UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 7
Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua· Edwin Ordonez, Peru 30/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskMediumGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.83SignalSOLIDModel40%RiskMediumGap+5.5%
UCV Moquegua Rest
2 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.51
X30%3.04
231%2.75
Double Chance
1X69%1.40
X261%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.83
No44%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.16 = 2.41
Over 1.572%1.35
Over 2.545%2.11
Over 3.524%3.70
Under 1.528%2.95
Under 2.555%1.67
Under 3.576%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.6 = 9.5
Over 8.558%1.52
Over 9.546%1.86
Over 10.535%2.40
Under 8.542%2.33
Under 9.554%1.84
Under 10.565%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.9 = 5.7
Over 3.582%-
Over 4.566%1.84
Under 3.518%-
Under 4.534%1.84
Match Events
12'J. IngrattiFoul
20'Bryan AnguloAssist: E. Lastre
24'J. Molina
33'D. RamirezFoul
46'D. Ramirez INN. Chavez out
49'R. SuarezFoul
51'A. MunozFoul
56'J. Lujan
59'R. Chipao INY. Lopez out
59'J. Ingratti ING. A. Larios Saavedra out
61'C. PenillaAssist: S. Fernandez
65'Goal Disallowed - FoulBryan Angulo
68'Y. ZapataSerious foul
76'C. Penilla INJ. del Castillo out
76'A. Munoz INJ. Perez out
81'E. Montenegro INJ. Jimenez out
81'Bryan Angulo INA. Davila out
83'H. Lupu INF. Flores out
83'J. Molina INV. Robaldo out
90+1'J. del CastilloAssist: G. A. Larios Saavedra
Lineups
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico
4-4-2Coach: Federico Urciuoli
1C. GradosCarlos Grados
22E. MontenegroEros Montenegro
13J. Diego LojasJuan Diego Lojas
3C. EncisoCristian Enciso
4A. PerlecheAldair Perleche
20D. RamírezDiego Ramírez
25R. ChipaoRicardo Chipao
7E. LastreEdgar Lastre
8C. MejiaCristian Mejia
17Y. ZapataYorman Zapata
11B. AnguloBryan Angulo
31S. RivadeneyraSteven Rivadeneyra
16S. FernándezStefano Fernández
2R. SuárezRomán Suárez
6J. LujánJosé Luján
24A. GordilloAnthony Gordillo
23A. MuñozAriel Muñoz
10G. DiazGerman Diaz
15H. LupúHernan Lupú
17C. PenillaCristian Penilla
27J. IngrattiJosé Ingratti
29J. MolinaJairo MolinaUCV Moquegua Substitutes
10Nicolas ChavezM
88Yhonier LópezD
29Renzo FigueroaG
30Jose GrandaD
6Jimmy JiménezD
16Allonso DavilaF
14Claudio RamírezM
24Alexander LecarosF
35Edgar SantillánM
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
11Guillermo LariosF
95Daniel PrietoG
25Williams GuzmánD
19Jesus MendietaD
22Jorge del CastilloM
37Juan DelgadoM
20Jimmy PérezM
8Franchesco FloresM
9Valentín RobaldoF
Match Stats
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico 53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots18
3Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots5
12Fouls12
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
328Total Passes280
264Passes Accurate224
80%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico1488Elo Rating 1618
0.75Attack 2.32
0.89Defense 1.23
14%Hit Rate 56%
12.5Shots per Game 17.0
3.5Shots on Target 5.7
4.9Corners per Game 4.0
2.3Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
UCV Moquegua- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
Alianza Atletico- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Based on 1 historical meeting
UCV Moquegua 0%Draw 0%100% Alianza Atletico
3Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5
Recent Form
UCV Moquegua1W2D2L
Alianza Atletico3W1D1L
25/08/2026Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
21/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
WAlianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal31
W15/08/2026
ADTAlianza Atletico11
D06/08/2026Alianza Atletico
Cienciano10
W02/08/2026
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
LReferee Profile
Edwin Ordonez, Peru · 32 matches analysed
4.3Avg Yellows
4.6Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 48% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 | DDWLW |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 26 | 38:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDWLD |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDWLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:16 | +2 | 16 | DDWLD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 9 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
UCV Moquegua and Alianza Atletico have met 1 times recently, averaging 3 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.