Saint Etienne vs Nantes Prediction

Saint Etienne
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Nantes
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne·Gael Angoula 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Saint Etienne Rest
7 days
Nantes Rest
7 days

Saint Etienne vs Nantes: the result in context

Saint Etienne beat Nantes 1-0 in the Ligue 2 on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Gael Angoula averages 3.43 cards a game, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.70
X
24%3.83
2
20%4.55
Double Chance
1X
80%1.18
X2
44%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.06 = 2.67
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.73
Over 3.5
32%2.90
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
47%2.07
Under 3.5
68%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.56
Over 9.5
43%1.94
Over 10.5
31%2.52
Under 8.5
45%2.23
Under 9.5
57%1.75
Under 10.5
69%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

10'Thomas Robinet INKillian Corredor out
45+2'Kelvin AmianFoul
53'Augustine BoakyeFoul
58'Fode DoucoureFoul
60'Fode Doucoure INFabien Centonze out
60'Ibrahima Sissoko INLouis Leroux out
62'Johann LepenantFoul
64'Ben Old INChico Lamba out
64'Irvin Cardona INThierno Ballo out
83'Igniatius Ganago INAntoine Joujou out
83'Killian Corredor INMathieu Cafaro out
83'Zuriko Davitashvili INJoshua Duffus out
84'Maxime Bernauer INMahmoud Jaber out
88'Ryad HachemArgument
88'Jakob BreumArgument
90'Augustine BoakyeAssist: Mahmoud Jaber
90+7'Augustine Boakye INNadir El Jamali out
90+9'Joshua DuffusFoul

Lineups

Saint Etienne
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Cathro
Nantes
5-3-2Coach: Grégory Poirier
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.24
Mamour Ndiaye7.01M. Ndiaye
João Ferreira7.013J. Ferreira
K. Pedro7.423K. Pedro
J. Le Cardinal7.326J. Le Cardinal
B. Old6.811B. Old
Á. Csongvai7.214Á. Csongvai
M. Bernauer6.96M. Bernauer
A. Boakye7.920A. Boakye
J. Breum6.410J. Breum
Z. Davitashvili6.222Z. Davitashvili
I. Cardona6.57I. Cardona
P. Carlgren6.130P. Carlgren
F. Doucouré6.313F. Doucouré
F. Guilbert6.724F. Guilbert
S. Sow6.24S. Sow
K. Amian5.898K. Amian
R. Hachem5.826R. Hachem
B. Pierret6.444B. Pierret
I. Sissoko6.628I. Sissoko
J. Lepenant6.28J. Lepenant
I. Ganago6.337I. Ganago
T. Robinet5.927T. Robinet

Saint Etienne Substitutes

32Adam Baallal
37N. Kasia Nkondo
5M. Jaber84'for Maxime Bernauer6.8
40L. Lavallée
17J. Duffus83'for Zuriko Davitashvili90+9'6.3
15Chico Lamba64'for Ben Old6.6
31N. El Jamali90+7'for Augustine Boakye
46E. Dhaoui
8T. Ballo64'for Irvin Cardona6.6

Nantes Substitutes

23W. Younoussa
20M. Cafaro83'replaced by Killian Corredor6.5
18F. Centonze60'for Fode Doucoure5.9
75A. Cherni
12K. Corredor10'for Thomas Robinet83'for Mathieu Cafaro6.5
1M. Dupé
7A. Joujou83'for Igniatius Ganago6.5
19Louis Leroux60'for Ibrahima Sissoko6.0
5L. Perrin

Match Stats

Saint EtienneNantes
65%Ball Possession35%
7Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards4
11Total Shots4
3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls17
5Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
642Total Passes341
561Passes Accurate254
15Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
NantesNantes
1712Elo Rating 1592
1.36Attack 0.79
2.39Defense 1.74
69%Hit Rate 17%
10.5Shots per Game 12.6
3.6Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 6.7
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NantesNantes
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne0Wins · 0%
Draws583%
NantesNantes1Wins · 17%
2.5Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Ligue 119/01/2025
Saint EtienneNantes
11
Ligue 129/09/2024
NantesSaint Etienne
22
Ligue 121/05/2022
NantesSaint Etienne
11
Ligue 122/12/2021
Saint EtienneNantes
01
Ligue 103/02/2021
Saint EtienneNantes
11
Ligue 120/09/2020
NantesSaint Etienne
22

Recent Form

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
8W1D1L
17/10/2026
RED Star FC 93Saint Etienne
01
W
10/10/2026
Saint EtienneRodez
20
W
02/10/2026
Saint EtienneFC Sion
51
W
19/09/2026
MetzSaint Etienne
22
D
12/09/2026
DunkerqueSaint Etienne
21
L
05/09/2026
Saint EtienneMontpellier
31
W
31/08/2026
DijonSaint Etienne
23
W
22/08/2026
Saint EtienneGrenoble
40
W
14/08/2026
Saint EtienneClermont Foot
31
W
08/08/2026
SochauxSaint Etienne
03
W
NantesNantes
3W2D5L
17/10/2026
NantesDunkerque
23
L
10/10/2026
NantesReims
00
D
19/09/2026
BoulogneNantes
12
W
12/09/2026
SochauxNantes
10
L
07/09/2026
NantesNancy
10
W
29/08/2026
GuingampNantes
33
D
22/08/2026
NantesRodez
25
L
14/08/2026
LavalNantes
21
L
08/08/2026
NantesRED Star FC 93
01
L
31/07/2026
NantesAl Wakrah
51
W

Referee Profile

Gael Angoula129 matches

3.43Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gael Angoula3.43
Other referees4.00

3.43 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 121 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Saint Etienne vs Nantes forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Saint Etienne and Nantes in the Ligue 2 table

The table shows a wide gap: Saint Etienne are 1st in the Ligue 2, while Nantes sit 15th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Saint Etienne 23-8, Nantes 11-17. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Saint Etienne have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.