Fredrikstad vs Tromso Prediction

Fredrikstad
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Tromso
Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad·Ola Hobber Nilsen 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Fredrikstad Rest
21 days
Tromso Rest
20 days

Fredrikstad vs Tromso: result, form and history

Fredrikstad and Tromso drew 1-1 in the Eliteserien on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tromso have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.79
X
27%3.40
2
38%2.39
Double Chance
1X
62%1.53
X2
66%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.65
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.43 = 2.76
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.86
Over 3.5
30%3.10
Under 1.5
24%3.65
Under 2.5
48%1.95
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.46
Over 9.5
52%1.81
Over 10.5
43%2.23
Under 8.5
36%2.52
Under 9.5
48%1.93
Under 10.5
57%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
26%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
74%-

Match Events

20'Max NilssonFoul
25'Bryan FiabemaFoul
26'Troy Engseth NyhammerAssist: Heine Asen Larsen
31'Vetle SkjaervikDissent
49'Morten BjorloFoul
50'Leon HienViolent conduct
54'Troy Engseth Nyhammer INVince Osuji out
60'Ulrik Tillung Fredriksen INJohannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez out
67'Fredrik HolmeAssist: Samuel Holm
70'Heine Asen Larsen INVegard Erlien out
70'Morten Bjorlo INLars Olden Larsen out
78'Liam West INBenjamin Thoresen Faraas out
78'Henrik Langaas Skogvold INGabriel Wesseh out
79'Ruben JenssenTime wasting
84'Solomon Owusu INSimen Rafn out
88'David Edvardsson INJesper Andreas Grundt out

Lineups

Fredrikstad
3-4-3Coach: Casper Röjkjaer
Tromso
5-3-2Coach: J. Vik
Avg rating6.72
Avg rating6.65
M. Børsheim7.477M. Børsheim
U. Fredriksen6.912U. Fredriksen
F. Holmé7.84F. Holmé
S. Owusu6.828S. Owusu
D. Eid6.216D. Eid
S. Leach Holm7.76S. Leach Holm
M. Nilsson6.714M. Nilsson
S. Sørløkk6.213S. Sørløkk
L. West6.111L. West
H. Skogvold6.423H. Skogvold
B. Fiabema6.518B. Fiabema
J. Haugaard6.91J. Haugaard
S. Innvær7.237S. Innvær
V. Skjærvik6.34V. Skjærvik
L. Hien5.721L. Hien
I. Vådebu6.530I. Vådebu
A. Warneryd6.629A. Warneryd
D. Edvardsson6.75D. Edvardsson
R. Jenssen6.211R. Jenssen
M. Bjørlo6.370M. Bjørlo
T. Nyhammer8.210T. Nyhammer
H. Larsen7.022H. Larsen

Fredrikstad Substitutes

7B. Thoresen78'for Liam West6.5
21J. Jezierski
9S. Laghzaoui
24L. Owusu
5S. Rafn84'for Solomon Owusu6.3
30J. Torkildsen
10J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez60'for Ulrik Tillung Fredriksen6.9
29G. Wesseh78'for Henrik Langaas Skogvold6.4
27Chris Irénée Ntamack Pondy

Tromso Substitutes

7L. Olden Larsen70'for Morten Bjorlo6.6
12O. Lauvli
27M. Mikkelsen
24V. Osuji54'for Troy Engseth Nyhammer6.8
33M. Jatta
15V. Erlien70'for Heine Asen Larsen6.5
17I. Dahlqvist
9D. Braut
8J. Grundt88'for David Edvardsson6.4

Match Stats

FredrikstadTromso
66%Ball Possession34%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
26Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box10
13Shots Outside Box1
12Blocked Shots2
10Fouls9
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
782Total Passes400
706Passes Accurate327
90%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

FredrikstadFredrikstad
TromsoTromso
1618Elo Rating 1651
1.27Attack 1.84
1.63Defense 1.24
17%Hit Rate 36%
14.2Shots per Game 14.4
3.0Shots on Target 6.4
4.6Corners per Game 3.2
2.0Cards per Game 2.9

Game State Tendencies

FredrikstadFredrikstad
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
TromsoTromso
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FredrikstadFredrikstad0Wins · 0%
Draws240%
TromsoTromso3Wins · 60%
1.6Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Eliteserien15/03/2026
TromsoFredrikstad
40
Eliteserien02/08/2025
TromsoFredrikstad
00
Eliteserien29/06/2025
FredrikstadTromso
01
Eliteserien29/05/2024
TromsoFredrikstad
30
Eliteserien25/05/2024
FredrikstadTromso
00

Referee Profile

Ola Hobber Nilsen116 matches

3.14Cards per match
3.07Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ola Hobber Nilsen3.14
Other referees3.36

3.14 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.36).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde23124752:35+1740WDLWW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad23851028:36-829LDDDL
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2352:3540
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2328:3629
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Fredrikstad vs Tromso forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fredrikstad and Tromso in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Tromso are 5th and Fredrikstad 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Fredrikstad 28-36, Tromso 43-34. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.