Waalwijk vs FC Volendam Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 11
Waalwijk
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Volendam
Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk 18/10/2026
WaalwijkWaalwijk
1-1
Finished
FC VolendamFC Volendam

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Waalwijk Rest
8 days
FC Volendam Rest
8 days

Waalwijk vs FC Volendam: the result in context

Waalwijk and FC Volendam drew 1-1 in the Eerste Divisie on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Waalwijk tend to win more corners, 7.4 a game to 3.5 for FC Volendam.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.97
X
25%3.92
2
27%3.20
Double Chance
1X
73%1.31
X2
52%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.38
No
31%2.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 1.47 = 3.55
Over 1.5
89%1.09
Over 2.5
74%1.40
Over 3.5
52%2.00
Under 1.5
11%6.14
Under 2.5
26%2.74
Under 3.5
48%1.75
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4.1 = 10.3
Over 8.5
68%1.33
Over 9.5
56%1.63
Over 10.5
45%1.99
Under 8.5
32%2.81
Under 9.5
44%2.13
Under 10.5
55%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

4'Reuven NiemeijerAssist: Nick Doodeman
24'Alex PlatFoul
39'Daan HuismanFoul
45'Alex Plat INDeron Payne out
61'Ryan Fage INFinn Stokkers out
70'Nordin BukalaFoul
70'Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela INAzzedine Dkidak out
71'Virgil Misidjan INYoram van der Veen out
76'Y. Jaber el Maftahi IND. Bisschops out
81'Yoram van der Veen
84'Nick Doodeman INFrederik Ihler out
84'Jesse van de Haar INNazjir Held out
84'Tim van de Loo INJochem Nap out

Lineups

Waalwijk
4-2-3-1Coach: Sander Duits
FC Volendam
4-3-3Coach: E. van de Looi
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.60
N. Schiks6.71N. Schiks
F. Al Mazyani6.833F. Al Mazyani
L. van Gelderen6.84L. van Gelderen
J. de Wijs6.730J. de Wijs
Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo7.15J. Carlos Familia-Castillo
L. Postma7.06L. Postma
T. van de Loo6.222T. van de Loo
R. Fage6.37R. Fage
V. Misidjan6.493V. Misidjan
Keyan Varela5.920K. Varela
J. van de Haar6.09J. van de Haar
H. Jurjus6.91H. Jurjus
N. Bukala6.118N. Bukala
Luca Blondeau6.825L. Blondeau
M. Amevor6.73M. Amevor
P. Ugwu6.92P. Ugwu
D. Huisman6.18D. Huisman
R. Niemeijer7.510R. Niemeijer
A. Plat6.26A. Plat
N. Doodeman7.07N. Doodeman
H. Veerman6.49H. Veerman
Y. el Maftahi6.621Y. el Maftahi

Waalwijk Substitutes

8J. Nap84'for Tim van de Loo6.3
25N. Bakboord
24A. Dkidak70'for Keyan Anderson Pereira Varela6.6
55N. Held84'for Jesse van de Haar6.4
17R. Kuijpers
13Xander Mulder
16M. Spenkelink
27F. Stokkers61'for Ryan Fage6.6
19H. van Gemert
18R. van Hedel
3S. van der Plas
11Yorem van der Veen71'for Virgil Misidjan81'8.2

FC Volendam Substitutes

34M. Belfqih
5Dean Bisschops76'for Y. Jaber el Maftahi6.4
67F. Ihler84'for Nick Doodeman6.5
63J. Haakmat
17Miguel Opoku Agyemang
12D. Payne45'for Alex Plat6.5
11Kayden Wolff
16R. Steur
22D. Vlak
46M. van der Horst

Match Stats

WaalwijkFC Volendam
54%Ball Possession46%
14Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal1
11Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots5
9Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
426Total Passes379
351Passes Accurate286
10Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

WaalwijkWaalwijk
FC VolendamFC Volendam
1596Elo Rating 1590
0.66Attack 2.66
1.47Defense 1.78
0%Hit Rate 61%
15.9Shots per Game 11.6
4.1Shots on Target 4.7
7.4Corners per Game 3.5
1.5Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

âš½High Goal Expectancy3.55 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

WaalwijkWaalwijk
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC VolendamFC Volendam
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

WaalwijkWaalwijk2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
FC VolendamFC Volendam2Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Eredivisie07/04/2024
FC VolendamWaalwijk
32
Eredivisie21/10/2023
WaalwijkFC Volendam
21
Eredivisie05/05/2023
WaalwijkFC Volendam
41
Eredivisie14/01/2023
FC VolendamWaalwijk
21

Recent Form

WaalwijkWaalwijk
3W5D2L
09/10/2026
HeraclesWaalwijk
30
L03/10/2026
WaalwijkEmmen
11
D26/09/2026
RodaWaalwijk
20
L18/09/2026
WaalwijkMVV
61
W11/09/2026
Jong AjaxWaalwijk
02
W
04/09/2026
WaalwijkNAC Breda
42
W
28/08/2026
WaalwijkJong PSV U21
22
D
21/08/2026
Helmond SportWaalwijk
11
D
14/08/2026
WaalwijkDordrecht
22
D
07/08/2026
VitesseWaalwijk
11
D
FC VolendamFC Volendam
5W0D5L
09/10/2026
FC VolendamVitesse
20
W
03/10/2026
Almere City FCFC Volendam
10
L26/09/2026
FC VolendamVVV Venlo
32
W
18/09/2026
Jong AZFC Volendam
41
L
13/09/2026
FC VolendamDen Bosch
20
W
04/09/2026
EmmenFC Volendam
53
L
28/08/2026
FC VolendamDordrecht
61
W21/08/2026
MVVFC Volendam
10
L15/08/2026
FC VolendamFC OSS
30
W10/08/2026
Jong PSV U21FC Volendam
32
L

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Waalwijk vs FC Volendam forecast

The forecasts for this Eerste Divisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Waalwijk and FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, FC Volendam are 7th and Waalwijk 11th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Waalwijk 21-17, FC Volendam 29-20. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Volendam have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.