America Mineiro vs Avai Prediction

America Mineiro
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Avai
Arena Independência, Bello Harisanta·Matheus Delgado Candancan 14/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
America Mineiro Rest
5 days
Avai Rest
7 days

America Mineiro vs Avai: the result in context

Avai beat America Mineiro 2-0 in the Serie B on 14 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: America Mineiro had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Avai.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Avai tend to win more corners, 8.2 a game to 3.9 for America Mineiro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.80
X
26%3.47
2
36%2.30
Double Chance
1X
64%1.55
X2
62%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.57
No
46%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 0.97 = 2.23
Over 1.5
72%1.20
Over 2.5
49%1.70
Over 3.5
28%2.75
Under 1.5
28%4.10
Under 2.5
51%2.09
Under 3.5
72%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.2 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.24
Over 9.5
57%1.46
Over 10.5
46%1.77
Under 8.5
31%3.34
Under 9.5
43%2.50
Under 10.5
54%1.97
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
41%-
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
59%-

Match Events

6'BarretoFoul
22'Jean Lucas FigueiredoFoul
45'Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus INEduardo Person out
45'Wenderson INGaspar out
60'GasparAssist: Jean Lucas Figueiredo
62'Luiz Henrique INPaulo Vitor out
66'Rafael Raul BarcelosFoul
71'Léo GamalhoAssist: Daniel Penha
73'Jorge Jiménez INFelipe out
73'Guilherme Parede INPedro Paranhos out
79'Paulo VitorFoul
81'Barreto INOtavio Goncalves out
84'Léo Gamalho INRildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho out
84'Daniel Penha INMarcio Vitor Barbosa Da Silva out
86'Matías Segovia INJulio César Leme Do Nascimento out
86'Wallison INJoão Vitor out

Lineups

America Mineiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Moacir Júnior
Avai
4-2-3-1Coach: Allan Aal
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating7.25
Bruno Brígido5.991B. Brígido
Rafael Barcelos6.14R. Barcelos
Ricardo Silva6.645R. Silva
Emerson Santos6.32E. Santos
T. Ostchega6.425T. Ostchega
Barreto7.088Barreto
J. Jiménez6.893J. Jiménez
Paulo Victor5.920P. Victor
M. Segovia6.177M. Segovia
Guilherme Parede6.77G. Parede
Willian6.59Willian
Igor Bohn7.71I. Bohn
Wallison7.32Wallison
Allyson7.53Allyson
Reynaldo7.640Reynaldo
Quaresma7.066Quaresma
Luiz Henrique7.28L. Henrique
Zé Ricardo6.977Z. Ricardo
Daniel Penha7.714D. Penha
Wenderson6.995Wenderson
Jean Lucas7.410J. Lucas
Léo Gamalho7.99L. Gamalho

America Mineiro Substitutes

27Cássio
32Filipe
37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio86'for Matías Segovia6.1
80Paranhos Pedro73'for Guilherme Parede6.3
19William
8Felipe Amaral73'for Jorge Jiménez6.4
21Eduardo Person45'for Paulo Victor·Ferreira de Jesus6.3
55Otavio Goncalves81'for Barreto6.2
31Fábio Almeida
71Cristian
61G. Oliveira

Avai Substitutes

94Bruno Ferreira
70Gaspar45'for Wenderson60'8.0
15Guilherme Vargas
18Hyan
22João Vitor Cardoso de Souza86'for Wallison7.1
35Pedrão
37Rildo84'for Léo Gamalho6.7
30Kauã Gabriel Pereira Dos Santos
25Paulo Vitor62'for Luiz Henrique79'6.7
29Vitor Marcio84'for Daniel Penha6.5

Match Stats

America MineiroAvai
53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box7
8Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots1
16Fouls12
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
432Total Passes387
355Passes Accurate328
13Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
AvaiAvai
1489Elo Rating 1522
1.23Attack 0.45
2.42Defense 2.13
69%Hit Rate 31%
9.9Shots per Game 18.1
3.2Shots on Target 5.7
3.9Corners per Game 8.2
2.6Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 29%
Draws228%
AvaiAvai3Wins · 43%
2.7Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B22/07/2026
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
21
Serie B03/09/2025
America MineiroAvai
20
Serie B27/04/2025
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
30
Serie B12/10/2024
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
22
Serie B27/06/2024
America MineiroAvai
11
Serie A31/07/2022
America MineiroAvai
31
Serie A11/04/2022
AvaiAmerica Mineiro
10

Referee Profile

Matheus Delgado Candancan153 matches

4.59Cards per match
4.29Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matheus Delgado Candancan4.59
Other referees5.08

4.59 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.08).

Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the America Mineiro vs Avai forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

America Mineiro and Avai in the Serie B table

Avai and America Mineiro are close in the Serie B table, 17th and 19th, with 11 points between them. League goal record so far: America Mineiro 27-55, Avai 35-47. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.