Nacional vs Alverca Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Nacional vs Alverca: the result in context
Alverca beat Nacional 3-1 in the Primeira Liga on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Nacional
Avg ratingAvg rating
1R. Bellucci
52W. Gasolina
33F. Gonçalves
38Z. Vitor
21W. Kokolo
10D. Júnior
6M. Dias
8M. Baeza
11S. Gavriel
99P. Ruan
7M. Jensen
31M. Mendes
4Y. Bojang
21S. Gómez
12I. James
20D. Filipe Spencer Marques
6D. Gui
25I. Luccas
55F. Chissumba
10Chiquinho
19D. Camara
22FigueiredoNacional Substitutes
Alverca Substitutes
Match Stats
NacionalAlverca Team Comparison
NacionalAlvercaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Nacional- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Alverca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Nacional1Wins · 50%1Wins · 50%Previous meetings
18/04/2026NacionalAlverca07/12/2025AlvercaNacionalRecent Form
Nacional
Sporting CPNacionalNacional
Estrela
Vitória SCNacionalNacional
Estoril
Santa ClaraNacionalEstrelaNacionalNacional
Leganes
TondelaNacionalNacional
LeixoesNacionalGuimaraesAlvercaAlverca
SC BragaAlvercaSanta ClaraSporting CPAlvercaAlvercaEstrela
FC PortoAlvercaAlverca
Sporting CP B
MafraAlvercaAlvercaEstorilAlverca
CF Os Belenenses
FamalicaoAlvercaLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25:4 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | +1 | 14 | WLLLD |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 10 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Nacional vs Alverca forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Nacional and Alverca in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Alverca are 10th and Nacional 15th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Nacional 10-19, Alverca 13-13. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Nacional and Alverca have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.