Gillingham vs Tranmere Prediction
England · Regular Season - 6
Priestfield Stadium, Gillingham 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
Gillingham Rest
7 days
Tranmere Rest
7 days
Gillingham vs Tranmere: the result in context
Gillingham beat Tranmere 2-0 in the League Two on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Tranmere tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.7 for Gillingham.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%2.50
X30%3.22
222%2.75
Double Chance
1X78%1.41
X252%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.74
No44%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.11 = 2.61
Over 1.576%1.30
Over 2.553%2.00
Over 3.531%3.50
Under 1.524%3.20
Under 2.547%1.77
Under 3.569%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.563%1.49
Over 9.554%1.83
Over 10.541%2.31
Under 8.537%2.42
Under 9.546%1.87
Under 10.559%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.555%-
Over 4.535%-
Under 3.545%-
Under 4.565%-
Match Events
26'Robbie McKenzieFoul
31'Nathan SmithFoul
35'Eli KingDissent
55'Harry Waldock INGarath McCleary out
58'Dylan Jones INJordan·Davies out
68'Logan DobbsAssist: Ronan Chapman Hale
70'Charlie Jay Whitaker INZane Okoro out
70'Sam Finley INTom Conlon out
76'Darrell James ClarkeDissent
79'Jacob Slater INDavid Kamara out
79'Nathan Smith INGeorge nevett out
80'Ronan Chapman HaleAssist: Garath McCleary
82'Ronan Chapman Hale INLamin Sillah out
86'Conor McManusFoul
89'Will VaulksFoul
90+2'Logan Dobbs INJack Daley out
90+4'Conor McManus INS. Kendall out
90+4'Robbie McKenzie INMichael Luxton out
Lineups
GillinghamTranmere
4-2-3-1Coach: D. ClarkeAvg ratingAvg rating
1O. Wright
5A. Smith
19O. Beckles
26L. Dobbs
22N. Freeman
14R. McKenzie
34E. King
3C. McManus
16J. Brophy
24H. Waldock
10R. Hale
1L. McGee
2J. Senior
5N. Smith
16B. Faulkner
3J. Slater
6W. Vaulks
8S. Finley
29D. Jones
10T. Ince
7C. Jay Whitaker
9J. IronsideGillingham Substitutes
11L. Sillah82'for Ronan Chapman Hale
30S. Booth
32L. Dayal
13T. Holtam
18S. Kendall90+4'for Conor McManus
27M. Luxton90+4'for Robbie McKenzie
12G. McCleary55'for Harry Waldock
Tranmere Substitutes
24David Kamara79'for Jacob Slater
15J. Davies58'for Dylan Jones
11T. Conlon70'for Sam Finley
12H. Male
30G. Nevett79'for Nathan Smith
22L. O'Connor
17Z. Okoro70'for Charlie Jay Whitaker
Match Stats
GillinghamTranmere 47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal11
9Shots Inside Box13
1Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots4
8Fouls9
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
335Total Passes369
224Passes Accurate269
7Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
GillinghamTranmere1485Elo Rating 1475
1.69Attack 1.54
0.98Defense 2.03
41%Hit Rate 46%
9.1Shots per Game 12.9
3.2Shots on Target 4.9
3.7Corners per Game 5.7
2.7Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Gillingham- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tranmere- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Gillingham3Wins · 38%Draws337%
Tranmere2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.6Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8
Previous meetings
07/02/2026GillinghamTranmere21
16/08/2025TranmereGillingham11
25/01/2025TranmereGillingham11
14/09/2024GillinghamTranmere30
09/03/2024GillinghamTranmere11
25/11/2023TranmereGillingham31
11/03/2023GillinghamTranmere20
13/08/2022TranmereGillingham30
Recent Form
Gillingham4W3D3L
05/09/2026
RochdaleGillingham
Fleetwood TownGillinghamGillingham
Luton
RochdaleGillingham14
W01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
ChesterfieldGillingham11
D29/08/2026Gillingham
Northampton
22/08/2026GillinghamNorthampton11
DFleetwood TownGillingham00
D15/08/2026Gillingham
Walsall
08/08/2026GillinghamWalsall03
LGillinghamLuton03
L31/07/2026
Ebbsfleet UnitedGillingham
Ebbsfleet UnitedGillingham12
W21/07/2026Gillingham
Millwall
GillinghamMillwall10
W18/07/2026Gillingham
Charlton
GillinghamCharlton01
L14/07/2026
DoverGillingham
DoverGillingham03
WTranmere4W4D2L
05/09/2026Tranmere
Oldham
TranmereOldham20
W01/09/2026Tranmere
Rotherham
TranmereRotherham22
D29/08/2026
Newport CountyTranmere
Newport CountyTranmere22
D22/08/2026
Port ValeTranmere
Port ValeTranmere11
D15/08/2026Tranmere
Shrewsbury
01/08/2026TranmereShrewsbury20
WTranmereRochdale1222
L18/07/2026Tranmere
Blackpool
TranmereBlackpool20
W02/05/2026Tranmere
Grimsby
TranmereGrimsby11
D25/04/2026
Milton Keynes DonsTranmere
Milton Keynes DonsTranmere30
L21/04/2026
CheltenhamTranmere
CheltenhamTranmere13
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 | WLDLW |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 13:21 | 9 |
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About the Gillingham vs Tranmere forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Gillingham and Tranmere in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Gillingham are 8th and Tranmere 11th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Gillingham 20-19, Tranmere 19-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Tranmere have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.