Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Alianza Atletico Rest
6 days
Sporting Cristal Rest
5 days
Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal: result, form and history
Alianza Atletico beat Sporting Cristal 3-1 in the Primera División on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Sporting Cristal have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Referee Jordi Espinoza averages 5.91 cards a game, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.80
X28%3.13
228%2.46
Double Chance
1X72%1.49
X256%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.70
No40%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 1.1 = 2.64
Over 1.576%1.30
Over 2.555%2.00
Over 3.533%3.37
Under 1.524%3.25
Under 2.545%1.77
Under 3.567%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.4
Over 8.557%1.67
Over 9.546%2.06
Over 10.533%2.64
Under 8.543%2.07
Under 9.554%1.68
Under 10.567%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.6 = 5.2
Over 3.570%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.530%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
-5'Williams GuzmánArgument
23'Goal cancelledHernan Lupú
34'Michael HoyosFoul
41'Román SuárezFoul
44'Leandro SosaArgument
45+2'José IngrattiAssist: Guillermo Larios
46'Ian Wisdom INCatriel Cabellos out
46'Santiago González INMaxloren Castro out
50'Anthony GordilloFoul
52'Martín TávaraFoul
53'Michael HoyosAssist: Yoshimar Yotún
67'Cristiano INLeonardo Díaz out
68'Guillermo Larios INJimmy Pérez out
68'Cristian Penilla INAriel Muñoz out
74'Hernan Lupú INStefano Fernández out
76'Rafael Lutiger INAnderson Villacorta out
76'Michael Hoyos INHernán Barcos out
85'Ariel Muñoz(Penalty)
90'Anthony Gordillo INJesus Mendieta out
90'Jairo Molina INWilliams Guzmán out
90+5'German Diaz(Penalty)
Lineups
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
Coach: Roberto MosqueraAlianza Atletico Starting XI
31Steven Rivadeneyra
21Erick Perleche
2Román Suárez41'
6José Luján
24Anthony Gordillo50'90'replaced by Jesus Mendieta
11Guillermo Larios68'replaced by Jimmy Pérez
10German Diaz90+5'
15Hernan LupúC74'replaced by Stefano Fernández
17Cristian Penilla68'replaced by Ariel Muñoz
27José Ingratti45+2'
29Jairo Molina90'replaced by Williams Guzmán
Avg rating
Sporting Cristal Starting XI
1Diego Enríquez
8Leandro Sosa44'
20Miguel Araujo
5Rafael Lutiger76'replaced by Anderson Villacorta
90Cristiano67'replaced by Leonardo Díaz
25Martín Távara52'
19Yoshimar YotúnC
7Santiago González46'replaced by Maxloren Castro
26Ian Wisdom46'replaced by Catriel Cabellos
77Juan Manuel Cuesta
22Michael Hoyos34'53'76'replaced by Hernán Barcos
Avg rating
Alianza Atletico Substitutes
23Ariel Muñoz68'for Cristian Penilla85'
20Jimmy Pérez68'for Guillermo Larios
16Stefano Fernández74'for Hernan Lupú
25Williams Guzmán-5'90'for Jairo Molina
19Jesus Mendieta90'for Anthony Gordillo
95Daniel Prieto
8Franchesco Flores
37Juan Delgado
77Christian Valladolid
Sporting Cristal Substitutes
23Maxloren Castro46'for Santiago González
21Catriel Cabellos46'for Ian Wisdom
32Leonardo Díaz67'for Cristiano
4Anderson Villacorta76'for Rafael Lutiger
29Hernán Barcos76'for Michael Hoyos
33César Bautista
18Juan Cruz Gonzalez
16Luis Iberico
11Irven Ávila
Match Stats
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal 43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
16Fouls19
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
286Total Passes390
208Passes Accurate301
73%Pass Accuracy77%
Team Comparison
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal1620Elo Rating 1680
2.15Attack 2.69
0.60Defense 1.38
58%Hit Rate 77%
14.4Shots per Game 15.6
5.0Shots on Target 5.4
5.0Corners per Game 5.9
1.5Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Atletico- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sporting Cristal- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Atletico2Wins · 20%Draws220%
Sporting Cristal6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
07/03/2026Sporting CristalAlianza Atletico31
17/09/2025Sporting CristalAlianza Atletico00
19/04/2025Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal10
19/10/2024Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal10
05/05/2024Sporting CristalAlianza Atletico21
29/10/2023Sporting CristalAlianza Atletico30
11/06/2023Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal00
23/10/2022Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal02
25/06/2022Sporting CristalAlianza Atletico10
12/09/2021Sporting CristalAlianza Atletico52
Recent Form
Alianza Atletico6W1D3L
15/08/2026
ADTAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza LimaAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
CuscoAlianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
Cesar Vallejo
ADTAlianza Atletico11
D06/08/2026Alianza AtleticoCienciano10
W02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
L24/07/2026Alianza AtleticoClub Deportivo Los Chankas31
W19/07/2026CuscoAlianza Atletico41
L10/07/2026Alianza Atletico
Molinos El Pirata
Alianza AtleticoMolinos El Pirata32
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
19/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
WAlianza AtleticoCesar Vallejo20
W13/06/2026
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico
Carlos A. MannucciAlianza Atletico01
W31/05/2026
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico
FBC MelgarAlianza Atletico31
LSporting Cristal6W2D2L
16/08/2026Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
08/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
W
UniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D02/08/2026Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College20
W30/07/2026
RB BragantinoSporting Cristal10
L26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
L23/07/2026Sporting CristalRB Bragantino00
D17/07/2026Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso10
W11/07/2026Sporting Cristal
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Sporting CristalBentín Tacna Heroica4131
W27/06/2026Sporting Cristal
Union Comercio
Sporting CristalUnion Comercio20
W21/06/2026
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal12
WReferee Profile
5.91Cards per match
5.50Yellow cards per match
0.41Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.91 cards a match, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.92).
Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar 15/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sport Boys 16/08/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Universitario 16/08/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau 21/08/26
- Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua 22/08/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos 22/08/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs ADT 22/08/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco 23/08/26
About the Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal in the Primera División table
Alianza Atletico and Sporting Cristal are close in the Primera División table, 7th and 8th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Alianza Atletico 49-46, Sporting Cristal 57-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.