Crewe vs Northampton Prediction

Crewe
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Northampton
Alexandra Stadium, Crewe· L. Sandoe 22/08/2026
CreweCrewe
1-0
Finished
NorthamptonNorthampton

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskMediumGap-2.6%
Crewe Rest
7 days
Northampton Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.15
X
29%3.32
2
24%3.13
Double Chance
1X
76%1.32
X2
53%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.77
No
43%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 1.19 = 2.82
Over 1.5
79%1.30
Over 2.5
54%1.98
Over 3.5
30%3.40
Under 1.5
21%3.25
Under 2.5
46%1.80
Under 3.5
70%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.3
Over 8.5
58%1.36
Over 9.5
51%1.60
Over 10.5
40%2.00
Under 8.5
42%2.85
Under 9.5
49%2.16
Under 10.5
60%1.74
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

37'J. MarchDelay of game
54'J. March
66'L. Briggs INJ. O'Brien Whitmarsh out
67'H. Saunders INE. List out
75'J. Lankester INC. McNeill out
75'J. Tabiner INK. Ure out
77'M. Warhurst INS. Hoskins out
87'L. EvansFoul
90'J. Gibson INA. Thibaut out

Lineups

Crewe
4-2-3-1Coach: Lee Bell
Northampton
4-4-2Coach: Chris Hogg
Tom Booth1T. BoothTom Booth
Lewis Billington2L. BillingtonLewis Billington
Luke Offord6L. OffordLuke Offord
Joshua Stephenson12J. StephensonJoshua Stephenson
Reece Hutchinson3R. HutchinsonReece Hutchinson
Matúš Holíček17M. HolíčekMatúš Holíček
Joel Tabiner11J. TabinerJoel Tabiner
Jack Lankester7J. LankesterJack Lankester
Calum Agius20C. AgiusCalum Agius
Jordan Gibson14J. GibsonJordan Gibson
Josh March9J. MarchJosh March
Zach Jeacock1Z. JeacockZach Jeacock
Janoi Donacien44J. DonacienJanoi Donacien
Elliott Moore6E. MooreElliott Moore
Jon Guthrie5J. GuthrieJon Guthrie
James Maxwell3J. MaxwellJames Maxwell
Harvey Saunders32H. SaundersHarvey Saunders
Lee Evans8L. EvansLee Evans
Tyrese Fornah14T. FornahTyrese Fornah
Logan Briggs20L. BriggsLogan Briggs
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans24C. Lemonheigh-EvansConnor Lemonheigh-Evans
Matty Warhurst9M. WarhurstMatty Warhurst

Crewe Substitutes

4Kyle UreM
23Charlie McNeillF
29Adrien ThibautF
22Phil CrokerD
30Stan DanceyD
32Luca MooreM
31Luke ThomasG

Northampton Substitutes

4Joe O'Brien WhitmarshM
10Elliot ListF
7Sam HoskinsF
34Ross FitzsimonsG
35Max DycheD
16Joe WormleightonD
21Jack PerkinsM

Match Stats

CreweNorthampton
49%Ball Possession51%
7Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
6Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal7
3Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots2
14Fouls12
1Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
444Total Passes455
352Passes Accurate376
79%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

CreweCrewe
NorthamptonNorthampton
1536Elo Rating 1391
1.17Attack 0.59
1.69Defense 1.96
0%Hit Rate 23%
13.2Shots per Game 8.3
4.1Shots on Target 4.1
3.7Corners per Game 4.1
0.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+145 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CreweCrewe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
NorthamptonNorthampton
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Crewe 42%Draw 27%31% Northampton
2.19Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CreweCrewe
3W1D1L
15/08/2026
Crawley TownCrewe
01
W
08/08/2026
CreweAccrington ST
21
W
01/08/2026
ChesterCrewe
00
D
25/07/2026
CreweBirmingham
12
L
21/07/2026
AFC Telford UnitedCrewe
03
W
NorthamptonNorthampton
1W2D2L
18/08/2026
NorthamptonBrighton U21
03
L
15/08/2026
NorthamptonSwindon Town
00
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
L
01/08/2026
Solihull MoorsNorthampton
24
W
28/07/2026
Cambridge UnitedNorthampton
00
D

Referee Profile

L. Sandoe · 4 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
22.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 28% of referees analysed

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarnetBarnet633014:9+512WDDDW
2Bristol RoversBristol Rovers640212:8+412LWWWW
3YorkYork632113:8+511WDLWD
4CheltenhamCheltenham632113:10+311WDWDL
5WalsallWalsall62408:4+410DDDWD
6GrimsbyGrimsby62409:6+310WDDDD
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town62407:4+310DWDDD
8CreweCrewe62406:4+210DDDDW
9Swindon TownSwindon Town63128:10-210LWWLW
10TranmereTranmere62319:7+29LWDDD
11GillinghamGillingham62318:6+29WWDDD
12ChesterfieldChesterfield62228:808WDDLW
13ColchesterColchester62227:9-28DLLWW
14OldhamOldham62138:7+17LLDWL
15Salford CitySalford City62137:9-27DWWLL
16RotherhamRotherham61329:10-16DLDWD
17NorthamptonNorthampton61323:5-26LWDDL
18ShrewsburyShrewsbury62044:10-66WLLWL
19Newport CountyNewport County612310:11-15DLLDL
20Exeter CityExeter City61234:5-15LDDLW
21Accrington STAccrington ST612310:13-35LWDLL
22Port ValePort Vale61233:7-45WLLDD
23Crawley TownCrawley Town61146:11-54LLDLW
24RochdaleRochdale61145:10-54DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarnetBarnet614:912
2Bristol RoversBristol Rovers612:812
3YorkYork613:811
4CheltenhamCheltenham613:1011
5WalsallWalsall68:410
6GrimsbyGrimsby69:610
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town67:410
8CreweCrewe66:410
9Swindon TownSwindon Town68:1010
10TranmereTranmere69:79
11GillinghamGillingham68:69
12ChesterfieldChesterfield68:88
13ColchesterColchester67:98
14OldhamOldham68:77
15Salford CitySalford City67:97
16RotherhamRotherham69:106
17NorthamptonNorthampton63:56
18ShrewsburyShrewsbury64:106
19Newport CountyNewport County610:115
20Exeter CityExeter City64:55
21Accrington STAccrington ST610:135
22Port ValePort Vale63:75
23Crawley TownCrawley Town66:114
24RochdaleRochdale65:104
PromotionRelegation

Crewe vs Northampton Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this League Two fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Two

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Crewe and Northampton have met 4 times recently, averaging 2.19 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.