VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 11
VVV Venlo
4-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Jong AZ
Seacon Stadion De Koel, Venlo 16/10/2026
VVV VenloVVV Venlo
4-4
Finished
Jong AZJong AZ

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
VVV Venlo Rest
7 days
Jong AZ Rest
7 days

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ: the result in context

VVV Venlo and Jong AZ drew 4-4 in the Eerste Divisie on 16 Oct 2026. VVV Venlo had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Jong AZ.

Jong AZ have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.82
X
22%4.15
2
30%3.35
Double Chance
1X
70%1.32
X2
52%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
73%1.29
No
27%3.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 1.41 = 3.46
Over 1.5
88%1.06
Over 2.5
75%1.29
Over 3.5
54%1.73
Under 1.5
12%7.75
Under 2.5
25%3.50
Under 3.5
46%2.02
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.25
Over 9.5
57%1.46
Over 10.5
45%1.81
Under 8.5
32%3.13
Under 9.5
43%2.41
Under 10.5
55%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
34%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
66%-

Match Events

13'Jerolldino BergraafAssist: Hessel de Wit
22'rio robbemondAssist: Jerolldino Bergraaf
31'Ismail Oulad M'HandFoul
33'L. Schmidt
45'rio robbemond INJasper Hartog out
49'L. SchmidtAssist: Thomas Janssen
55'Jasper HartogAssist: Hessel de Wit
60'Philip Heise INLars de Blok out
60'Ismail Oulad M'Hand INLuis Gorlich out
60'Thomas Janssen INAmir rais out
64'Jerolldino Bergraaf INMathijs Menu out
64'Hessel de Wit INKevin toppenberg out
66'Andreas Verstraeten
69'L. Schmidt INMattheos Tsigkas out
70'Eanna ClancyAssist: Lars de Blok
74'Raf VullersFoul
74'Jasper HartogDissent
78'Wassim bouziane INSaviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe out
83'Julian Sijbrands INBogdan Budko out
90'Lars de BlokArgument
90'Jesper ZwartArgument
90+3'Jasper HartogAssist: Bogdan Budko
90+4'Eanna ClancyArgument
90+4'Kevin toppenbergArgument

Lineups

VVV Venlo
5-4-1Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1Coach: Norbert Alblas
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.59
Y. Schoonderwaldt6.213Y. Schoonderwaldt
Raf Vullers6.014R. Vullers
É. Clancy7.14É. Clancy
A. Verstraeten7.76A. Verstraeten
G. Blancquart6.233G. Blancquart
P. Heise5.916P. Heise
Thomas Janssen7.119T. Janssen
Ismail Oulad M'Hand5.98I. Oulad M'Hand
N. Ait Mouhou6.111N. Ait Mouhou
M. Odriss6.524M. Odriss
L. Schmidt8.817L. Schmidt
I. Ka5.91I. Ka
J. Zwart5.52J. Zwart
A. Natali6.33A. Natali
F. Andersen6.34F. Andersen
K. Inge6.55K. Inge
66J. Sijbrands
J. Oerip6.28J. Oerip
99J. Bergraaf
H. de Wit7.210H. de Wit
1111W. bouziane
R. Robbemond7.77R. Robbemond

VVV Venlo Substitutes

31M. Davis
21L. Görlich60'for Ismail Oulad M'Hand5.8
43D. Hendrix
15Tijn Joosten
34A. Rais60'for Thomas Janssen6.9
22Zidane Taylan
9M. Tsigkas69'for L. Schmidt6.6
5Lars de Blok60'for Philip Heise90'5.6
35Yousri El Anbri
47M. van Grootel
1T. Doornbusch

Jong AZ Substitutes

20K. van Ouytsel
16K. Zeggen
19K. Toppenberg64'for Hessel de Wit90+4'6.2
23J. Schipper
15Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe78'replaced by Wassim bouziane
14Mathijs Menu64'replaced by Jerolldino Bergraaf5.8
17J. Hartog45'for rio robbemond55'74'90+3'9.0
12J. Esajas
18Bohdan Budko83'replaced by Julian Sijbrands5.9

Match Stats

VVV VenloJong AZ
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal6
10Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box14
5Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots9
13Fouls14
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
383Total Passes422
320Passes Accurate356
13Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

VVV VenloVVV Venlo
Jong AZJong AZ
1588Elo Rating 1532
3.19Attack 3.07
1.12Defense 0.50
63%Hit Rate 44%
18.3Shots per Game 16.5
6.1Shots on Target 6.4
6.1Corners per Game 5.8
2.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.46 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VVV VenloVVV Venlo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.4 in first half)
Jong AZJong AZ
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 1.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VVV VenloVVV Venlo1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
Jong AZJong AZ8Wins · 80%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie16/01/2026
VVV VenloJong AZ
13
Eerste Divisie07/11/2025
Jong AZVVV Venlo
02
Eerste Divisie03/02/2025
Jong AZVVV Venlo
30
Eerste Divisie08/11/2024
VVV VenloJong AZ
01
Eerste Divisie22/04/2024
Jong AZVVV Venlo
21
Eerste Divisie03/11/2023
VVV VenloJong AZ
22
Eerste Divisie03/02/2023
Jong AZVVV Venlo
43
Eerste Divisie28/10/2022
VVV VenloJong AZ
12
Eerste Divisie21/01/2022
Jong AZVVV Venlo
20
Eerste Divisie27/08/2021
VVV VenloJong AZ
01

Recent Form

VVV VenloVVV Venlo
7W0D3L
09/10/2026
Jong AjaxVVV Venlo
03
W
04/10/2026
VVV VenloRoda
20
W
26/09/2026
FC VolendamVVV Venlo
32
L
18/09/2026
Jong UtrechtVVV Venlo
13
W
11/09/2026
VVV VenloFC OSS
31
W
04/09/2026
Helmond SportVVV Venlo
42
L
30/08/2026
VVV VenloEmmen
40
W
23/08/2026
VVV VenloDe Graafschap
21
W
14/08/2026
NAC BredaVVV Venlo
02
W
07/08/2026
VVV VenloHeracles
34
L
Jong AZJong AZ
4W1D5L
09/10/2026
Jong AZDen Bosch
01
L
18/09/2026
Jong AZFC Volendam
41
W
14/09/2026
Jong PSV U21Jong AZ
11
D
11/09/2026
HeraclesJong AZ
32
L
05/09/2026
DordrechtJong AZ
36
W
31/08/2026
Jong AZJong Utrecht
21
W
28/08/2026
Jong AZMVV
12
L
21/08/2026
EmmenJong AZ
31
L
17/08/2026
De GraafschapJong AZ
25
W
10/08/2026
Jong AZFC Eindhoven
01
L

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

VVV Venlo and Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, VVV Venlo are 2nd and Jong AZ 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: VVV Venlo 34-20, Jong AZ 31-26. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.