Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg·Christian Moen, Norway 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+11.9%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
8 days
Sandefjord Rest
8 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord: result, form and history

Sandefjord beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 in the Eliteserien on 16 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Sarpsborg 08 FF had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Sandefjord.

Sarpsborg 08 FF have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.4 goals a game. Sarpsborg 08 FF tend to win more corners, 11.8 a game to 3.5 for Sandefjord.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.75
X
25%3.94
2
25%4.00
Double Chance
1X
75%1.22
X2
50%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.46
No
42%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 1.27 = 3.01
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.46
Over 3.5
32%2.21
Under 1.5
17%5.25
Under 2.5
42%2.50
Under 3.5
68%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.7 = 11.2
Over 8.5
71%1.24
Over 9.5
61%1.43
Over 10.5
51%1.71
Under 8.5
29%3.50
Under 9.5
39%2.61
Under 10.5
49%2.03
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
41%-
Over 4.5
21%-
Under 3.5
59%-
Under 4.5
79%-

Match Events

12'T. Borkeeiet
29'O. Kapskarmo
37'D. KarlsbakkAssist: S. Sorli
46'H. Krogelien ING. Hojbjerg out
50'E. Pettersen
54'E. Patoulidis INF. Apetorgbor out
57'F. ApetorgborAssist: O. Kapskarmo
65'A. Nibe INM. Opoku out
65'C. Niyukuri INV. E. Halvorsen out
65'E. Wichne INP. Reinhardsen out
75'S. Sorli INCamil Mmaee out
78'O. Kapskarmo INS. Mathisen out
81'A. Sher
86'A. Sher INN. Williams out
90'
90'E. Pettersen INJ. Swift out

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: Even Sel
Sandefjord
5-4-1Coach: Andreas Tegstrom
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.98
Leander Øy7.387L. Øy
Eirik Wichne6.332E. Wichne
Claus Niyukuri6.712C. Niyukuri
Marius Lode5.92M. Lode
Anders HiimC7.221A. Hiim
Sondre Sörli7.610S. Sörli
Sander Christiansen7.28S. Christiansen
Aimar Sher6.36A. Sher
Olaus Skarsem7.977O. Skarsem
Daniel Karlsbakk7.511D. Karlsbakk
Andreas Hansen7.333A. Hansen
Elias Hadaya8.330E. Hadaya
Fredrik Carson Pedersen6.64F. Carson Pedersen
Hakon Krogelien6.916H. Krogelien
Tobias Borkeeiet7.28T. Borkeeiet
Xander Lambrix7.244X. Lambrix
Vetle Walle Egeli6.93V. Walle Egeli
Evangelos Patoulidis6.27E. Patoulidis
Edvard Pettersen7.214E. Pettersen
Sander Risan MörkC6.36S. Risan Mörk
Jakob Maslo Dunsby7.027J. Maslo Dunsby
Oscar Kapskarmo7.99O. Kapskarmo

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

20Peter Reinhardsen65'for E. Wichne7.3
22Victor Emanuel Halvorsen65'for C. Niyukuri6.7
15Michael Opoku65'for A. Nibe6.2
1Jacob Pryts
50Magnus Mevik Eidal
56Mads Olsen
18Bop Guèye
17Noa Williams86'for A. Sher
7Camil Mmaee75'for S. Sorli6.3

Sandefjord Substitutes

5Gustav Højbjerg46'for H. Krogelien6.6
17Foster Apetorgbor54'for E. Patoulidis57'7.2
1Alf Grønneberg
2Martin Hellan
18Mathias Sauer
19Bendik Berntsen
21Jakob Swift
24Sebastian Holm Mathisen78'for O. Kapskarmo6.2
32Daniel Skaarud

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFSandefjord
55%Ball Possession45%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
20Total Shots18
5Shots on Goal9
7Shots off Goal7
14Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box7
8Blocked Shots2
12Fouls12
3Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves4
477Total Passes392
383Passes Accurate318
80%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
SandefjordSandefjord
1612Elo Rating 1568
2.21Attack 0.58
1.32Defense 1.41
81%Hit Rate 14%
22.9Shots per Game 16.2
6.2Shots on Target 3.4
11.8Corners per Game 3.5
2.0Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SandefjordSandefjord
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
SandefjordSandefjord3Wins · 30%
4.4Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien22/03/2026
SandefjordSarpsborg 08 FF
02
Eliteserien14/09/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFSandefjord
21
Eliteserien26/07/2025
SandefjordSarpsborg 08 FF
32
NM Cupen07/05/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFSandefjord
31
Eliteserien04/08/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFSandefjord
21
Eliteserien12/05/2024
SandefjordSarpsborg 08 FF
41
Eliteserien06/08/2023
SandefjordSarpsborg 08 FF
51
Eliteserien02/07/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFSandefjord
61
Eliteserien02/10/2022
SandefjordSarpsborg 08 FF
11
Eliteserien03/07/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFSandefjord
43

Recent Form

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
21
L
02/08/2026
MoldeSarpsborg 08 FF
33
D
26/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
10
W
18/07/2026
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
00
D
12/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
W
29/05/2026
BrannSarpsborg 08 FF
12
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
W
16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
L
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
W
03/05/2026
LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
40
L
SandefjordSandefjord
2W2D6L
07/08/2026
SandefjordKFUM Oslo
01
L
01/08/2026
FredrikstadSandefjord
10
L
26/07/2026
SandefjordBodo/Glimt
03
L
18/07/2026
VikingSandefjord
21
L
12/07/2026
SandefjordHam-Kam
22
D
30/05/2026
MoldeSandefjord
21
L
25/05/2026
SandefjordFredrikstad
11
D
16/05/2026
LillestromSandefjord
31
L
10/05/2026
SandefjordKristiansund BK
20
W
03/05/2026
SandefjordAalesund
10
W

Referee Profile

Christian Moen88 matches

3.26Cards per match
3.18Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
18.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Christian Moen3.26
Other referees3.33

3.26 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.33).

Cards come from 65 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Sandefjord in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th and Sandefjord 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 32-39, Sandefjord 26-34. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarpsborg 08 FF have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.