Cienciano vs Botafogo Prediction

Cienciano
6-1
Finished
HT 4-0
Botafogo
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco·Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista, Ecuador 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseHighGap-1.7%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap+11.0%
Cienciano Rest
7 days
Botafogo Rest
5 days

Cienciano vs Botafogo: the result in context

Cienciano beat Botafogo 6-1 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.58
X
26%3.26
2
46%2.75
Double Chance
1X
54%1.43
X2
72%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.73
No
55%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.13 = 2.36
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
39%1.98
Over 3.5
20%3.40
Under 1.5
29%3.30
Under 2.5
61%1.81
Under 3.5
80%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.1 = 8.1
Over 8.5
57%1.76
Over 9.5
45%2.23
Over 10.5
34%2.85
Under 8.5
43%1.93
Under 9.5
55%1.58
Under 10.5
66%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
41%1.74
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
59%2.02

Match Events

18'M. SuccarAssist: A. Hohberg
20'N. BandieraAssist: M. Amondarain
30'M. Succar
35'M. MartinichAssist: A. Hohberg
37'A. Montoro INKauan Toledo out
37'K. Barria INArthur Cabral out
46'J. Romagnoli INA. Robles out
46'A. RoblesFoul
49'Matheus Martins
56'Marcal INAlex Telles out
62'N. BandieraAssist: A. Hohberg
63'Danilo Santos INS. Rodriguez out
64'C. Medina INEdenilson out
71'N. Bandiera INH. Caparo out
78'M. SuccarAssist: C. Souza Espana
86'G. JustinoRoughing
87'G. Barreto ING. Aguirre out
90'C. Souza Espana INR. Sandoval out

Lineups

Cienciano
4-2-3-1Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Botafogo
4-2-3-1Coach: Franclim Carvalho
Avg rating7.42
Avg rating6.01
Ítalo Espinoza6.531Í. Espinoza
Carlos Cabello6.222C. Cabello
Maximiliano Amondarain8.04M. Amondarain
Kevin Becerra6.63K. Becerra
Marcos Martinich8.016M. Martinich
Gerson Barreto7.288G. Barreto
Juan Romagnoli6.79J. Romagnoli
Cristian Souza7.07C. Souza
Alejandro HohbergC8.610A. Hohberg
Neri Bandiera8.711N. Bandiera
Matías Succar10.019M. Succar
Warleson4.517Warleson
Mateo Ponte5.34M. Ponte
Gabriel Justino4.934G. Justino
Nahuel Ferraresi5.35N. Ferraresi
MarçalC5.721Marçal
Huguinho5.675Huguinho
Cristian Medina6.26C. Medina
Matheus Martins7.611M. Martins
Danilo Santos6.28D. Santos
Álvaro Montoro6.210Á. Montoro
Kadir Barría6.937K. Barría

Cienciano Substitutes

29Ademar Robles46'for J. Romagnoli46'6.7
39Henry Caparó71'for N. Bandiera6.3
8Gonzalo Aguirre87'for G. Barreto
17Ray Sandoval90'for C. Souza Espana
1Gonzalo Falcón
25Renzo Salazar
27Alonso Yovera
14Sebastian Cavero
26Rotceh Aguilar
13Claudio Núñez
18Didier La Torre

Botafogo Substitutes

59Kauan Toledo37'for A. Montoro6.2
19Arthur Cabral37'for K. Barria6.5
13Alex Telles56'for Marcal6.3
23Santiago Rodríguez63'for Danilo Santos6.5
88Edenilson64'for C. Medina6.3
12Gabriel Batista
33Lucas Monzón
2Vitinho
77Lucas Villalba
91Domingos Andrade
9Danilo
7Júnior Santos

Match Stats

CiencianoBotafogo
54%Ball Possession46%
14Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
29Total Shots7
12Shots on Goal2
14Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box1
13Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls6
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
304Total Passes296
250Passes Accurate218
82%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

CiencianoCienciano
BotafogoBotafogo
1598Elo Rating 1624
1.33Attack 0.81
2.15Defense 1.82
54%Hit Rate 44%
16.4Shots per Game 14.5
4.2Shots on Target 4.6
4.4Corners per Game 5.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

CiencianoCienciano
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BotafogoBotafogo
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

BotafogoBotafogo
5W3D2L
09/08/2026
BotafogoFluminense
11
D
26/07/2026
CruzeiroBotafogo
01
W
24/07/2026
BotafogoVitoria
00
D
17/07/2026
BotafogoSantos
21
W
30/05/2026
BahiaBotafogo
21
L
28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
13
W
23/05/2026
Sao PauloBotafogo
11
D
21/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroBotafogo
03
W
17/05/2026
BotafogoCorinthians
31
W
14/05/2026
Chapecoense-scBotafogo
20
L

Referee Profile

Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista165 matches

5.43Cards per match
5.04Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Augusto Bergelio Aragon Bautista5.43
Other referees5.23

5.43 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 142 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG63128:6+210WWDLW
2CiencianoCienciano62225:7-28DLLWW
3JuventudJuventud614110:7+37DDDWL
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello62136:9-37LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG68:610
2CiencianoCienciano65:78
3JuventudJuventud610:77
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello66:97

Group E

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BotafogoBotafogo651015:5+1016WWWWW
2Caracas FCCaracas FC62319:909LDWDW
3Racing ClubRacing Club622211:9+28WDLDL
4IndependienteIndependiente60063:15-120LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BotafogoBotafogo615:516
2Caracas FCCaracas FC69:99
3Racing ClubRacing Club611:98
4IndependienteIndependiente63:150
Promotion

About the Cienciano vs Botafogo forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cienciano and Botafogo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.