FBC Melgar vs ADT Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
88%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.61
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+9.4%
FBC Melgar Rest
5 days
ADT Rest
7 days
FBC Melgar vs ADT: the result in context
FBC Melgar beat ADT 3-0 in the Primera División on 7 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Robin Segura averages 4.59 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
170%1.40
X20%4.50
210%7.00
Double Chance
1X90%1.07
X230%2.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.80
No45%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.16 + 0.79 = 2.95
Over 1.590%1.18
Over 2.567%1.61
Over 3.543%2.52
Under 1.510%4.26
Under 2.533%2.17
Under 3.557%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.4 = 9.3
Over 8.555%1.63
Over 9.543%2.00
Over 10.533%2.58
Under 8.545%2.10
Under 9.557%1.68
Under 10.567%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.562%-
Over 4.543%-
Under 3.538%-
Under 4.557%-
Match Events
45'Bernardo CuestaAssist: Nelson Cabanillas
63'Bernardo CuestaAssist: Nicolas Quagliata
68'Bernardo Cuesta INJhamir D'Arrigo out
73'Juan lucumi INAylton Mazzo out
73'Joao Rojas INSaid Peralta out
73'Jonathan Bauman INHernán Rengifo out
75'Nelson Cabanillas INJesús Alcantar out
75'Cristian Bordacahar INFranco Zanelatto out
75'Nicolas Quagliata INMarcos Portillo out
82'Jesús Alcantar
83'Jeremy Canela INJhojan Garcilazo out
83'Horacio Benincasa INJair Reyes out
84'Kevin Minda INLautaro Guzmán out
86'Leonel·GozalezDissent
87'Miguel RondelliDissent
89'Hernán RengifoArgument
Lineups
FBC MelgarADT
4-2-3-1Coach: V. RiveraAvg ratingAvg rating
21J. Cabezudo
33M. Lazo
23J. Escobar
3L. González
27N. Cabanillas
24W. Tandazo
25K. Minda
7C. Bordacahar
10N. Quagliata
11J. Vidales
9B. Cuesta
33C. Solís
98A. Ramos
28J. Soto
99J. Pereyra
44H. Benincasa
16L. Pérez
59O. Núñez
77J. David Lucumí Cuero
80J. Canela
7J. Rojas
32J. BaumanFBC Melgar Substitutes
90J. Alcántar75'for Nelson Cabanillas82'
8L. Guzmán84'for Kevin Minda
26M. Portillo75'for Nicolas Quagliata
77F. Zanelatto75'for Cristian Bordacahar
45Matias Zegarra
5A. Deneumostier
80J. D´Arrigo68'for Bernardo Cuesta
16J. Cáceres
12C. Cáceda
ADT Substitutes
26Jhojan Garcilazo83'replaced by Jeremy Canela
18Aylton Mazzo73'for Juan lucumi
31J. Navarro
24S. Peralta73'for Joao Rojas
9H. Rengifo73'for Jonathan Bauman89'
2Jair Reyes83'for Horacio Benincasa
3L. Rugel
10V. Cedrón
30J. Valencia
Match Stats
FBC MelgarADT 59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
23Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal6
19Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots5
9Fouls3
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
499Total Passes351
429Passes Accurate287
86%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
FBC MelgarADT1665Elo Rating 1496
1.56Attack 1.36
1.42Defense 1.93
36%Hit Rate 23%
12.9Shots per Game 18.2
4.7Shots on Target 5.7
4.5Corners per Game 4.9
2.6Cards per Game 3.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+169 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FBC Melgar- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ADT- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
FBC Melgar4Wins · 44%Draws556%
ADT0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.8Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9
Previous meetings
20/03/2026ADTFBC Melgar11
24/08/2025ADTFBC Melgar22
05/04/2025FBC MelgarADT40
16/08/2024ADTFBC Melgar11
09/03/2024FBC MelgarADT31
23/06/2023FBC MelgarADT40
26/03/2023ADTFBC Melgar00
05/10/2022ADTFBC Melgar11
13/05/2022FBC MelgarADT30
Recent Form
FBC Melgar3W4D3L
01/09/2026
Atletico GrauFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
UCV MoqueguaFBC MelgarFBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoFBC MelgarFBC MelgarUCV Moquegua
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar10
L23/08/2026FBC MelgarAlianza Lima11
D15/08/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC Melgar03
W09/08/2026FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca24
L02/08/2026UCV MoqueguaFBC Melgar00
D26/07/2026FBC MelgarSporting Cristal21
W18/07/2026CiencianoFBC Melgar13
W29/06/2026FBC MelgarUCV Moquegua00
D18/06/2026
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar
LDU de QuitoFBC Melgar00
D12/06/2026
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar
Tacna HeroicaFBC Melgar32
LADT2W2D6L
30/08/2026ADT
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II CollegeADTADT
Alianza Atletico
UTC CajamarcaADTADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport BoysADTADT
UniversitarioSport HuancayoADT
ADTSport Huancayo13
L27/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua
22/08/2026ADTUCV Moquegua20
WJuan Pablo II CollegeADT51
L15/08/2026ADTAlianza Atletico11
D08/08/2026UTC CajamarcaADT11
D02/08/2026ADTDeportivo Garcilaso01
L25/07/2026Sport BoysADT20
L18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
L10/07/2026CiencianoADT
26/06/2026CiencianoADT23
WSport HuancayoADT10
LReferee Profile
4.59Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.59 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).
Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 54:24 | +30 | 69 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 59:39 | +20 | 61 | DLDWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | +18 | 57 | DWDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 55 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | +15 | 51 | WLDDL |
| 6 |  Cusco | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | +8 | 50 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | +1 | 49 | DWLWW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 40:52 | -12 | 48 | LWDLL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 46 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 | DLLLD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 | LWLLL |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 32 | LWDWW |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 31 | DWWWL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 19 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 33 | 54:24 | 69 |
| 2 | Universitario | 33 | 59:39 | 61 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 33 | 56:38 | 57 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | 50:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 33 | 63:48 | 51 |
| 6 | Cusco | 33 | 46:47 | 51 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 33 | 54:46 | 50 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 33 | 48:49 | 50 |
| 9 | Alianza Atletico | 33 | 49:48 | 49 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | 40:52 | 48 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 33 | 37:35 | 46 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 33 | 48:59 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 33 | 32:41 | 37 |
| 15 | ADT | 33 | 36:48 | 32 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 33 | 46:65 | 31 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 33 | 27:48 | 30 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 33 | 38:58 | 19 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | LWDLL |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | DLWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DLDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WLDDW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LWDWW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DWDLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLDDL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLLLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DWWWL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 34 | DLWLL |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:18 | +17 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 35:24 | +11 | 32 | DLDWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 29 | DWWWW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | DWDWL |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 26 | DWDLD |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | DLLLD |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 25:23 | +2 | 24 | WLDDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | DLWWD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 16 | DLDLW |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 | DWWWL |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 14 | LWDLL |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 12 | LWDWW |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10:24 | -14 | 12 | DLDLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 6 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 27:18 | 34 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 35:18 | 32 |
| 3 | Universitario | 16 | 35:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 29:17 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 27:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 16 | 29:30 | 28 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 16 | 22:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II College | 16 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Cusco | 16 | 25:23 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 16 | 20:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 16 | 20:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 16 | 26:27 | 16 |
| 14 | FC Cajamarca | 16 | 23:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 15:31 | 14 |
| 16 | ADT | 16 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 16 | 10:24 | 12 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 17:32 | 6 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos 06/09/26
- Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 06/09/26
- Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau 06/09/26
- Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima 06/09/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College 11/09/26
- Cusco vs FBC Melgar 12/09/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FC Cajamarca 12/09/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Huancayo 12/09/26
About the FBC Melgar vs ADT forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FBC Melgar and ADT in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: FBC Melgar are 3rd in the Primera División, while ADT sit 15th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: FBC Melgar 56-38, ADT 36-48. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FBC Melgar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.