Universitario vs Sporting Cristal Prediction

Primera División

Peru · Clausura - 4

Derby

Universitario

1-1

Finished

HT 0-0

Sporting Cristal

Estadio Monumental, Lima· S. Lozano 08/08/2026

Universitario

1-1

Finished

Sporting Cristal

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality

Complete

Match Importance

5.9 / 10

Value Analysis

71%Trust

Corners Total

Corners Under 10.5

1.57

SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+12.4%

Universitario Rest

5 days

Sporting Cristal Rest

5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result

57%1.80

26%3.52

17%4.20

Double Chance

83%1.20

44%1.91

Both Teams to Score

Yes

51%1.80

49%1.90

Goals

Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.89 = 2.30

Over 1.5

71%1.28

Over 2.5

48%1.92

Over 3.5

26%3.25

Under 1.5

29%3.40

Under 2.5

52%1.83

Under 3.5

74%1.30

Corners

Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4 = 9.3

Over 8.5

57%1.47

Over 9.5

45%1.75

Over 10.5

29%2.23

Under 8.5

43%2.48

Under 9.5

55%1.97

Under 10.5

71%1.57

Cards

Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9

Over 3.5

72%-

Over 4.5

52%-

Under 3.5

28%-

Under 4.5

48%-

Match Events

16'C. FaraFoul

30'Y. YotunFoul

46'J. Gonzalez INL. Sosa out

65'Gabriel INJ. Cuesta out

71'A. Santamaria INW. Riveros out

72'G. LapadulaAssist: A. Valera

75'H. Barcos INM. Hoyos out

76'L. Diaz INC. Cabellos out

82'Y. Yotun(Penalty)

83'J. Requena INJ. Murrugarra out

83'J. Concha INL. Alzugaray out

89'A. QuirozFoul

90+1'C. CabellosFoul

90+5'S. Gonzalez INM. Castro out

Lineups

Universitario

3-5-2Coach: Hector Cuper

Sporting Cristal

3-5-2Coach: Roberto Mosquera

1D. RomeroD. Romero

2C. FaraC. Fara

4A. SantamariaA. Santamaria

5M. Di BenedettoM. Di Benedetto

24A. PoloA. Polo

28A. QuirozA. Quiroz

15J. RequenaJ. Requena

17J. ConchaJ. Concha

33C. IngaC. Inga

18G. LapadulaG. Lapadula

20A. ValeraA. Valera

1D. EnriquezD. Enriquez

20M. AraujoM. Araujo

5R. LutigerR. Lutiger

32L. DiazL. Diaz

18J. GonzalezJ. Gonzalez

27GabrielGabriel

19Y. YotunY. Yotun

25M. TavaraM. Tavara

90CristianoCristiano

7S. GonzalezS. Gonzalez

29H. BarcosH. Barcos

Universitario Substitutes

25M. VargasG

29A. CorzoD

10H. CalcaterraM

3W. RiverosD

8H. FertoliM

11J. RiveraF

23J. MurrugarraM

30L. AlzugarayF

21J. Guivin TantaM

Sporting Cristal Substitutes

33C. Bautista

11I. AvilaF

22M. HoyosM

77J. CuestaF

26I. WisdomM

23M. CastroF

16L. IbericoF

8L. SosaM

21C. CabellosM

Match Stats

UniversitarioSporting Cristal

44%Ball Possession56%

2Corner Kicks4

2Yellow Cards2

14Total Shots7

3Shots on Goal2

7Shots off Goal5

11Shots Inside Box3

3Shots Outside Box4

4Blocked Shots1

15Fouls15

3Offsides0

1Goalkeeper Saves2

347Total Passes447

272Passes Accurate373

78%Pass Accuracy83%

Universitario

Sporting Cristal

1697Elo Rating 1638

2.70Attack 2.49

1.60Defense 1.95

77%Hit Rate 66%

13.5Shots per Game 11.4

6.4Shots on Target 4.0

5.1Corners per Game 5.1

2.8Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend58% in H2H

🔥Derby Match

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Universitario

Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.9 in first half)

Sporting Cristal

Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Universitario 56%Draw 27%17% Sporting Cristal

2.9Avg Goals

58%BTTS Rate

58%Over 2.5

Recent Form

11/07/2026

Universitario

Millonarios

27/06/2026

Universitario

Atletico Grau

02/08/2026

Sporting Cristal

Juan Pablo II College

Referee Profile

S. Lozano · 31 matches analysed

5.2Avg Yellows

5.5Avg Cards

27.7Avg Fouls

Stricter than 92% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Alianza Lima	26	15	8	3	42:18	+24	53	LWDWW
2	Universitario	26	14	7	5	43:27	+16	49	WDWLW
3	FBC Melgar	26	13	6	7	44:28	+16	45	LDDLL
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	26	13	6	7	35:24	+11	45	WDDLL
5	Cusco	26	13	3	10	38:37	+1	42	WWLWL
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	26	12	5	9	35:44	-9	41	WWWWW
7	Cienciano	25	12	4	9	44:37	+7	40	WWWWD
8	Alianza Atletico	26	10	7	9	38:34	+4	37	DDWLD
9	Sport Boys	26	10	7	9	28:25	+3	37	LWLLD
10	Sporting Cristal	26	10	5	11	45:39	+6	35	LLWWL
11	Atletico Grau	26	9	5	12	25:28	-3	32	DDDWL
12	Sport Huancayo	26	9	5	12	34:42	-8	32	DLLLW
13	Juan Pablo II College	26	8	7	11	38:52	-14	31	WLLWW
14	Comerciantes Unidos	26	7	9	10	34:36	-2	30	DDWLW
15	FC Cajamarca	26	7	6	13	40:50	-10	27	LLLLL
16	UCV Moquegua	26	6	7	13	24:37	-13	25	WLLWD
17	ADT	25	5	7	13	27:39	-12	22	DWLDD
18	UTC Cajamarca	26	4	8	14	30:47	-17	15	LDLWL

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	26	42:18	53
2	Universitario	26	43:27	49
3	FBC Melgar	26	44:28	45
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	26	35:24	45
5	Cusco	26	38:37	42
6	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	26	35:44	41
7	Cienciano	25	44:37	40
8	Alianza Atletico	26	38:34	37
9	Sport Boys	26	28:25	37
10	Sporting Cristal	26	45:39	35
11	Atletico Grau	26	25:28	32
12	Sport Huancayo	26	34:42	32
13	Juan Pablo II College	26	38:52	31
14	Comerciantes Unidos	26	34:36	30
15	FC Cajamarca	26	40:50	27
16	UCV Moquegua	26	24:37	25
17	ADT	25	27:39	22
18	UTC Cajamarca	26	30:47	15

Primera Division: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Alianza Lima	17	12	4	1	30:8	+22	40	LWDWW
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	10	4	3	25:21	+4	34	WWWWW
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34:22	+12	33	WWWWD
4	Universitario	17	8	5	4	24:15	+9	29	WDWLW
5	FBC Melgar	17	8	4	5	29:20	+9	28	LDDLL
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21:24	-3	27	WWLWL
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	7	5	5	21:18	+3	26	WDDLL
8	Alianza Atletico	17	5	6	6	20:18	+2	21	DDWLD
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18:20	-2	21	DDWLW
10	ADT	17	5	5	7	22:21	+1	20	DWLDD
11	Sport Boys	17	5	5	7	15:19	-4	20	LWLLD
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28:30	-2	19	LLWWL
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	4	6	7	21:26	-5	18	LDLWL
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17:24	-7	18	WLLWD
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23:28	-5	17	LLLLL
16	Atletico Grau	17	4	4	9	12:18	-6	16	DDDWL
17	Sport Huancayo	17	4	4	9	21:31	-10	16	DLLLW
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	4	4	9	22:40	-18	16	WLLWW

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	17	30:8	40
2	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	17	25:21	34
3	Cienciano	17	34:22	33
4	Universitario	17	24:15	29
5	FBC Melgar	17	29:20	28
6	Cusco	17	21:24	27
7	Deportivo Garcilaso	17	21:18	26
8	Alianza Atletico	17	20:18	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	18:20	21
10	ADT	17	22:21	20
11	Sport Boys	17	15:19	20
12	Sporting Cristal	17	28:30	19
13	UTC Cajamarca	17	21:26	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	17:24	18
15	FC Cajamarca	17	23:28	17
16	Atletico Grau	17	12:18	16
17	Sport Huancayo	17	21:31	16
18	Juan Pablo II College	17	22:40	16

Primera Division: Clausura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	Pts	Form
1	Universitario	9	6	2	1	19:12	+7	20	WDWLW
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	9	6	1	2	14:6	+8	19	WDDLL
3	FBC Melgar	9	5	2	2	15:8	+7	17	LDDLL
4	Sport Boys	9	5	2	2	13:6	+7	17	LWLLD
5	Sporting Cristal	9	5	1	3	17:9	+8	16	LLWWL
6	Atletico Grau	9	5	1	3	13:10	+3	16	DDDWL
7	Alianza Atletico	9	5	1	3	18:16	+2	16	DDWLD
8	Sport Huancayo	9	5	1	3	13:11	+2	16	DLLLW
9	Cusco	9	5	0	4	17:13	+4	15	WWLWL
10	Juan Pablo II College	9	4	3	2	16:12	+4	15	WLLWW
11	Alianza Lima	9	3	4	2	12:10	+2	13	LWDWW
12	FC Cajamarca	9	3	1	5	17:22	-5	10	LLLLL
13	Comerciantes Unidos	9	2	3	4	16:16	0	9	DDWLW
14	Cienciano	8	2	1	5	10:15	-5	7	WWWWD
15	UCV Moquegua	9	1	4	4	7:13	-6	7	WLLWD
16	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	9	2	1	6	10:23	-13	7	WWWWW
17	UTC Cajamarca	9	0	2	7	9:21	-12	2	LDLWL
18	ADT	8	0	2	6	5:18	-13	2	DWLDD

#	Team	MP	G	Pts
1	Universitario	9	19:12	20
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	9	14:6	19
3	FBC Melgar	9	15:8	17
4	Sport Boys	9	13:6	17
5	Sporting Cristal	9	17:9	16
6	Atletico Grau	9	13:10	16
7	Alianza Atletico	9	18:16	16
8	Sport Huancayo	9	13:11	16
9	Cusco	9	17:13	15
10	Juan Pablo II College	9	16:12	15
11	Alianza Lima	9	12:10	13
12	FC Cajamarca	9	17:22	10
13	Comerciantes Unidos	9	16:16	9
14	Cienciano	8	10:15	7
15	UCV Moquegua	9	7:13	7
16	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	9	10:23	7
17	UTC Cajamarca	9	9:21	2
18	ADT	8	5:18	2

PromotionRelegation

This Primera División meeting between Universitario and Sporting Cristal carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Universitario have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Universitario and Sporting Cristal have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.9 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.

Universitario vs Sporting Cristal Prediction

AI Best Pick

Match Forecasts

Match Events

Lineups

Universitario Substitutes

Sporting Cristal Substitutes

Match Stats

Team Comparison

AI Insights

Game State Tendencies

Head to Head

Recent Form

Referee Profile

League Table

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

Primera Division: Apertura

Primera Division: Clausura