Lyon vs Crystal Palace Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseHighGap-6.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseHighGap+3.2%
Lyon Rest
5 days
Crystal Palace Rest
4 days
Lyon vs Crystal Palace: result, form and history
Lyon beat Crystal Palace 3-2 in the UEFA Europa League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.39
X25%3.65
231%2.80
Double Chance
1X69%1.41
X256%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.49
No36%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 1.22 = 3.03
Over 1.580%1.17
Over 2.558%1.62
Over 3.536%2.39
Under 1.520%4.80
Under 2.542%2.34
Under 3.564%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.561%1.52
Over 9.543%1.88
Over 10.533%2.42
Under 8.539%2.38
Under 9.557%1.84
Under 10.567%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.565%1.73
Over 4.546%2.53
Under 3.535%2.00
Under 4.554%1.49
Match Events
8'Corentin Tolisso
36'Ismaila SarrDissent
45+2'Ernest NuamahAssist: Keito Nakamura
50'Yeremy PinoAssist: Adam Wharton
56'Yeremy PinoFoul
58'Keito NakamuraFoul
62'Jörgen Strand Larsen INEddie Nketiah out
62'Ismaila Sarr INDaichi Kamada out
70'Khalis Merah INPavel Šulc out
70'Ernest Nuamah INKail Boudache out
75'Yeremy Pino INDario Osorio out
75'Oscar Mingueza INAnan Khalaili out
76'Pavel ŠulcAssist: Keito Nakamura
78'Noah Teye Nartey INTanner Tessmann out
81'Daichi Kamada
82'Chris RichardsFoul
86'Quinten Timber INDwight McNeil out
90'Corentin Tolisso INMads Bidstrup out
Lineups
LyonCrystal Palace
3-4-2-1Coach: P. SageAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Greif
13Z. Athekame
20F. Bacher
21R. Kluivert
16Abner
23T. Morton
99N. Nartey
8C. Tolisso
18K. Merah
7E. Nuamah
11K. Nakamura
44W. Benítez
26C. Richards
5A. Disasi
6J. Canvot
30Ó. Mingueza
20A. Wharton
23Q. Timber
3T. Mitchell
7I. Sarr
10Y. Pino
22J. Strand LarsenLyon Substitutes
2M. Bidstrup90'for Corentin Tolisso
26K. Boudache70'for Ernest Nuamah
40R. Descamps
24J. Duranville
45R. Himbert
85N. Kamara
37Steeve Kango
22Clinton Mata
19M. Niakhaté
10P. Šulc70'for Khalis Merah76'
6T. Tessmann78'for Noah Teye Nartey
25J. Bengui João
Crystal Palace Substitutes
24D. Osorio75'for Yeremy Pino
9E. Nketiah62'for Jörgen Strand Larsen
11D. McNeil86'for Quinten Timber
31R. Matthews
25A. Khalaili75'for Oscar Mingueza
18D. Kamada62'for Ismaila Sarr81'
19W. Hughes
81Lucca Benetton
54D. Benamar
21H. Ahanor
Match Stats
LyonCrystal Palace 51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots4
4Fouls8
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
491Total Passes488
425Passes Accurate416
7Free Kicks4
Team Comparison
LyonCrystal Palace1866Elo Rating 1796
2.37Attack 1.61
1.74Defense 0.77
81%Hit Rate 34%
11.5Shots per Game 10.9
5.9Shots on Target 4.1
3.3Corners per Game 4.4
1.6Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Lyon- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.8 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Crystal Palace- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Lyon5W3D2L
Crystal Palace4W1D5L
11/10/2026Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
LeedsCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Lech PoznanCrystal Palace
IpswichCrystal Palace
Middlesbrough
FulhamCrystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Manchester City
EvertonCrystal Palace
Crystal PalaceNottingham Forest31
W03/10/2026Crystal Palace
Bristol City
20/09/2026Crystal PalaceBristol City02
LLeedsCrystal Palace00
D17/09/2026Crystal PalaceLech Poznan40
W12/09/2026Crystal PalaceIpswich23
L08/09/2026Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough30
W05/09/2026FulhamCrystal Palace23
W28/08/2026Crystal PalaceManchester City14
L22/08/2026EvertonCrystal Palace20
L15/08/2026
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace
SC FreiburgCrystal Palace20
LReferee Profile
4.83Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
27.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.83 cards a match, 0.43 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).
Cards come from 178 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | +8 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 7 | DWW |
| 5 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | DWW |
| 6 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WWL |
| 9 |  Bournemouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 10 |  Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 11 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 12 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 | DWD |
| 14 |  Sparta Praha | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 15 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | LWD |
| 16 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 | WLD |
| 17 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 | WDL |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  AC Milan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 | WL |
| 20 |  Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 21 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 23 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 | LW |
| 24 |  Real Sociedad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  Lillestrom | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 26 |  Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 | LLD |
| 28 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 | DLL |
| 29 |  Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 30 |  Anderlecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 31 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| 32 |  Plzen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Celtic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Celje | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 4 | Juventus | 3 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 3 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Benfica | 2 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Beşiktaş | 2 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 8 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Omonia Nicosia | 2 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 11 | Lyon | 2 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 13 | Rennes | 3 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 | Sparta Praha | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 15 | Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 16 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 17 | NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 19 | AC Milan | 2 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 20 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 21 | OFI | 3 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Torreense | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 24 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | Lillestrom | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 26 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 28 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 29 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 32 | Plzen | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 33 | Celtic | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Celje | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Europa League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Kairat Almaty
Mjallby AIF
TrabzonsporLillestromArarat-Armenia
Kauno Žalgiris
St. Truiden
FK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFI
Aarhus
Larne
Saburtalo
Shamrock Rovers
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Gornik Zabrze
KuPS
Universitatea CraiovaJagiellonia
RangersLech Poznan
KI Klaksvik
Lincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull Salzburg
FC Thun
Vikingur Reykjavik
Heart Of Midlothian
Tromso
Hradec Králové
PAOK
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hammarby FFAnderlecht
FC ST. GallenBenfica
TwenteBeşiktaş
FC Midtjylland
PafosKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusKairat AlmatyMjallby AIFTrabzonsporLillestromArarat-ArmeniaKauno ŽalgirisSt. TruidenFK Crvena ZvezdaPlzenOFIAarhusLarneSaburtaloShamrock RoversEgnatia RrogozhinëGornik ZabrzeKuPSUniversitatea CraiovaJagielloniaRangersLech PoznanKI KlaksvikLincoln Red Imps FCOmonia NicosiaRed Bull SalzburgFC ThunVikingur ReykjavikHeart Of MidlothianTromsoHradec KrálovéPAOKMaccabi Tel AvivHammarby FFAnderlechtFC ST. GallenBenficaTwenteBeşiktaşFC MidtjyllandPafosExplore more predictions
This match
About the Lyon vs Crystal Palace forecast
This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa League
More UEFA Europa League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Lyon have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Lyon and Crystal Palace have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.