Argentina vs Switzerland Prediction

Argentina
3-1
After Extra Time
HT 1-0AET 2-0
Switzerland
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City·Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal 12/07/2026
ArgentinaArgentina
3-1
After Extra Time
SwitzerlandSwitzerland

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
8.6 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Argentina Rest
4 days
Switzerland Rest
4 days

Argentina vs Switzerland: result, form and history

Argentina beat Switzerland 3-1 after extra time in the World Cup on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.71
X
39%3.50
2
9%5.45
Double Chance
1X
91%1.14
X2
48%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.10
No
47%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 0.88 = 2.32
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
43%2.25
Over 3.5
24%4.15
Under 1.5
28%2.80
Under 2.5
57%1.64
Under 3.5
76%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.2 = 8.3
Over 8.5
54%2.20
Over 9.5
45%3.05
Over 10.5
33%4.10
Under 8.5
46%1.57
Under 9.5
55%1.33
Under 10.5
67%1.18
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%2.25
Over 4.5
26%3.35
Under 3.5
56%1.57
Under 4.5
74%1.27

Match Events

10'A. Mac AllisterAssist: L. Messi
44'B. EmboloRoughing
67'D. NdoyeAssist: R. Rodriguez
72'B. EmboloDiving
72'B. EmboloDiving
78'N. Tagliafico INN. Gonzalez out
85'R. de Paul INL. Martinez out
85'N. Molina ING. Montiel out
86'D. Sow INS. Widmer out
86'D. Ndoye INZ. Amdouni out
86'F. Rieder INM. Muheim out
90+5'R. Rodriguez INE. Comert out

Extra Time2 - 0

91'E. Fernandez INT. Almada out
96'D. Zakaria INA. Jashari out
97'T. AlmadaHolding
98'L. MartinezTripping
106'C. Romero INN. Otamendi out
110'L. Paredes INJ. Lopez out
112'J. AlvarezAssist: J. Lopez
114'J. LopezUnsportsmanlike conduct
115'R. Freuler INR. Vargas out
120+1'L. Martinez

Lineups

Argentina
4-1-3-2Coach: Lionel Scaloni
Switzerland
4-2-3-1Coach: Murat Yakin
Avg rating7.06
Avg rating6.47
Emiliano Martínez7.323E. Martínez
Nahuel Molina6.326N. Molina
Cristian Romero7.013C. Romero
Lisandro Martínez7.26L. Martínez
Nicolás Tagliafico6.63N. Tagliafico
Leandro Paredes7.35L. Paredes
Rodrigo De Paul6.77R. De Paul
Enzo Fernández6.524E. Fernández
Alexis Mac Allister7.720A. Mac Allister
Lionel MessiC8.910L. Messi
Julián Alvarez7.79J. Alvarez
Gregor Kobel6.71G. Kobel
Denis Zakaria6.26D. Zakaria
Nico Elvedi6.34N. Elvedi
Manuel Akanji6.05M. Akanji
Ricardo Rodríguez7.313R. Rodríguez
Remo Freuler6.68R. Freuler
Granit XhakaC7.510G. Xhaka
Djibril Sow6.315D. Sow
Fabian Rieder6.322F. Rieder
Dan Ndoye7.211D. Ndoye
Breel Embolo5.97B. Embolo

Argentina Substitutes

15Nicolás González78'for N. Tagliafico7.2
4Gonzalo Montiel85'for N. Molina6.3
22Lautaro Martínez85'for R. de Paul98'120+1'6.9
16Thiago Almada91'for E. Fernandez97'7.2
19Nicolás Otamendi106'for C. Romero7.0
21José Manuel López110'for L. Paredes114'6.3
1Juan Musso
12Gerónimo Rulli
2Marcos Senesi
25Facundo Medina
8Valentín Barco
11Giovani Lo Celso
14Exequiel Palacios
17Giuliano Simeone
18Nico Paz

Switzerland Substitutes

2Miro Muheim86'for F. Rieder6.2
3Silvan Widmer86'for D. Sow6.3
23Zeki Amdouni86'for D. Ndoye6.2
18Eray Cömert90+5'for R. Rodriguez6.3
14Ardon Jashari96'for D. Zakaria6.2
17Rubén Vargas115'for R. Freuler6.5
12Yvon Mvogo
21Marvin Keller
24Aurèle Amenda
25Luca Jaquez
20Michel Aebischer
16Christian Fassnacht
19Noah Okafor
26Cédric Itten

Match Stats

ArgentinaSwitzerland
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
9Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal1
5Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
14Fouls18
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
503Total Passes412
437Passes Accurate358
89%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

ArgentinaArgentina
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
1913Elo Rating 1786
1.57Attack 2.49
2.10Defense 2.63
54%Hit Rate 86%
10.0Shots per Game 17.9
3.3Shots on Target 7.5
4.5Corners per Game 5.4
2.5Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+127 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArgentinaArgentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ArgentinaArgentina0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
SwitzerlandSwitzerland0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

World Cup01/07/2014
ArgentinaSwitzerland
1000

Recent Form

ArgentinaArgentina
8W1D1L
07/07/2026
ArgentinaEgypt
32
W
04/07/2026
ArgentinaCape Verde Islands
3121
W
28/06/2026
JordanArgentina
13
W
22/06/2026
ArgentinaAustria
20
W
17/06/2026
ArgentinaAlgeria
30
W
10/06/2026
ArgentinaIceland
30
W
07/06/2026
ArgentinaHonduras
20
W
10/09/2025
EcuadorArgentina
10
L
05/09/2025
ArgentinaVenezuela
30
W
11/06/2025
ArgentinaColombia
11
D
SwitzerlandSwitzerland
6W4D0L
07/07/2026
SwitzerlandColombia
4030
W
03/07/2026
SwitzerlandAlgeria
20
W
24/06/2026
SwitzerlandCanada
21
W
18/06/2026
SwitzerlandBosnia & Herzegovina
41
W
13/06/2026
QatarSwitzerland
11
D
06/06/2026
SwitzerlandAustralia
11
D
31/05/2026
SwitzerlandJordan
41
W
18/11/2025
KosovoSwitzerland
11
D
15/11/2025
SwitzerlandSweden
41
W
13/10/2025
SloveniaSwitzerland
00
D

Referee Profile

Joao Pedro Pinheiro220 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.57Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Pedro Pinheiro4.81
Other referees5.26

4.81 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).

Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland32107:3+47WWD
2CanadaCanada31118:3+54LWD
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
4QatarQatar30122:10-81LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland37:37
2CanadaCanada38:34
3Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
4QatarQatar32:101

Group J

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArgentinaArgentina33008:1+79WWW
2AustriaAustria31116:604DLW
3AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
4JordanJordan30033:8-50LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArgentinaArgentina38:19
2AustriaAustria36:64
3AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
4JordanJordan33:80

About the Argentina vs Switzerland forecast

As a knockout tie in the World Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

More World Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the World Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 8.6 out of 10 by our context model. Switzerland have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Argentina and Switzerland have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.