Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo Prediction

Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago·Juan Ignacio Lara Luco, Chile 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 5.5
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Universidad de Chile Rest
7 days
Colo Colo Rest
6 days

Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo: the result in context

Colo Colo beat Universidad de Chile 2-1 in the Primera División on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.24
X
31%3.40
2
29%2.90
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
60%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.14 = 2.56
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.84
Over 3.5
29%3.08
Under 1.5
25%3.70
Under 2.5
49%1.95
Under 3.5
71%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.9 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.42
Over 9.5
47%1.70
Over 10.5
35%2.14
Under 8.5
41%2.60
Under 9.5
53%2.03
Under 10.5
65%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 3 = 5.9
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
66%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
34%-

Match Events

29'Álvaro MadridAssist: Javier Correa
39'Maximiliano GuerreroFoul
42'Leandro HernándezFoul
45+1'Penalty confirmedTobías Reinhart
45+3'Charles Aránguiz(Penalty)
46'Maximiliano Guerrero INIgor Lichnovsky out
53'Javier CorreaAssist: Víctor Felipe Méndez
57'Matías ZaldiviaFoul
61'Tobías ReinhartArgument
61'Álvaro MadridFoul
63'Agustín Arce INIgnacio Vásquez out
64'Leandro Hernández INTomás Alarcón out
73'Lautaro Pastrán INMaximiliano Romero out
76'Charles Aránguiz INGonzalo Reyna out
77'Álvaro Madrid INIván Román out
83'Fabián Hormazábal INJuan Martín Lucero out
90+2'Jonathan VillagraTime wasting
90+3'Lucas BarreraArgument
90+3'Javier CorreaArgument

Lineups

Universidad de Chile
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Gago
Colo Colo
3-4-2-1Coach: Fernando Ortiz
Avg rating6.74
Avg rating6.85
Gabriel Castellón7.225G. Castellón
Fabián Hormazábal6.917F. Hormazábal
Matías Zaldivia7.222M. Zaldivia
Nicolás Ramírez6.35N. Ramírez
Marcelo Morales7.214M. Morales
Lucas Barrera7.529L. Barrera
Tobías Reinhart6.215T. Reinhart
Maximiliano Guerrero6.57M. Guerrero
Charles AránguizC6.620C. Aránguiz
Agustín Arce6.528A. Arce
Eduardo Vargas6.611E. Vargas
Gabriel Maureira6.525G. Maureira
Jonathan Villagra6.92J. Villagra
Arturo VidalC7.323A. Vidal
Joaquín Sosa6.34J. Sosa
Jeyson Rojas7.228J. Rojas
Álvaro Madrid7.08Á. Madrid
Víctor Felipe Méndez7.35V. Felipe Méndez
Diego Ulloa6.726D. Ulloa
Leandro Hernández7.024L. Hernández
Lautaro Pastrán6.910L. Pastrán
Javier Correa7.79J. Correa

Universidad de Chile Substitutes

3Igor Lichnovsky46'for Maximiliano Guerrero6.5
23Ignacio Vásquez63'for Agustín Arce6.9
32Gonzalo Reyna76'for Charles Aránguiz6.7
18Juan Martín Lucero83'for Fabián Hormazábal6.3
1Cristopher Toselli
31Bianneider Tamayo
8Israel Poblete
19Javier Altamirano
21Marcelo Díaz

Colo Colo Substitutes

6Tomás Alarcón64'for Leandro Hernández6.3
19Maximiliano Romero73'for Lautaro Pastrán6.2
17Iván Román77'for Álvaro Madrid6.6
29Vozinha
21Erick Wiemberg
13Matías Fernández
34Rodrigo Catalán
50Felipe Raipán
11Marcos Bolados

Match Stats

Universidad de ChileColo Colo
58%Ball Possession42%
4Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots4
11Fouls19
4Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves1
428Total Passes317
336Passes Accurate224
79%Pass Accuracy71%

Team Comparison

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
Colo ColoColo Colo
1717Elo Rating 1721
2.85Attack 2.85
2.29Defense 1.75
63%Hit Rate 64%
15.3Shots per Game 13.9
6.1Shots on Target 6.0
5.5Corners per Game 7.3
2.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Colo ColoColo Colo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Colo ColoColo Colo3Wins · 30%
2.0Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División01/03/2026
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
01
Super Cup14/09/2025
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
03
Primera División31/08/2025
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
10
Primera División12/07/2025
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
21
Primera División10/08/2024
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
00
Primera División10/03/2024
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
01
Primera División02/09/2023
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
11
Primera División12/03/2023
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
00
Primera División31/07/2022
Universidad de ChileColo Colo
13
Primera División06/03/2022
Colo ColoUniversidad de Chile
41

Recent Form

Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
8W1D1L
15/08/2026
Deportes LimacheUniversidad de Chile
13
W
10/08/2026
Universidad de ChilePalestino
21
W
06/08/2026
Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
01
W
02/08/2026
Universidad de ChileHuachipato
20
W
26/07/2026
A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile
12
W
05/07/2026
Santiago WanderersUniversidad de Chile
23
W
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
L
28/06/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion San Felipe
20
W
25/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
33
D
21/06/2026
Universidad de ChileSantiago Wanderers
41
W
Colo ColoColo Colo
7W2D1L

Referee Profile

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco118 matches

5.49Cards per match
5.13Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Ignacio Lara Luco5.49
Other referees5.66

5.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.66).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the Universidad de Chile vs Colo Colo forecast

As a derby, this Primera División meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Universidad de Chile and Colo Colo in the Primera División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Colo Colo are 1st in the Primera División, 10 points ahead of Universidad de Chile in 2nd. League goal record so far: Universidad de Chile 47-22, Colo Colo 59-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Universidad de Chile have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Colo Colo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.