Alianza Lima vs ADT Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
2.10
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+11.7%
Alianza Lima Rest
6 days
ADT Rest
12 days
Alianza Lima vs ADT: the result in context
Alianza Lima beat ADT 2-0 in the Primera División on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Julio Cesar Quiroz averages 5.64 cards a game, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.26
X20%5.25
210%10.00
Double Chance
1X90%1.04
X231%3.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%2.10
No43%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.26 + 0.81 = 3.07
Over 1.586%1.19
Over 2.570%1.63
Over 3.546%2.62
Under 1.514%4.19
Under 2.530%2.17
Under 3.554%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.8 + 2.7 = 10.5
Over 8.565%1.63
Over 9.553%2.03
Over 10.540%2.70
Under 8.535%2.11
Under 9.547%1.68
Under 10.560%1.38
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.8 = 4.7
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.550%-
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.550%-
Match Events
38'Jeremy Canela INJonathan Bauman out
44'Marco HuamanAssist: Renzo Garces
45'Juan lucumi INJair Reyes out
45+3'Luis PérezSerious foul
46'Erick CastilloAssist: Jairo Vélez
49'Goal confirmedErick Castillo
61'Alan Martín Cantero INKevin Quevedo out
64'Aldair RodríguezFoul
69'Aldair Rodríguez INJhojan Garcilazo out
69'Joao Rojas INAlexander Anderson Hidalgo Jorge out
75'Penalty cancelledFederico Girotti
83'Federico Girotti INLuis Ramos out
83'Jairo Vélez INGaspar Gentile out
87'Jhair Soto INHoracio Benincasa out
90'Fernando Gaibor INJean Pierre Archimbaud out
90'Erick Castillo INJesús Castillo out
Lineups
Alianza LimaADT
5-3-2Coach: V. RiveraAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Duarte
17L. Advíncula
4G. Chávez
6R. Garcés
13M. Huamán
11A. Cantero
5E. Pavez
7F. Gaibor
20J. Vélez
99F. Girotti
8E. Castillo
30J. Valencia
98A. Ramos
23J. Narváez
28J. Soto
3L. Rugel
59O. Núñez
22A. Rodríguez
16L. Pérez
80J. Canela
77J. David Lucumí Cuero
7J. RojasAlianza Lima Substitutes
29J. Archimbaud90'for Fernando Gaibor
31C. Carbajal
15J. Castillo90'for Erick Castillo
77J. Estrada
25G. Gentile83'for Jairo Vélez
22C. Neira
27K. Quevedo61'for Alan Martín Cantero
9L. Ramos83'for Federico Girotti
12Á. de la Cruz
ADT Substitutes
2Jair Reyes45'for Juan lucumi
99J. Pereyra
24S. Peralta
31J. Navarro
27A. Hidalgo69'for Joao Rojas
26Jhojan Garcilazo69'replaced by Aldair Rodríguez
44H. Benincasa87'for Jhair Soto
32J. Bauman38'for Jeremy Canela
33C. Solís
Match Stats
Alianza LimaADT 67%Ball Possession33%
10Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box3
9Blocked Shots3
13Fouls11
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
443Total Passes221
380Passes Accurate152
11Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Alianza LimaADT1716Elo Rating 1496
1.70Attack 1.36
2.01Defense 1.93
77%Hit Rate 23%
16.5Shots per Game 18.2
5.7Shots on Target 5.7
6.1Corners per Game 4.9
2.5Cards per Game 3.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+220 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
ADT- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Alianza Lima3Wins · 34%Draws333%
ADT3Wins · 33%
3Wins · 33%1.9Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9
Previous meetings
14/04/2026ADTAlianza Lima01
17/08/2025Alianza LimaADT31
29/03/2025ADTAlianza Lima30
11/08/2024Alianza LimaADT00
01/03/2024ADTAlianza Lima20
21/10/2023Alianza LimaADT00
03/06/2023ADTAlianza Lima21
30/10/2022Alianza LimaADT20
03/07/2022ADTAlianza Lima11
Recent Form
Alianza Lima3W4D3L
13/09/2026Alianza Lima
Universitario
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC MelgarAlianza Lima
Sport BoysAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes UnidosAlianza LimaAlianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Alianza LimaUniversitario12
L06/09/2026Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Lima11
D30/08/2026Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso01
L23/08/2026FBC MelgarAlianza Lima11
D16/08/2026Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
09/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
WSport BoysAlianza Lima11
D02/08/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico31
W26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
D20/07/2026Alianza LimaSport Huancayo21
W28/06/2026Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico
Alianza LimaAlianza Atletico12
LADT2W2D6L
Referee Profile
5.64Cards per match
5.21Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.64 cards a match, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).
Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 |  Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 32 | LWDWW |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 31 | DWWWL |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 19 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 46 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 19 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
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- Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico 13/09/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos 18/09/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Cusco 19/09/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau 19/09/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario 20/09/26
- FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys 20/09/26
About the Alianza Lima vs ADT forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alianza Lima and ADT in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: Alianza Lima are 1st in the Primera División, while ADT sit 15th, 37 points behind. League goal record so far: Alianza Lima 54-24, ADT 36-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.