ADT vs Cienciano Prediction

ADT
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Cienciano
Estadio Union Tarma, Tarma·Junior Rivera 23/09/2026
ADTADT
2-1
Finished
CiencianoCienciano

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.3%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.89
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
ADT Rest
4 days
Cienciano Rest
5 days

ADT vs Cienciano: the result in context

ADT beat Cienciano 2-1 in the Primera División on 23 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.32
X
28%3.61
2
47%1.96
Double Chance
1X
53%1.74
X2
75%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.55
No
41%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.45 = 2.63
Over 1.5
76%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.63
Over 3.5
34%2.59
Under 1.5
24%4.26
Under 2.5
45%2.15
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.48
Over 9.5
42%1.80
Over 10.5
31%2.29
Under 8.5
45%2.41
Under 9.5
58%1.88
Under 10.5
69%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.6 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%-
Over 4.5
48%-
Under 3.5
33%-
Under 4.5
52%-

Match Events

21'Orlando NunezDissent
39'Santiago AriasFoul
40'Aldair RodríguezArgument
44'Kevin BecerraAssist: Neri Bandiera
44'Goal confirmedNeri Bandiera
45+4'Gerson BarretoFoul
53'Jonathan Bauman INJhojan Garcilazo out
54'Angel Ojeda INJair Reyes out
57'Claudio NuñezTime wasting
60'Horacio BenincasaFoul
67'John NarváezAssist: Joao Rojas
72'Santiago Arias INMatias Succar out
80'Marcos Martinich INSebastian Cavero out
83'Neri Bandiera INRay Sandoval out
86'Joao Rojas INOmar Vidal Ramírez Lozano out
88'Sebastian CaveroFoul
90'John NarváezAssist: Alejandro Ramos
90+5'Aldair Rodríguez INJerry Navarro out
90+5'Juan lucumi INJosé Rugel out

Lineups

ADT
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Rivera
Cienciano
4-2-3-1Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.27
C. Solís6.133C. Solís
A. Ramos7.398A. Ramos
J. Pereyra6.299J. Pereyra
H. Benincasa6.844H. Benincasa
O. Núñez5.959O. Núñez
Á. Ojeda6.26Á. Ojeda
J. Narváez9.123J. Narváez
A. Rodríguez6.522A. Rodríguez
J. Rojas7.47J. Rojas
Juan David Lucumí Cuero6.477J. David Lucumí Cuero
J. Bauman6.632J. Bauman
G. Falcón6.71G. Falcón
C. Núñez5.613C. Núñez
M. Amondarain6.54M. Amondarain
K. Becerra6.73K. Becerra
M. Martinich5.916M. Martinich
S. Arias6.05S. Arias
A. Robles6.429A. Robles
C. Souza6.47C. Souza
G. Barreto5.988G. Barreto
N. Bandiera7.011N. Bandiera
C. Garcés6.321C. Garcés

ADT Substitutes

26Jhojan Garcilazo53'replaced by Jonathan Bauman
18Aylton Mazzo
31J. Navarro90+5'for Aldair Rodríguez
2Jair Reyes54'for Angel Ojeda6.4
50Omar Vidal Ramírez Lozano86'replaced by Joao Rojas
3L. Rugel90+5'for Juan lucumi
30J. Valencia
27A. Hidalgo
29E. Garcia

Cienciano Substitutes

8G. Aguirre
39H. Caparó
14S. Cavero80'for Marcos Martinich88'6.0
31Í. Espinoza
18D. La Torre
17R. Sandoval83'for Neri Bandiera6.3
19M. Succar72'for Santiago Arias6.2
26R. Aguilar
27A. Yovera

Match Stats

ADTCienciano
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots4
9Fouls19
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
313Total Passes365
224Passes Accurate275
17Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

ADTADT
CiencianoCienciano
1496Elo Rating 1598
1.36Attack 1.33
1.93Defense 2.15
23%Hit Rate 54%
18.2Shots per Game 16.4
5.7Shots on Target 4.2
4.9Corners per Game 4.4
3.9Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ADTADT
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
CiencianoCienciano
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ADTADT3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
CiencianoCienciano3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga10/07/2026
CiencianoADT
23
Primera División04/04/2026
CiencianoADT
32
Primera División19/07/2025
ADTCienciano
10
CONMEBOL Sudamericana05/03/2025
ADTCienciano
5161
Primera División10/02/2025
CiencianoADT
22
Primera División22/07/2024
CiencianoADT
01
Primera División03/02/2024
ADTCienciano
11
Primera División21/09/2023
CiencianoADT
22
Primera División30/04/2023
ADTCienciano
34
Primera División24/07/2022
ADTCienciano
01

Referee Profile

Junior Rivera3 matches analysed

4.71Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 66% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima33209454:24+3069WWDWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario331710659:39+2061DLDWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar33169856:38+1857DWDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso331671050:35+1555DWWWW
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal331561263:48+1551WLDDL
6CuscoCusco331631446:47-151WLDDW
7CiencianoCienciano331551354:46+850DLWWD
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo331551348:49-150DLWLL
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico331471249:48+149DWLWW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas331391140:52-1248LWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys3312101137:35+246DWDLD
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College331181448:59-1141DLLLD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos338131244:47-337DLDLW
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau331071632:41-937LWLLL
15ADTADT337111536:48-1232LWDWW
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca33871846:65-1931DWWWL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua33791727:48-2130DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca33591938:58-2019DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3354:2469
2UniversitarioUniversitario3359:3961
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3356:3857
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3350:3555
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3363:4851
6CuscoCusco3346:4751
7CiencianoCienciano3354:4650
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3348:4950
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3349:4849
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3340:5248
11Sport BoysSport Boys3337:3546
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3348:5941
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3344:4737
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3332:4137
15ADTADT3336:4832
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3346:6531
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3327:4830
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3338:5819

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWDWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LWDLL
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233DLWWD
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DLDWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWDWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327WLDDW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221DWLWW
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLDLW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120LWDWW
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DWDLD
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219WLDDL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518DLLLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLDLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517DWWWL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LWLLL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016DLWLL
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo16111427:18+934DLWLL
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal16102435:18+1732WLDDL
3UniversitarioUniversitario1695235:24+1132DLDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1692529:17+1229DWWWW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1685327:18+929DWDWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1685324:16+829WWDWW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1691629:30-128DWLWW
8Sport BoysSport Boys1675422:16+626DWDLD
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1674526:19+725DLLLD
10CuscoCusco1680825:23+224WLDDW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1663720:23-321LWLLL
12CiencianoCienciano1652920:24-417DLWWD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1637626:27-116DLDLW
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca16421023:37-1414DWWWL
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1635815:31-1614LWDLL
16ADTADT1626814:27-1312LWDWW
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1626810:24-1412DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca16131217:32-156DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1627:1834
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1635:1832
3UniversitarioUniversitario1635:2432
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1629:1729
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1627:1829
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1624:1629
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1629:3028
8Sport BoysSport Boys1622:1626
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1626:1925
10CuscoCusco1625:2324
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1620:2321
12CiencianoCienciano1620:2417
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1626:2716
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1623:3714
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1615:3114
16ADTADT1614:2712
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1610:2412
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1617:326
PromotionRelegation

About the ADT vs Cienciano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

ADT and Cienciano in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Cienciano are 7th and ADT 15th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: ADT 36-48, Cienciano 54-46. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.