Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova Prediction

Serie BBrazil Brazil · Regular Season - 38
Fortaleza EC
-
14/11/2026
20:30
Vila Nova
Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza
Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
14/11/202620:30
Vila NovaVila Nova

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
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SignalModelSurpriseGap
Fortaleza EC Rest
7 days
Vila Nova Rest
6 days

Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova in numbers

On form this looks evenly balanced, with Fortaleza EC on 1 win from their last five and Vila Nova on 2. They meet in the Serie B on 14 Nov 2026.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
2.40
X
3.12
2
2.92
Double Chance
1X
1.35
X2
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
1.91
No
1.80
Goals
Over 1.5
1.40
Over 2.5
2.20
Over 3.5
4.00
Under 1.5
2.73
Under 2.5
1.62
Under 3.5
1.19
Corners
Over 8.5
1.27
Over 9.5
1.51
Over 10.5
1.85
Under 8.5
3.28
Under 9.5
2.40
Under 10.5
1.87
Cards
Projected Cards: + =
Over 3.5
--
Over 4.5
-1.73
Under 3.5
--
Under 4.5
-2.00
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Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
Vila NovaVila Nova
1701Elo Rating 1661
1.32Attack 1.72
2.21Defense 1.38
34%Hit Rate 17%
14.3Shots per Game 14.1
3.7Shots on Target 5.1
6.2Corners per Game 6.1
2.7Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Vila NovaVila Nova1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie B22/07/2026
Vila NovaFortaleza EC
21

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
3W6D1L
07/11/2026
NovorizontinoFortaleza EC
21
L02/11/2026
Fortaleza ECAtletico Goianiense
00
D24/10/2026
Ponte PretaFortaleza EC
22
D17/10/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
W12/10/2026
Fortaleza ECCRB
22
D08/10/2026
America MineiroFortaleza EC
01
W03/10/2026
Fortaleza ECNautico Recife
11
D27/09/2026
Fortaleza ECAthletic Club
22
D20/09/2026
LondrinaFortaleza EC
12
W13/09/2026
Fortaleza ECCeara
11
D
Vila NovaVila Nova
5W4D1L
08/11/2026
Vila NovaCriciuma
10
W31/10/2026
Vila NovaJuventude
22
D24/10/2026
São BernardoVila Nova
32
L18/10/2026
Vila NovaNovorizontino
22
D11/10/2026
Nautico RecifeVila Nova
02
W08/10/2026
Vila NovaCuiaba
00
D
03/10/2026
Botafogo SPVila Nova
01
W
26/09/2026
Vila NovaLondrina
20
W
19/09/2026
Vila NovaAmerica Mineiro
10
W15/09/2026
AvaiVila Nova
11
D

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
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About the Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortaleza EC and Vila Nova in the Serie B table

Vila Nova and Fortaleza EC are close in the Serie B table, 3rd and 5th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 44-33, Vila Nova 53-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Vila Nova have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.