D. La Serena vs Cobresal Prediction

D. La Serena
3-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Cobresal
La Portada, La Serena· Piero Maza, Chile 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel62%RiskMediumGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.68
SignalGOODModel58%RiskMediumGap+6.0%
D. La Serena Rest
8 days
Cobresal Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.66
X
24%3.83
2
19%4.55
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
43%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.62
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.1 = 2.66
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
52%1.65
Over 3.5
33%2.60
Under 1.5
24%4.25
Under 2.5
48%2.18
Under 3.5
67%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.37
Over 9.5
53%1.68
Over 10.5
39%2.09
Under 8.5
34%2.78
Under 9.5
47%2.07
Under 10.5
61%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.5 = 6.2
Over 3.5
91%-
Over 4.5
75%-
Under 3.5
9%-
Under 4.5
25%-

Match Events

6'Ángelo HenríquezAssist: Jeisson Vargas
20'Franco BechtholdtFoul
29'Julián BreaAssist: Felipe Villagrán
50'Felipe ChamorroFoul
53'Christian MorenoFoul
57'Benjamín ValenzuelaFoul
59'Ángelo Henríquez INDiego Rubio out
60'Julián Brea INCésar Yanis out
64'Christian MorenoOG
66'Matías MarínAssist: Felipe Chamorro
69'Fernando Dinamarca INYahir Salazar out
69'Gonzalo Escalante INGonzalo Gabriel Figueroa out
70'Benjamín Valenzuela INFranco Frías out
73'Bruno GutiérrezFoul
76'Steffan Pino INMartín Espinoza out
76'Janpol Morales INBryan Carvallo out
76'Victor Manuel Campos Mella INAaron Astudillo out
80'Franco Frías
90'Rafael DelgadoOG

Lineups

D. La Serena
4-2-3-1Coach: Francisco Bozan
Cobresal
4-1-4-1Coach: Gustavo Huerta
José Tapia31J. TapiaJosé Tapia
Bruno Gutiérrez21B. GutiérrezBruno Gutiérrez
Ian Rasso34I. RassoIan Rasso
Rafael Delgado33R. DelgadoRafael Delgado
Fernando Dinamarca26F. DinamarcaFernando Dinamarca
Gonzalo Escalante8G. EscalanteGonzalo Escalante
Sebastián Díaz6S. DíazSebastián Díaz
Matías Marín23M. MarínMatías Marín
Felipe Chamorro14F. ChamorroFelipe Chamorro
Jeisson Vargas10J. VargasJeisson Vargas
Ángelo Henríquez9Á. HenríquezÁngelo Henríquez
Matías Olguín36M. OlguínMatías Olguín
Victor Manuel Campos Mella43V. Manuel Campos MellaVictor Manuel Campos Mella
José Tiznado20J. TiznadoJosé Tiznado
Christian Moreno18C. MorenoChristian Moreno
Antonio Castillo15A. CastilloAntonio Castillo
Franco Bechtholdt16F. BechtholdtFranco Bechtholdt
Julián Brea11J. BreaJulián Brea
Benjamín Valenzuela13B. ValenzuelaBenjamín Valenzuela
Felipe Villagrán38F. VillagránFelipe Villagrán
Janpol Morales39J. MoralesJanpol Morales
Steffan Pino8S. PinoSteffan Pino

D. La Serena Substitutes

11Diego RubioF
17Yahir SalazarD
2Gonzalo Gabriel FigueroaF
38Ignacio SáezG
16Joaquín GutiérrezD
29Matías PintoD
5Lucas AlarcónD
3Matías PérezD
28Joan OrellanaM

Cobresal Substitutes

7César YanisF
32Franco FríasF
22Aaron AstudilloD
10Bryan CarvalloM
37Martín EspinozaF
44Camilo SepúlvedaG
23Guillermo PachecoD
6Esteban ValenciaM
3Benjamín VillarroelD

Match Stats

D. La SerenaCobresal
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots21
10Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box12
5Blocked Shots7
15Fouls10
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves8
405Total Passes329
328Passes Accurate248
81%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
CobresalCobresal
1518Elo Rating 1464
1.43Attack 1.70
1.47Defense 0.99
56%Hit Rate 46%
12.1Shots per Game 15.3
4.8Shots on Target 5.8
3.5Corners per Game 4.8
2.5Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend14% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

D. La SerenaD. La Serena
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CobresalCobresal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

D. La Serena 46%Draw 37%17% Cobresal
1.08Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Piero Maza, Chile · 25 matches analysed

5.5Avg Yellows
6.0Avg Cards
24.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 96% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

D. La Serena vs Cobresal Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

D. La Serena and Cobresal have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.08 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.