
13%-
Under 3.5
73%-
Under 4.5
87%-

Match Events

1'E. K. Ceide
22'Markus JohnsgardFoul
45+1'Blerton IsufiFoul
46'B. Isufi INF. Sjolstad out
52'N. SahsahAssist: A. Chiakha
60'A. ChiakhaAssist: E. K. Ceide
65'A. Pereira INT. Dahl out
65'S. Nordli INM. Kjolo out
65'A. Trondsen INA. Andresen out
65'D. Moreira IND. Al Saed out
73'N. Sahsah IND. Duris out
76'A. ChiakhaAssist: T. Dahl
77'M. Johnsgard INW. Osnes-Ringen out
81'T. Nemcik INM. Mampassi out
81'A. Chiakha INM. Soboczynski out
81'M. Ofkir IND. Benjamin out

Lineups

Rosenborg
4-4-2Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Ham-Kam
5-3-2Coach: Thomas Myhre
Avg rating7.49
Avg rating6.21
L. Wahlstedt7.21L. Wahlstedt
A. F. Witry7.316A. F. Witry
M. K. Ceide7.54M. K. Ceide
T. Nemcik7.721T. Nemcik
A. Pereira7.219A. Pereira
N. Sahsah7.211N. Sahsah
M. Bomholt7.717M. Bomholt
O. SelnaesC8.910O. Selnaes
S. Nordli6.97S. Nordli
A. Chiakha9.518A. Chiakha
E. K. Ceide8.935E. K. Ceide
M. Sandberg6.212M. Sandberg
P. Metcalfe5.926P. Metcalfe
S. Nilsen5.922S. Nilsen
L. MaresC5.714L. Mares
E. Amundsen-Day5.93E. Amundsen-Day
V. Jonsson5.37V. Jonsson
B. Isufi6.729B. Isufi
A. Trondsen6.716A. Trondsen
M. Johnsgard6.28M. Johnsgard
D. Moreira6.018D. Moreira
M. Ofkir6.211M. Ofkir

Rosenborg Substitutes

12R. Sandberg
15J. Mortensen
23M. Mampassi81'for T. Nemcik6.6
3T. Dahl65'for A. Pereira7.9
5H. Volden
6M. Kjolo65'for S. Nordli6.6
20A. Borgersen
29D. Duris73'for N. Sahsah6.3
30M. Soboczynski81'for A. Chiakha6.5

Ham-Kam Substitutes

13S. Ostraat
27J. Barros
23F. Sjolstad46'for B. Isufi6.2
5A. Andresen65'for A. Trondsen6.5
10L. Mettler
6W. Osnes-Ringen77'for M. Johnsgard6.6
28D. Benjamin81'for M. Ofkir6.7
19H. Udahl
24D. Al Saed65'for D. Moreira6.7

Match Stats

RosenborgHam-Kam
65%Ball Possession35%
6Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots5
8Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
10Fouls12
4Offsides5
1Goalkeeper Saves4
626Total Passes327
536Passes Accurate242
86%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

RosenborgRosenborg
Ham-KamHam-Kam
1768Elo Rating 1580
2.26Attack 1.56
2.40Defense 1.03
63%Hit Rate 37%
19.7Shots per Game 13.0
6.3Shots on Target 2.7
6.2Corners per Game 4.1
2.7Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RosenborgRosenborg
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ham-KamHam-Kam
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

RosenborgRosenborg5Wins · 63%
Draws112%
Ham-KamHam-Kam2Wins · 25%
2.6Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien28/09/2025
Ham-KamRosenborg
40
Eliteserien13/07/2025
RosenborgHam-Kam
20
Eliteserien10/11/2024
Ham-KamRosenborg
02
Eliteserien14/04/2024
RosenborgHam-Kam
10
Eliteserien20/08/2023
Ham-KamRosenborg
30
Eliteserien04/06/2023
RosenborgHam-Kam
40
Eliteserien06/08/2022
RosenborgHam-Kam
21
Eliteserien22/05/2022
Ham-KamRosenborg
11

Referee Profile

Marius Lien118 matches

2.69Cards per match
2.55Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Lien2.69
Other referees3.42

2.69 cards a match, 0.73 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.42).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking26202469:27+4262WLWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt26202463:23+4062WWLWW
3RosenborgRosenborg26144853:32+2146WWWWD
4LillestromLillestrom26143939:35+445WWWWD
5MoldeMolde26135864:44+2044DLWWD
6TromsoTromso26117843:40+340LLLDD
7BrannBrann261031347:44+333DWLLL
8ValerengaValerenga26951243:47-432LWWWL
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF26871132:42-1031LLWLW
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo26871133:46-1331LDDDW
11Ham-KamHam-Kam26861238:53-1530WDLLW
12FredrikstadFredrikstad26861231:46-1530DLLLD
13SandefjordSandefjord26771231:39-828DWLLD
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK26751430:51-2126WWDLL
15AalesundAalesund26591245:60-1524LLLWL
16StartStart26541727:59-3219LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2669:2762
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2663:2362
3RosenborgRosenborg2653:3246
4LillestromLillestrom2639:3545
5MoldeMolde2664:4444
6TromsoTromso2643:4040
7BrannBrann2647:4433
8ValerengaValerenga2643:4732
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2632:4231
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2633:4631
11Ham-KamHam-Kam2638:5330
12FredrikstadFredrikstad2631:4630
13SandefjordSandefjord2631:3928
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2630:5126
15AalesundAalesund2645:6024
16StartStart2627:5919
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rosenborg vs Ham-Kam forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosenborg and Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Rosenborg are 3rd and Ham-Kam 11th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Rosenborg 53-32, Ham-Kam 38-53. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rosenborg have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.