Vila Nova vs Sport Recife Prediction

Vila Nova
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia·Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho, Brazil 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel50%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
Vila Nova Rest
11 days
Sport Recife Rest
11 days

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife: result, form and history

Sport Recife beat Vila Nova 1-0 in the Serie B on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Vila Nova had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Sport Recife.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.1 goals a game across 7 matches. Vila Nova tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 3.3 for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.18
X
29%3.06
2
24%3.40
Double Chance
1X
76%1.30
X2
53%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.85
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.85 = 2.22
Over 1.5
67%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.15
Over 3.5
13%3.75
Under 1.5
33%2.92
Under 2.5
55%1.66
Under 3.5
87%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.37
Over 9.5
51%1.65
Over 10.5
38%2.01
Under 8.5
40%2.83
Under 9.5
49%2.13
Under 10.5
62%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
41%1.61
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
59%2.13

Match Events

6'Chrystian Barletta
42'AugustoFoul
45+2'Thiago CoutoDelay of game
46'Nathan Camargo INHayner out
46'Higor Meritao INDudu out
46'Augusto INClaudinho out
60'Clayson INMarlon Douglas out
62'HigorFoul
64'Everton Galdino INDellatorre out
69'Diego Hernandez INDudu out
73'DuduDelay of game
79'Janderson INEmerson Urso out
79'Douglas Mendes INTiago Pagnussat out
81'Marlon DouglasFoul
90+3'Pedro Perotti INBenevenuto out
90+4'Ze Gabriel INPedro Martins out
90+6'Chrystian BarlettaDelay of game

Lineups

Vila Nova
Coach: Ferreira Guto
Sport Recife
Coach: Pozzo Gilmar

Vila Nova Starting XI

1Helton Leite6.9
20Nathan Camargo46'replaced by Hayner6.5
4Douglas Mendes79'replaced by Tiago Pagnussat6.9
23Breno6.6
6Higor62'6.9
21Higor Meritão46'replaced by Dudu6.9
17Everton Galdino64'replaced by Dellatorre6.5
5João Vieira7.3
10Marquinhos GabrielC6.3
99Janderson79'replaced by Emerson Urso6.6
7André Luís6.3
Avg rating6.75

Sport Recife Starting XI

26Thiago Couto45+2'6.7
68Augusto Pucci42'46'replaced by Claudinho6.9
3Marcelo Ajul7.2
33Kayky Almeida7.5
60Felipinho7.3
23Zé GabrielC90+4'replaced by Pedro Martins6.7
29Willian Oliveira7.3
30Chrystian Barletta6'90+6'7.6
20Diego Hernández69'replaced by Dudu6.9
25Clayson60'replaced by Marlon Douglas7.2
9Perotti90+3'replaced by Benevenuto5.9
Avg rating6.93

Vila Nova Substitutes

22Hayner46'for Nathan Camargo7.3
15Dudu Dos Santos46'for Higor Meritao7.0
49Dellatorre64'for Everton Galdino6.5
3Tiago Pagnussat79'for Douglas Mendes6.6
70Emerson Urso79'for Janderson6.9
29Dalberson
16Igor Cariús
38Caio Marcelo
18Enzo
31Dodô
9Gustavo Puskas
11Warley

Sport Recife Substitutes

27Claudinho46'for Augusto7.0
31Marlon60'for Clayson81'6.2
77Dudu69'for Diego Hernandez73'6.6
5Marcelo Benevenuto90+3'for Pedro Perotti
48Pedro Martins90+4'for Ze Gabriel
1Erick
96Edson Lucas
28Habraão
15Murilo Rhikman
10Carlos De Pena
99Zé Roberto

Match Stats

Vila NovaSport Recife
62%Ball Possession38%
14Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards5
15Total Shots5
1Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots0
11Fouls19
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
432Total Passes282
346Passes Accurate203
80%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

Vila NovaVila Nova
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1661Elo Rating 1599
1.72Attack 1.18
1.38Defense 1.81
17%Hit Rate 37%
14.1Shots per Game 14.6
5.1Shots on Target 4.7
6.1Corners per Game 3.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend14% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Vila NovaVila Nova1Wins · 14%
Draws343%
Sport RecifeSport Recife3Wins · 43%
1.1Avg Goals
14%Both teams scored1 of 7
0%3+ goals0 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B02/04/2026
Sport RecifeVila Nova
11
Serie B17/08/2024
Vila NovaSport Recife
20
Serie B27/04/2024
Sport RecifeVila Nova
20
Serie B03/08/2023
Vila NovaSport Recife
01
Serie B18/06/2023
Sport RecifeVila Nova
10
Serie B06/11/2022
Vila NovaSport Recife
00
Serie B19/07/2022
Sport RecifeVila Nova
00

Referee Profile

Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho77 matches

5.12Cards per match
4.97Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Afro Rocha De Carvalho Filho5.12
Other referees5.15

5.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Vila Nova vs Sport Recife forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vila Nova and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova are 3rd and Sport Recife 9th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Vila Nova 53-38, Sport Recife 50-42. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.