Dijon vs Rodez Prediction

Dijon
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Rodez
Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon·Retail Pierre 24/10/2026
DijonDijon
1-2
Finished
RodezRodez

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+4.1%
Dijon Rest
7 days
Rodez Rest
4 days

Dijon vs Rodez: the result in context

Rodez beat Dijon 2-1 in the Ligue 2 on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Dijon had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Rodez.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.95
X
25%3.83
2
30%3.27
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
55%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.11 = 2.57
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.55
Over 3.5
38%2.37
Under 1.5
20%4.90
Under 2.5
41%2.41
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.59
Over 9.5
55%2.01
Over 10.5
43%2.59
Under 8.5
34%2.20
Under 9.5
45%1.73
Under 10.5
57%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

2'Antonin Cartillier
23'Yanis BarkaAssist: Boubacar Diallo
39'Raphael LipinskiFoul
55'Boubacar DialloFoul
56'Boubacar Diallo INMoussa Faty out
57'Jordan Marié INPaul Bellon out
63'Octave Joly INMathis Saka out
64'Kelian Nsona INKenny Nagera out
68'Yanis Barka INAlexis Ntamack out
71'Damjan Pavlović INJordan Mendes out
80'Steven Luyambula Biwa INCorentin Issanchou Roubiou out
80'Nachon Nsingi INMarco Essimi out
82'Samy Chouchane INHugo Vargas Ríos out
82'Ange Lago INJúlio Tavares out
88'Ryan PontiFoul
90+2'Marco EssimiAssist: Kenny Nagera

Lineups

Dijon
4-1-3-2Coach: B. Ridira
Rodez
5-3-2Coach: D. Santini
Avg rating6.54
Avg rating6.49
P. Delecroix6.616P. Delecroix
L. Lacroix6.223L. Lacroix
W. Diouf7.06W. Diouf
Q. Bernard6.75Q. Bernard
7575B. Diallo
J. Marié5.914J. Marié
2121S. Chouchane
A. Lembezat6.017A. Lembezat
B. Ndezi6.818B. Ndezi
A. Lago6.190A. Lago
Y. Barka7.610Y. Barka
Q. Braat6.81Q. Braat
S. Luyambula Biwa6.828S. Luyambula Biwa
L. Quenabio6.124L. Quenabio
M. Magnin6.54M. Magnin
R. Lipinski5.73R. Lipinski
R. Ponti5.920R. Ponti
Antonin Cartillier7.729A. Cartillier
D. Pavlović6.38D. Pavlović
O. Joly6.322O. Joly
N. Nsingi6.49N. Nsingi
K. Nsona6.021K. Nsona

Dijon Substitutes

20H. Vargas-Ríos82'replaced by Samy Chouchane6.1
93I. Bouleghcha
8P. Bellon57'for Jordan Marié6.6
42Y. Aka
9T. Dong
31M. Faty56'replaced by Boubacar Diallo6.4
46Ilan Marie-Rose
29A. Ntamack68'for Yanis Barka6.4
11Júlio Tavares82'for Ange Lago6.3

Rodez Substitutes

13C. Roubiou80'for Steven Luyambula Biwa6.3
15E. Jean-Lambert
16L. Margueron
6J. Mendes71'for Damjan Pavlović6.3
7K. Nagera64'for Kelian Nsona7.1
10M. Saka63'for Octave Joly6.1
5M. Sylla
27M. Essimi Ateba80'for Nachon Nsingi90+2'7.8
11M. Touho

Match Stats

DijonRodez
72%Ball Possession28%
10Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots5
11Fouls20
0Offsides6
4Goalkeeper Saves5
587Total Passes208
499Passes Accurate125
19Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

DijonDijon
RodezRodez
1611Elo Rating 1609
2.26Attack 1.04
0.71Defense 0.85
50%Hit Rate 27%
14.2Shots per Game 14.8
4.8Shots on Target 4.8
5.0Corners per Game 5.9
1.1Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DijonDijon
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.9 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
RodezRodez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

DijonDijon2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
RodezRodez1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Ligue 208/04/2023
DijonRodez
10
Ligue 230/12/2022
RodezDijon
21
Ligue 215/01/2022
RodezDijon
02
Ligue 207/08/2021
DijonRodez
11

Recent Form

DijonDijon
3W4D3L
16/10/2026
ReimsDijon
42
L
12/10/2026
DijonMetz
42
W
02/10/2026
DijonEstac Troyes
22
D
18/09/2026
AnnecyDijon
12
W
11/09/2026
DijonLaval
32
W
04/09/2026
BoulogneDijon
11
D
31/08/2026
DijonSaint Etienne
23
L
21/08/2026
Clermont FootDijon
11
D
14/08/2026
DijonPAU
01
L
08/08/2026
MontpellierDijon
11
D
RodezRodez
3W1D6L
19/10/2026
RodezMontpellier
03
L
10/10/2026
Saint EtienneRodez
20
L
03/10/2026
RodezInter Club d'Escaldes
20
W
18/09/2026
RodezNancy
34
L
11/09/2026
RodezGrenoble
01
L
05/09/2026
MetzRodez
41
L
28/08/2026
RodezPAU
22
D
22/08/2026
NantesRodez
25
W
14/08/2026
AnnecyRodez
20
L
08/08/2026
RodezLaval
31
W

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Dijon vs Rodez forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dijon and Rodez in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Dijon are 9th and Rodez 14th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Dijon 17-18, Rodez 16-22. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.