Sport Recife vs Cuiaba Prediction

Sport Recife
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
Ilha do Retiro, Recife·Lucas Canetto Bellote, Brazil 28/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+6.2%
Sport Recife Rest
4 days
Cuiaba Rest
3 days

Sport Recife vs Cuiaba: result, form and history

Sport Recife and Cuiaba drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 27 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 0.3 goals a game across 3 matches. Cuiaba tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 3.3 for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.04
X
27%2.95
2
24%4.12
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
51%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.15
No
48%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.88 = 2.30
Over 1.5
69%1.50
Over 2.5
45%2.58
Over 3.5
24%4.90
Under 1.5
31%2.50
Under 2.5
55%1.48
Under 3.5
76%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.45
Over 9.5
46%1.79
Over 10.5
36%2.25
Under 8.5
44%2.52
Under 9.5
54%1.93
Under 10.5
64%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
47%1.38
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
53%2.70

Match Events

24'Pedro MartinsFoul
33'Pedro Martins INDiego Hernandez out
33'David MiguelFoul
53'Pedro Perotti
59'Rodrigo Rodrigues INKauan Cristtyan out
59'Marlon INLorenzo out
68'Clayson INDudu out
70'Jean Dias INH. Pedro out
70'Raylan INIgor Inocencio out
70'David Miguel INLuiz Otavio out
71'Biel Fonseca INYago Felipe out
75'Fabio GomesAssist: Kauan Cristtyan

Lineups

Sport Recife
4-4-1-1Coach: Pozzo Gilmar
Cuiaba
3-4-2-1Coach: Eduardo Barros
Avg rating6.79
Avg rating6.66
Thiago Couto6.626T. Couto
Augusto Pucci7.268A. Pucci
Marcelo BenevenutoC7.25M. Benevenuto
Habraão7.028Habraão
Felipinho6.560Felipinho
Biel Fonseca7.26B. Fonseca
Zé Gabriel6.623Z. Gabriel
Pedro Martins6.748P. Martins
Clayson6.625Clayson
Chrystian Barletta6.730C. Barletta
Perotti7.39Perotti
Marcelo Carné6.331M. Carné
João Basso6.913J. Basso
Calebe Costa6.65C. Costa
Alan EmpereurC6.733A. Empereur
Railan6.637Railan
Raul7.330Raul
David6.520David
Marlon Lopes6.36M. Lopes
Jean Dias6.277J. Dias
Rodrigo Rodrigues6.327R. Rodrigues
Fábio Gomes7.290F. Gomes

Sport Recife Substitutes

20Diego Hernández33'for Pedro Martins6.3
42Antônio Adriano
1Halls
33Kayky Almeida
27Claudinho
96Edson Lucas
3Marcelo Ajul
54Adriel
7Yago Felipe71'for Biel Fonseca6.9
31Marlon
99Zé Roberto
77Dudu68'for Clayson6.3

Cuiaba Substitutes

1João Carlos
4Vitor Mendes
2Igor Inocencio70'for Raylan6.5
36Lorenzo59'for Marlon6.7
70Wesley
41Kauan Cristtyan59'for Rodrigo Rodrigues7.0
97Luiz Otavio70'replaced by David Miguel6.7
29Vinicius Peixoto
96Pedro Henrique70'for Jean Dias6.7
11Eliel

Match Stats

Sport RecifeCuiaba
68%Ball Possession32%
8Corner Kicks11
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
506Total Passes223
435Passes Accurate169
86%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Sport RecifeSport Recife
CuiabaCuiaba
1599Elo Rating 1583
1.18Attack 0.27
1.81Defense 1.87
37%Hit Rate 0%
14.6Shots per Game 21.1
4.7Shots on Target 5.1
3.3Corners per Game 8.6
1.3Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
CuiabaCuiaba
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Sport RecifeSport Recife0Wins · 0%
Draws267%
CuiabaCuiaba1Wins · 33%
0.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B22/03/2026
CuiabaSport Recife
00
Serie A15/10/2021
CuiabaSport Recife
10
Serie A28/06/2021
Sport RecifeCuiaba
00

Referee Profile

Lucas Canetto Bellote67 matches

5.12Cards per match
4.92Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Canetto Bellote5.12
Other referees4.98

5.12 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Sport Recife vs Cuiaba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sport Recife and Cuiaba in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Sport Recife are 9th and Cuiaba 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Sport Recife 50-42, Cuiaba 34-32. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.