Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen Prediction

Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam·Robin Hensgens 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Sparta Rotterdam Rest
5 days
Heerenveen Rest
6 days

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen: result, form and history

Heerenveen beat Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 in the Eredivisie on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.35
X
26%3.72
2
34%2.60
Double Chance
1X
66%1.44
X2
60%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.36
No
42%2.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.38 = 2.81
Over 1.5
80%1.10
Over 2.5
57%1.40
Over 3.5
34%2.02
Under 1.5
20%6.15
Under 2.5
43%2.82
Under 3.5
66%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 5.7 = 11.4
Over 8.5
84%1.22
Over 9.5
74%1.42
Over 10.5
66%1.70
Under 8.5
16%3.47
Under 9.5
26%2.53
Under 10.5
34%2.03
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.6 = 3.1
Over 3.5
37%1.93
Over 4.5
20%2.82
Under 3.5
63%1.80
Under 4.5
80%1.40

Match Events

24'Julian BaasFoul
28'Nolhan courtensAssist: Levi Smans
43'Jacob TrenskowAssist: Maxence Rivera
56'Maxence RiveraAssist: Levi Smans
61'Marvin YoungFoul
62'Bruno Martins Indi INRobin van Cruijsen out
62'Joel Ideho INTeo Quintero León out
62'Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi INNick Verschuren out
62'Julian Baas INAndrej Kostić out
72'Lushendry Martes INBoyd Reith out
73'Jacob Trenskow INMarko Farji out
73'Levi Smans INLuca Oyen out
75'Marko FarjiAssist: Luca Oyen
80'Dylan Vente INRoberts Uldriķis out
80'marcus linday INRingo Meerveld out
85'Nolhan courtens INAnass Bouziane out

Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Meijer
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Veldeman
Avg rating5.95
Avg rating7.48
M. Brouwer6.61M. Brouwer
L. Martes6.22L. Martes
M. Young5.83M. Young
B. Martins Indi5.54B. Martins Indi
B. Kuipers6.25B. Kuipers
J. Baas5.46J. Baas
Cedric Hatenboer6.08C. Hatenboer
C. Terho6.17C. Terho
I. Babadi5.610I. Babadi
Joel Ideho6.111J. Ideho
M. Zonneveld6.49M. Zonneveld
B. Klaverboer6.622B. Klaverboer
O. Braude7.745O. Braude
S. Kersten7.84S. Kersten
M. Willemsen7.93M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis7.319V. Zagaritis
M. Linday7.216M. Linday
L. Smans8.614L. Smans
J. Trenskow8.220J. Trenskow
N. Courtens8.236N. Courtens
M. Rivera9.07M. Rivera
D. Vente6.49D. Vente

Sparta Rotterdam Substitutes

19Andrej Kostić62'replaced by Julian Baas
30P. Kuiper
16Teo Quintero62'for Joel Ideho5.9
12B. Reith72'for Lushendry Martes5.6
18A. Roaldsøy
21J. Toornstra
14N. Verschuren62'for Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi5.7
22G. Vianello
17Robin van Cruijsen62'for Bruno Martins Indi5.8
20F. Bednarek

Heerenveen Substitutes

17R. Uldriķis80'for Dylan Vente6.4
30T. Schreuder
41J. Scholten
11L. Oyen73'for Levi Smans6.9
44A. Noppert
10R. Meerveld80'for marcus linday6.8
29L. Machine
28H. Petrov
21M. Farji73'for Jacob Trenskow75'7.6
49Anass Bouziane85'replaced by Nolhan courtens
23D. Bladi

Match Stats

Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots23
0Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box9
5Blocked Shots5
11Fouls9
2Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves0
416Total Passes475
339Passes Accurate410
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
HeerenveenHeerenveen
1601Elo Rating 1712
1.94Attack 2.14
0.05Defense 2.12
27%Hit Rate 46%
16.8Shots per Game 16.8
6.1Shots on Target 6.5
5.7Corners per Game 5.5
2.3Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HeerenveenHeerenveen
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
HeerenveenHeerenveen3Wins · 30%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie28/02/2026
HeerenveenSparta Rotterdam
21
Eredivisie14/12/2025
Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
03
Eredivisie12/04/2025
Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
31
Eredivisie26/10/2024
HeerenveenSparta Rotterdam
20
Eredivisie19/05/2024
Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
21
Eredivisie27/08/2023
HeerenveenSparta Rotterdam
13
Eredivisie15/04/2023
Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
40
Eredivisie05/08/2022
HeerenveenSparta Rotterdam
00
Eredivisie03/04/2022
Sparta RotterdamHeerenveen
11
Eredivisie11/12/2021
HeerenveenSparta Rotterdam
00

Recent Form

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
1W4D5L
13/09/2026
PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
41
L
04/09/2026
Sparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
22
D
29/08/2026
ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
21
L
22/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
33
D
14/08/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
13
W
09/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
01
L
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D
28/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
11
D
25/07/2026
Zulte WaregemSparta Rotterdam
32
L
18/07/2026
SV MeppenSparta Rotterdam
32
L
HeerenveenHeerenveen
4W4D2L
13/09/2026
HeerenveenTelstar
00
D
06/09/2026
HeerenveenAZ Alkmaar
23
L
30/08/2026
Willem IIHeerenveen
22
D
22/08/2026
HeerenveenPEC Zwolle
02
L
16/08/2026
AjaxHeerenveen
22
D
09/08/2026
HeerenveenTwente
10
W
01/08/2026
HeerenveenVolos NFC
32
W
25/07/2026
HeerenveenOH Leuven
44
D
17/07/2026
Club Brugge KVHeerenveen
23
W
03/07/2026
HeerenveenDe Graafschap
72
W

Referee Profile

Robin Hensgens161 matches

3.40Cards per match
3.26Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robin Hensgens3.40
Other referees3.24

3.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.24).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord972031:10+2123WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar962120:10+1020DLWDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven961227:12+1519LWLWW
4AjaxAjax953127:12+1518WDDWW
5TwenteTwente952217:10+717LDWWW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard943216:17-115DDWLW
7GroningenGroningen942322:19+314LWWDD
8HeerenveenHeerenveen933315:11+412WLWDL
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles925220:21-111LDDDD
10ExcelsiorExcelsior932416:18-211LLDLD
11UtrechtUtrecht932416:26-1011WWLWD
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen924315:16-110DDDLD
13Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam923416:22-69WDLLD
14CambuurCambuur923413:21-89DWDWD
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle921610:22-127WLLLD
16TelstarTelstar913510:18-86LDLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag913511:20-96WDDLL
18Willem IIWillem II90279:26-172LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord931:1023
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar920:1020
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven927:1219
4AjaxAjax927:1218
5TwenteTwente917:1017
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard916:1715
7GroningenGroningen922:1914
8HeerenveenHeerenveen915:1112
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles920:2111
10ExcelsiorExcelsior916:1811
11UtrechtUtrecht916:2611
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen915:1610
13Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam916:229
14CambuurCambuur913:219
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle910:227
16TelstarTelstar910:186
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag911:206
18Willem IIWillem II99:262
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About the Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Heerenveen are 8th and Sparta Rotterdam 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Sparta Rotterdam 16-22, Heerenveen 15-11. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Heerenveen have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.