Avai vs Sport Recife Prediction

Avai
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
Estádio da Ressacada, Florianópolis·Joao Vitor Gobi, Brazil 20/08/2026
AvaiAvai
2-1
Finished
Sport RecifeSport Recife

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+1.7%
Avai Rest
3 days
Sport Recife Rest
4 days

Avai vs Sport Recife: result, form and history

Avai beat Sport Recife 2-1 in the Serie B on 19 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 5 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them. Avai tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 3.3 for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.73
X
30%3.13
2
25%2.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.44
X2
55%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.83
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 0.85 = 2.10
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
41%2.16
Over 3.5
19%3.90
Under 1.5
32%2.90
Under 2.5
59%1.66
Under 3.5
81%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.2 = 10.1
Over 8.5
62%1.32
Over 9.5
51%1.58
Over 10.5
41%1.93
Under 8.5
38%2.96
Under 9.5
49%2.20
Under 10.5
59%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
52%1.64
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
48%2.08

Match Events

43'Felipinho INEdson Lucas out
46'Paulo VitorFoul
46'Léo Chú INJean Lucas out
66'Diego HernándezAssist: Edson Lucas
67'Marlon INJuan Alano out
68'Paulo Vitor INGabriel Cipriano out
69'Allyson INRomildo Del Piage out
73'Romildo Del Piage
83'Augusto Pucci INClaudinho out
83'Perotti INZé Roberto out
84'Clayson INDudu out
88'William Fernando INDouglas Teixeira out
88'Felipe Vizeu INLéo Gamalho out
90'Léo Gamalho
90+3'ClaudinhoSimulation

Lineups

Avai
Coach: Allan Aal
Sport Recife
Coach: Pozzo Gilmar

Avai Starting XI

94Bruno Ferreira6.7
38Jefferson Maciel6.7
3AllysonC69'replaced by Romildo Del Piage6.3
40Reynaldo6.6
22Joao Vitor6.5
25Paulo Vitor46'68'replaced by Gabriel Cipriano6.6
8Luiz Henrique7.3
56William Fernando88'replaced by Douglas Teixeira6.9
43Thayllon Roberth8.0
11Felipe Vizeu88'replaced by Léo Gamalho6.3
7Léo Chú46'replaced by Jean Lucas6.2
Avg rating6.81

Sport Recife Starting XI

26Thiago Couto6.9
68Augusto Pucci83'replaced by Claudinho6.3
3Marcelo Ajul7.5
33Kayky Almeida6.7
60Felipinho43'replaced by Edson Lucas6.9
23Zé GabrielC6.9
29Willian Oliveira6.9
31Marlon67'replaced by Juan Alano6.3
20Diego Hernández66'7.7
25Clayson84'replaced by Dudu6.7
9Perotti83'replaced by Zé Roberto6.5
Avg rating6.69

Avai Substitutes

10Jean Lucas46'for Léo Chú6.7
23Gabriel Cipriano68'for Paulo Vitor6.6
5Romildo Del Piage69'for Allyson73'7.0
36Douglas Teixeira88'for William Fernando6.9
9Léo Gamalho88'for Felipe Vizeu90'7.6
1Igor Bohn
15Guilherme Aquino
2Wallison
66Mateus Quaresma
95Wenderson
77Zé Ricardo
20Isaías Pereira

Sport Recife Substitutes

96Edson Lucas43'for Felipinho6.3
8Juan Alano67'for Marlon6.2
27Claudinho83'for Augusto Pucci90+3'6.3
99Zé Roberto83'for Perotti6.3
77Dudu84'for Clayson6.6
21Brenno
5Marcelo Benevenuto
28Habraão
48Pedro Martins
15Murilo Rhikman
10Carlos De Pena

Match Stats

AvaiSport Recife
38%Ball Possession62%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal4
11Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box8
11Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots3
18Fouls15
3Goalkeeper Saves1
342Total Passes596
281Passes Accurate518
82%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

AvaiAvai
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1522Elo Rating 1599
0.45Attack 1.18
2.13Defense 1.81
31%Hit Rate 37%
18.1Shots per Game 14.6
5.7Shots on Target 4.7
8.2Corners per Game 3.3
3.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

AvaiAvai1Wins · 20%
Draws240%
Sport RecifeSport Recife2Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Serie B11/04/2026
Sport RecifeAvai
22
Serie B09/09/2024
AvaiSport Recife
02
Serie B19/05/2024
Sport RecifeAvai
12
Serie B30/09/2023
AvaiSport Recife
22
Serie B08/06/2023
Sport RecifeAvai
21

Referee Profile

Joao Vitor Gobi85 matches

4.81Cards per match
4.45Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Vitor Gobi4.81
Other referees5.06

4.81 cards a match, 0.25 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Avai vs Sport Recife forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avai and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Sport Recife are 9th and Avai 17th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Avai 35-47, Sport Recife 50-42. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.