Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eerste DivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 11
Helmond Sport
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
NAC Breda
Lavans Stadion, Helmond 16/10/2026
Helmond SportHelmond Sport
0-2
Finished
NAC BredaNAC Breda

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.52
SignalNEUTRALModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-8.7%
Helmond Sport Rest
7 days
NAC Breda Rest
7 days

Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: result, form and history

NAC Breda beat Helmond Sport 2-0 in the Eerste Divisie on 16 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: NAC Breda had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Helmond Sport.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%5.03
X
23%4.50
2
55%1.52
Double Chance
1X
45%2.39
X2
78%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.50
No
38%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.42 = 2.92
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
63%1.40
Over 3.5
42%2.02
Under 1.5
17%6.06
Under 2.5
37%2.75
Under 3.5
58%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.6 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.36
Over 9.5
53%1.65
Over 10.5
42%2.02
Under 8.5
35%2.83
Under 9.5
47%2.08
Under 10.5
58%1.70
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.9 = 4
Over 3.5
56%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
44%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

39'Charles-Andreas BrymAssist: Moussa Soumano
55'Moussa Soumano(Penalty)
58'Dean·Huiberts INMauro Lenaerts out
59'Flor Van Den Eynden INLovro Golic out
59'Kiton Ekoli INJoep van der Sluijs out
64'Michel Simon LudwigFoul
66'Boyd LucassenFoul
70'Thomas Poll INTijn Landheer out
75'Livio Cicero INLabinot Bajrami out
75'Rio·HillenFoul
82'Moussa Soumano INPaul Gladon out
82'Maximilien Balard INKarim Mperanyi out
89'Mohamed Nassoh INImran Nazih out
89'Charles-Andreas Brym INBrahim Ghalidi out
89'Jan Van den Bergh INMylan Brouwers out

Lineups

Helmond Sport
4-2-3-1Coach: Frédéric Frans
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Kruijs
Avg rating6.26
Avg rating7.07
M. Bergsen6.91M. Bergsen
S. Dekkers6.320S. Dekkers
F. Van Den Eynden6.43F. Van Den Eynden
B. Koglin6.74B. Koglin
T. Poll5.65T. Poll
M. Ludwig5.96M. Ludwig
Xander van der Velde6.644X. van der Velde
K. Ekoli6.030K. Ekoli
D. Huiberts6.210D. Huiberts
T. Essakkati6.234T. Essakkati
L. Cicero6.511L. Cicero
M. Verrips7.51M. Verrips
B. Lucassen6.82B. Lucassen
L. Greiml7.54L. Greiml
R. Hillen7.122R. Hillen
J. Van den Bergh7.312J. Van den Bergh
M. Balard6.96M. Balard
M. Nassoh6.610M. Nassoh
K. Sowah6.514K. Sowah
J. Van Hecke7.278J. Van Hecke
C. Brym7.928C. Brym
M. Soumano7.79M. Soumano

Helmond Sport Substitutes

2R. van Bree
21Wessel van der Heijden
7J. van der Sluijs59'for Kiton Ekoli6.1
26Alto Gjoka
9L. Bajrami75'for Livio Cicero6.3
23A. El Maach
47Dayen Geerts
14Lovro Golič59'for Flor Van Den Eynden6.4
43T. Landheer70'for Thomas Poll6.2
35N. Meissner
94Mauro Lenaerts58'for Dean·Huiberts5.9

NAC Breda Substitutes

19P. Gladon82'for Moussa Soumano6.6
5J. Candelaria
35M. Brouwers89'for Jan Van den Bergh7.1
17M. Bouchouari
23R. Kortsmit
31K. Lamprou
27Karim Mperanyi82'replaced by Maximilien Balard
34I. Nazih89'for Mohamed Nassoh6.8
8F. Oldrup Jensen
11G. Misehouy
26P. Reulen
55B. Ghalidi89'for Charles-Andreas Brym6.5

Match Stats

Helmond SportNAC Breda
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal7
1Shots off Goal3
4Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots4
14Fouls12
3Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
402Total Passes517
320Passes Accurate426
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
NAC BredaNAC Breda
1427Elo Rating 1566
1.60Attack 1.82
0.00Defense 2.12
0%Hit Rate 56%
14.3Shots per Game 13.8
6.0Shots on Target 5.1
4.6Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
NAC BredaNAC Breda
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Helmond SportHelmond Sport2Wins · 25%
Draws225%
NAC BredaNAC Breda4Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Eerste Divisie26/01/2024
Helmond SportNAC Breda
10
Eerste Divisie27/10/2023
NAC BredaHelmond Sport
11
Eerste Divisie13/01/2023
Helmond SportNAC Breda
22
Eerste Divisie05/08/2022
NAC BredaHelmond Sport
10
Eerste Divisie18/03/2022
Helmond SportNAC Breda
40
Eerste Divisie27/11/2021
NAC BredaHelmond Sport
10
Eerste Divisie12/03/2021
NAC BredaHelmond Sport
32
Eerste Divisie06/09/2020
Helmond SportNAC Breda
02

Recent Form

Helmond SportHelmond Sport
2W3D5L
09/10/2026
FC OSSHelmond Sport
31
L02/10/2026
Helmond SportHeracles
22
D
26/09/2026
MVVHelmond Sport
20
L
18/09/2026
Den BoschHelmond Sport
21
L11/09/2026
Helmond SportJong PSV U21
31
W
04/09/2026
Helmond SportVVV Venlo
42
W
28/08/2026
Jong AjaxHelmond Sport
32
L
21/08/2026
Helmond SportWaalwijk
11
D
14/08/2026
RodaHelmond Sport
21
L09/08/2026
Helmond SportDe Graafschap
11
D
NAC BredaNAC Breda
5W2D3L
09/10/2026
NAC BredaMVV
10
W03/10/2026
VitesseNAC Breda
22
D26/09/2026
NAC BredaFC Eindhoven
42
W
20/09/2026
De GraafschapNAC Breda
12
W
11/09/2026
NAC BredaJong Utrecht
23
L
04/09/2026
WaalwijkNAC Breda
42
L
28/08/2026
RodaNAC Breda
22
D
22/08/2026
NAC BredaJong Ajax
32
W
14/08/2026
NAC BredaVVV Venlo
02
L
07/08/2026
FC OSSNAC Breda
12
W

League Table

Eerste Divisie 2026

Eerste Divisie: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1292137:14+2329DWWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1281334:20+1425WDWWL
3EmmenEmmen1281326:19+725WWWDW
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1271425:12+1322LLWWL
5RodaRoda1264215:11+422WWDLW
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1263323:20+321DWWDW
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1261529:20+919WDWLW
8Jong AZJong AZ1252531:26+517WDLWD
9VitesseVitesse1252516:17-117LWLDL
10MVVMVV1252516:27-1117DLLLW
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1237221:17+416DDLDL
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211244417:19-216WLDLD
13Den BoschDen Bosch1243518:21-315DWWDL
14FC OSSFC OSS1241719:20-113DLWWL
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1233618:29-1112DWLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1233615:26-1112DLWDW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1232716:25-911LLLDL
18DordrechtDordrecht1232716:31-1511LWLDW
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1223720:26-69LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1221919:31-127LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1237:1429
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo1234:2025
3EmmenEmmen1226:1925
4Almere City FCAlmere City FC1225:1222
5RodaRoda1215:1122
6NAC BredaNAC Breda1223:2021
7FC VolendamFC Volendam1229:2019
8Jong AZJong AZ1231:2617
9VitesseVitesse1216:1717
10MVVMVV1216:2717
11WaalwijkWaalwijk1221:1716
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211217:1916
13Den BoschDen Bosch1218:2115
14FC OSSFC OSS1219:2013
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax1218:2912
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1215:2612
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1216:2511
18DordrechtDordrecht1216:3111
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport1220:269
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1219:317

Eerste Divisie: Period 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HeraclesHeracles1081131:12+1925DWWDW
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1071222:7+1522LLWWL
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1070326:14+1221WDWWL
4EmmenEmmen1061322:18+419WWWDW
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1052320:19+117DWWDW
6RodaRoda1044210:8+216WWDLW
7MVVMVV1051413:20-716DLLLW
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1050522:17+515WDWLW
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1035219:15+414DDLDL
10VitesseVitesse1042415:15014LWLDL
11Jong AZJong AZ1041522:18+413WDLWD
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211034315:17-213WLDLD
13FC OSSFC OSS1040615:15012DLWWL
14Den BoschDen Bosch1032514:18-411DWWDL
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1032515:22-711LLLDL
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1032513:23-1011DLWDW
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1023516:19-39LLLDL
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1022613:25-128DWLDL
19DordrechtDordrecht1022613:27-148LWLDW
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1021716:23-77LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HeraclesHeracles1031:1225
2Almere City FCAlmere City FC1022:722
3VVV VenloVVV Venlo1026:1421
4EmmenEmmen1022:1819
5NAC BredaNAC Breda1020:1917
6RodaRoda1010:816
7MVVMVV1013:2016
8FC VolendamFC Volendam1022:1715
9WaalwijkWaalwijk1019:1514
10VitesseVitesse1015:1514
11Jong AZJong AZ1022:1813
12Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U211015:1713
13FC OSSFC OSS1015:1512
14Den BoschDen Bosch1014:1811
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1015:2211
16De GraafschapDe Graafschap1013:2311
17Helmond SportHelmond Sport1016:199
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax1013:258
19DordrechtDordrecht1013:278
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1016:237

Eerste Divisie: Period 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EmmenEmmen22004:1+36WWWDW
2RodaRoda22005:3+26WWDLW
3FC VolendamFC Volendam21107:3+44WDWLW
4HeraclesHeracles21106:2+44DWWDW
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo21108:6+24WDWWL
6NAC BredaNAC Breda21103:1+24DWWDW
7Den BoschDen Bosch21104:3+14DWWDL
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax21105:4+14DWLDL
9Jong AZJong AZ21109:8+14WDLWD
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2121012:203WLDLD
11DordrechtDordrecht21013:4-13LWLDW
12VitesseVitesse21011:2-13LWLDL
13WaalwijkWaalwijk20202:202DDLDL
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap20112:3-11DLWDW
15FC OSSFC OSS20114:5-11DLWWL
16MVVMVV20113:7-41DLLLW
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven20021:3-20LLLDL
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC20023:5-20LLWWL
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport20024:7-30LLLDL
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht20023:8-50LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1EmmenEmmen24:16
2RodaRoda25:36
3FC VolendamFC Volendam27:34
4HeraclesHeracles26:24
5VVV VenloVVV Venlo28:64
6NAC BredaNAC Breda23:14
7Den BoschDen Bosch24:34
8Jong AjaxJong Ajax25:44
9Jong AZJong AZ29:84
10Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2122:23
11DordrechtDordrecht23:43
12VitesseVitesse21:23
13WaalwijkWaalwijk22:22
14De GraafschapDe Graafschap22:31
15FC OSSFC OSS24:51
16MVVMVV23:71
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven21:30
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC23:50
19Helmond SportHelmond Sport24:70
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht23:80

Eerste Divisie: Period 3

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00

Eerste Divisie: Period 4

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00000:000DLWDW
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00000:000WDWWL
3Den BoschDen Bosch00000:000DWWDL
4DordrechtDordrecht00000:000LWLDW
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00000:000LLLDL
6EmmenEmmen00000:000WWWDW
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00000:000LLLDL
8MVVMVV00000:000DLLLW
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00000:000LLWWL
10FC OSSFC OSS00000:000DLWWL
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00000:000WDWLW
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00000:000DDLDL
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00000:000DWWDW
14RodaRoda00000:000WWDLW
15VitesseVitesse00000:000LWLDL
16HeraclesHeracles00000:000DWWDW
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100000:000WLDLD
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00000:000DWLDL
19Jong AZJong AZ00000:000WDLWD
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00000:000LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1De GraafschapDe Graafschap00:00
2VVV VenloVVV Venlo00:00
3Den BoschDen Bosch00:00
4DordrechtDordrecht00:00
5FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven00:00
6EmmenEmmen00:00
7Helmond SportHelmond Sport00:00
8MVVMVV00:00
9Almere City FCAlmere City FC00:00
10FC OSSFC OSS00:00
11FC VolendamFC Volendam00:00
12WaalwijkWaalwijk00:00
13NAC BredaNAC Breda00:00
14RodaRoda00:00
15VitesseVitesse00:00
16HeraclesHeracles00:00
17Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2100:00
18Jong AjaxJong Ajax00:00
19Jong AZJong AZ00:00
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht00:00
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About the Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Helmond Sport and NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie table

In the Eerste Divisie table, NAC Breda are 6th and Helmond Sport 19th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Helmond Sport 20-26, NAC Breda 23-20. The full standings are on the Eerste Divisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

NAC Breda have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.