York vs Northampton Prediction
England · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
York vs Northampton: the result in context
York and Northampton drew 1-1 in the League Two on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Northampton tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.0 for York.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
York
Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Shane McNally
2R. Fallowfield
5Z. Johnson
3M. Kitching
23J. Felix
8A. Hunt
28O. Banks
12H. Boyes
7J. Grey
30A. Newby
10O. Pearce
1Z. Jeacock
44J. Donacien
6E. Moore
5J. Guthrie
22J. Alan Powell
16J. Wormleighton
8L. Evans
24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
19O. Dale
9M. WarhurstYork Substitutes
Northampton Substitutes
Match Stats
YorkNorthampton Team Comparison
YorkNorthamptonAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
York- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
Northampton- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Recent Form
YorkYork
GillinghamYork
Rotherham
ChesterfieldYorkYork
Newcastle United U21York
Swindon Town
CreweYork
CheltenhamYorkYork
Exeter CityRotherhamYorkYork
Bristol RoversNorthampton
Cambridge UnitedNorthamptonNorthamptonRotherham
ShrewsburyNorthamptonNorthampton
Newport CountyNorthampton
Crawley TownGillinghamNorthamptonCreweNorthamptonNorthampton
Brighton U21NorthamptonSwindon Town
LeicesterNorthamptonLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | +7 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | +8 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:13 | +8 | 20 | WDDDW |
| 6 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 19 | WDDDW |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | LDDWD |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 11 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the York vs Northampton forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
York and Northampton in the League Two table
In the League Two table, York are 5th and Northampton 19th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: York 21-13, Northampton 8-8. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Northampton have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. York and Northampton have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.