Universitario vs Sporting Cristal Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.57
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+12.4%
Universitario Rest
5 days
Sporting Cristal Rest
5 days
Universitario vs Sporting Cristal: result, form and history
Universitario and Sporting Cristal drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
157%1.80
X26%3.52
217%4.20
Double Chance
1X83%1.20
X244%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.80
No49%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 0.89 = 2.30
Over 1.571%1.28
Over 2.548%1.92
Over 3.526%3.25
Under 1.529%3.40
Under 2.552%1.83
Under 3.574%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.47
Over 9.545%1.75
Over 10.529%2.23
Under 8.543%2.48
Under 9.555%1.97
Under 10.571%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.552%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.548%-
Match Events
16'C. FaraFoul
30'Y. YotunFoul
46'J. Gonzalez INL. Sosa out
65'Gabriel INJ. Cuesta out
71'A. Santamaria INW. Riveros out
72'G. LapadulaAssist: A. Valera
75'H. Barcos INM. Hoyos out
76'L. Diaz INC. Cabellos out
82'Y. Yotun(Penalty)
83'J. Requena INJ. Murrugarra out
83'J. Concha INL. Alzugaray out
89'A. QuirozFoul
90+1'C. CabellosFoul
90+5'S. Gonzalez INM. Castro out
Lineups
UniversitarioSporting Cristal
3-5-2Coach: Roberto MosqueraAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Romero
2C. Fara
4A. Santamaria
5M. Di Benedetto
C24A. Polo
28A. Quiroz
15J. Requena
17J. Concha
33C. Inga
18G. Lapadula
20A. Valera
1D. Enriquez
20M. Araujo
5R. Lutiger
32L. Diaz
18J. Gonzalez
27Gabriel
C19Y. Yotun
25M. Tavara
90Cristiano
7S. Gonzalez
29H. BarcosUniversitario Substitutes
25M. Vargas
29A. Corzo
10H. Calcaterra
3W. Riveros71'for A. Santamaria
8H. Fertoli
11J. Rivera
23J. Murrugarra83'for J. Requena
30L. Alzugaray83'for J. Concha
21J. Guivin Tanta
Sporting Cristal Substitutes
33C. Bautista
11I. Avila
22M. Hoyos75'for H. Barcos
77J. Cuesta65'for Gabriel
26I. Wisdom
23M. Castro90+5'for S. Gonzalez
16L. Iberico
8L. Sosa46'for J. Gonzalez
21C. Cabellos76'for L. Diaz90+1'
Match Stats
UniversitarioSporting Cristal 44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
15Fouls15
3Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
347Total Passes447
272Passes Accurate373
78%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
UniversitarioSporting Cristal1721Elo Rating 1689
2.76Attack 3.03
1.78Defense 1.63
59%Hit Rate 81%
19.4Shots per Game 17.1
7.2Shots on Target 5.4
6.9Corners per Game 6.1
1.2Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Universitario- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)
Sporting Cristal- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Universitario4Wins · 40%Draws550%
Sporting Cristal1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
21/02/2026Sporting CristalUniversitario22
24/10/2025Sporting CristalUniversitario01
23/05/2025UniversitarioSporting Cristal20
24/10/2024Sporting CristalUniversitario21
13/05/2024UniversitarioSporting Cristal41
17/09/2023Sporting CristalUniversitario00
25/04/2023UniversitarioSporting Cristal20
09/10/2022Sporting CristalUniversitario00
22/05/2022UniversitarioSporting Cristal11
04/08/2021Sporting CristalUniversitario22
Recent Form
Universitario4W4D2L
03/08/2026
CiencianoUniversitarioUniversitario
Cusco
ADTUniversitario
CiencianoUniversitario20
L25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
W18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
W27/06/2026Universitario
Atletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
D13/06/2026
Molinos El PirataUniversitario
Molinos El PirataUniversitario20
L31/05/2026Universitario
Sport Huancayo
UniversitarioSport Huancayo21
W27/05/2026Universitario
Deportes Tolima
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima00
D23/05/2026
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario00
D21/05/2026
Club NacionalUniversitario
Club NacionalUniversitario00
DSporting Cristal5W2D3L
02/08/2026Sporting Cristal
Juan Pablo II College
RB BragantinoSporting Cristal
FBC MelgarSporting CristalSporting CristalRB BragantinoSporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting CristalJuan Pablo II College20
W30/07/2026RB BragantinoSporting Cristal10
L26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
L23/07/2026Sporting CristalRB Bragantino00
D17/07/2026Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso10
W11/07/2026Sporting Cristal
Bentín Tacna Heroica
Sporting CristalBentín Tacna Heroica4131
W27/06/2026Sporting Cristal
Union Comercio
Sporting CristalUnion Comercio20
W21/06/2026
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal
Estudiantil CNISporting Cristal12
W13/06/2026
ComerciantesSporting Cristal
ComerciantesSporting Cristal11
D01/06/2026CiencianoSporting Cristal
CiencianoSporting Cristal32
LReferee Profile
5.42Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
26.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.42 cards a match, 0.29 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).
Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 42 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 31 | LWDWW |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 17 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 29 | DWWWL |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 14 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 29 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 14 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Cienciano vs Universitario 03/08/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano 06/08/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 07/08/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco 07/08/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs ADT 08/08/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Atletico Grau 08/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima 09/08/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs UCV Moquegua 09/08/26
About the Universitario vs Sporting Cristal forecast
As a derby, this Primera División meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Universitario and Sporting Cristal in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Universitario are 2nd and Sporting Cristal 5th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Universitario 59-39, Sporting Cristal 63-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.