Sport Recife vs America Mineiro Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 24
Sport Recife
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
America Mineiro
Ilha do Retiro, Recife· Denis da Silva Ribeiro Serafim, Brazil 25/08/2026
Sport RecifeSport Recife
3-0
Finished
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.78
SignalGOODModel52%RiskMediumGap+6.6%
Sport Recife Rest
5 days
America Mineiro Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.66
X
23%3.60
2
20%5.20
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
43%2.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.92
No
51%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 0.84 = 2.35
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
41%2.00
Over 3.5
24%3.50
Under 1.5
30%3.25
Under 2.5
59%1.78
Under 3.5
76%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.28
Over 9.5
50%1.48
Over 10.5
39%1.80
Under 8.5
41%3.28
Under 9.5
50%2.42
Under 10.5
61%1.94
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
46%1.63
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
54%2.14

Match Events

13'ClaudinhoAssist: Juan Alano
45+2'ClaysonAssist: Juan Alano
58'Goal cancelledKayky Almeida
65'Felipe Amaral INOtávio Gonçalves out
66'Guilherme Parede INItalo Charbaje out
67'Clayson INMarlon out
76'Diego Hernández INDudu out
76'Willian Oliveira INBiel Fonseca out
78'Willian Bigode INAlex Silva out
82'Juan Alano INCarlos De Pena out
83'Claudinho INAugusto Pucci out
87'Fábio INMurilo Rodrigues Povoa out
87'Barreto INHeitor out
90+7'Perotti(Penalty)
90+5'Penalty confirmedBiel Fonseca

Lineups

Sport Recife
Coach: Pozzo Gilmar
America Mineiro
Coach: Louzer Umberto

Sport Recife Starting XI

26Thiago CoutoG
27ClaudinhoD
3Marcelo AjulD
33Kayky AlmeidaD
96Edson LucasD
23Zé GabrielM
29Willian OliveiraM
8Juan AlanoM
20Diego HernándezM
25ClaysonM
9PerottiF

America Mineiro Starting XI

91Bruno BrígidoG
31FábioD
45Ricardo SilvaD
4Rafael BarcelosD
25Tobías OstchegaD
8Felipe AmaralM
37JúlioM
88BarretoM
9Willian BigodeM
7Guilherme ParedeM
99Marcelo MaçolaF

Sport Recife Substitutes

31MarlonF
6Biel FonsecaM
77DuduF
10Carlos De PenaM
68Augusto PucciD
21BrennoG
28HabraãoD
5Marcelo BenevenutoD
15Murilo RhikmanM
48Pedro MartinsM
75Arthur MaronF
99Zé RobertoF

America Mineiro Substitutes

55Otávio GonçalvesM
39Italo CharbajeF
15Alex SilvaD
13HeitorD
38Murilo Rodrigues PovoaD
1GustavoG
3Luca SosaD
30LuidyD
93Jorge Roa JiménezM
5Fernando ElizariM

Match Stats

Sport RecifeAmerica Mineiro
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks10
17Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal11
11Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box11
5Blocked Shots4
18Fouls9
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
401Total Passes423
333Passes Accurate354
83%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

Sport RecifeSport Recife
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1608Elo Rating 1480
1.60Attack 1.16
1.87Defense 1.12
44%Hit Rate 46%
16.8Shots per Game 18.4
4.5Shots on Target 5.9
5.6Corners per Game 6.3
1.1Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+128 Elo
📈BTTS Trend59% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Sport Recife 14%Draw 46%39% America Mineiro
2.05Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Sport RecifeSport Recife
2W2D1L
20/08/2026
AvaiSport Recife
21
L
15/08/2026
Sport RecifeLondrina
21
W
08/08/2026
Vila NovaSport Recife
01
W28/07/2026
Sport RecifeCuiaba
11
D23/07/2026
GoiasSport Recife
11
D
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1W0D4L
21/08/2026
NovorizontinoAmerica Mineiro
30
L16/08/2026
America MineiroAthletic Club
13
L08/08/2026
Botafogo SPAmerica Mineiro
21
L26/07/2026
America MineiroGoias
10
W22/07/2026
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
21
L

Referee Profile

Denis da Silva Ribeiro Serafim, Brazil · 4 matches analysed

5.4Avg Yellows
5.7Avg Cards
25.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 97% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino28148648:25+2350DWWWW
2JuventudeJuventude28148630:17+1350LWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova28146840:31+948DWLWD
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC28139631:23+848DWWDW
5CriciumaCriciuma28138728:25+347LLWLL
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense281210636:26+1046WWDWW
7CRBCRB28136942:40+245WLWWL
8Operario-PROperario-PR28128839:36+344DWWDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife281011737:28+941LWLLW
10Athletic ClubAthletic Club281010833:30+340WLWLL
11CuiabaCuiaba28913627:22+540DWLWD
12GoiasGoias281161128:34-639WLLWD
13São BernardoSão Bernardo281081039:31+838WLWLD
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife281081035:33+238DLWWD
15CearaCeara28881229:36-732DLWLW
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP28871331:35-431LLLLL
17AvaiAvai28861429:36-730DLLLW
18LondrinaLondrina28771438:39-128WWLDL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro28451921:48-2717LWLWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta28242216:62-4610LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino2848:2550
2JuventudeJuventude2830:1750
3Vila NovaVila Nova2840:3148
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC2831:2348
5CriciumaCriciuma2828:2547
6Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2836:2646
7CRBCRB2842:4045
8Operario-PROperario-PR2839:3644
9Sport RecifeSport Recife2837:2841
10Athletic ClubAthletic Club2833:3040
11CuiabaCuiaba2827:2240
12GoiasGoias2828:3439
13São BernardoSão Bernardo2839:3138
14Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2835:3338
15CearaCeara2829:3632
16Botafogo SPBotafogo SP2831:3531
17AvaiAvai2829:3630
18LondrinaLondrina2838:3928
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2821:4817
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta2816:6210
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Sport Recife vs America Mineiro Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie B

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Key Factors for This Match

Sport Recife and America Mineiro have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.05 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.