Criciuma vs Avai Prediction

Criciuma
3-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Avai
Estadio Heriberto Hülse, Chrissyuma·Bruno Arleu 27/09/2026
CriciumaCriciuma
3-0
Finished
AvaiAvai

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
Criciuma Rest
4 days
Avai Rest
6 days

Criciuma vs Avai: result, form and history

Criciuma beat Avai 3-0 in the Serie B on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Bruno Arleu averages 5.67 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.65
X
30%3.32
2
18%5.82
Double Chance
1X
82%1.13
X2
48%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.35
No
56%1.51
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.09 = 2.47
Over 1.5
65%1.45
Over 2.5
40%2.50
Over 3.5
20%4.95
Under 1.5
35%2.52
Under 2.5
60%1.49
Under 3.5
80%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.25
Over 9.5
42%1.48
Over 10.5
29%1.80
Under 8.5
47%3.28
Under 9.5
58%2.43
Under 10.5
71%1.95
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

12'Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho INGabriel Cipriano out
27'Zé RicardoFoul
34'Paulo VitorFoul
49'Reynaldo Cesar MoraesOG
55'Zé Ricardo
58'Allyson Aires Dos Santos INRomildo out
59'Luciano CastanAssist: Rómulo Otero
61'Gabriel SimplesFoul
70'Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva INWaguininho out
70'Jean INGuilherme Teixeira Lobo out
70'Paulo Vitor INLuiz Henrique out
70'Gabriel Simples INWenderson out
71'Felipe Vizeu INGaspar out
77'Rómulo Otero INRomarinho out
77'Ronald INEduardo Biasi out
82'Willean BernardoAssist: Romarinho
84'Jefferson MacielArgument
85'RomarinhoArgument
86'Nicolas Godinho Johann INYuri Jonathan out
90+3'RomildoFoul

Lineups

Criciuma
4-2-3-1Coach: Umberto Louzer
Avai
3-4-3Coach: Allan Aal
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating5.93
Airton6.932Airton
Marcinho7.46Marcinho
Rodrigo8.03Rodrigo
Luciano Castán8.54L. Castán
Willean Lepo8.897W. Lepo
Jean Irmer7.241J. Irmer
Ronald6.714Ronald
Jhonata Robert6.410J. Robert
Fellipe Mateus7.27F. Mateus
R. Otero6.991R. Otero
Nicolas6.49Nicolas
Bruno Ferreira5.894B. Ferreira
Jefferson Maciel6.138J. Maciel
Allyson6.33Allyson
Reynaldo5.540Reynaldo
Simples Gabriel5.44S. Gabriel
Paulo Vitor6.025P. Vitor
Zé Ricardo5.377Z. Ricardo
DG5.336DG
Daniel Penha6.414D. Penha
Felipe Vizeu6.211F. Vizeu
Rildo6.337Rildo

Criciuma Substitutes

34Bruno Alves
1Alisson
88Cauê
37César Martins
5Eduardo77'for Ronald6.9
8Guilherme Lobo70'for Jean7.5
31Hiago Accinelli da Roza
21João Carlos
11Romarinho77'for Rómulo Otero85'6.5
13Waguininho70'for Jhonata Robert Alves da Silva6.6
33Yuri86'for Nicolas Godinho Johann6.5
70Pedro

Avai Substitutes

23Gabriel Cipriano12'for Rildo Goncalves de Amorin Filho6.2
95Wenderson70'for Gabriel Simples5.8
5Del Piage58'for Allyson Aires Dos Santos90+3'5.7
35Pedrão
8Luiz Henrique70'for Paulo Vitor6.0
70Gaspar71'for Felipe Vizeu6.6
9Léo Gamalho
1Igor Bohn
26Vinicius Miguel Immig
19Caio Suassuna Gonçalves Ferreira
15Guilherme Vargas
59Lopes Gabriel

Match Stats

CriciumaAvai
67%Ball Possession33%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots1
5Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal1
8Shots Inside Box1
11Shots Outside Box0
4Blocked Shots0
10Fouls17
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
612Total Passes309
542Passes Accurate231
17Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

CriciumaCriciuma
AvaiAvai
1633Elo Rating 1532
0.98Attack 0.53
2.30Defense 2.15
56%Hit Rate 36%
16.5Shots per Game 18.4
2.7Shots on Target 5.5
5.9Corners per Game 8.6
2.4Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+101 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AvaiAvai
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CriciumaCriciuma5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
AvaiAvai2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie B30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
Catarinense - 111/01/2026
CriciumaAvai
21
Serie B19/10/2025
AvaiCriciuma
11
Serie B28/06/2025
CriciumaAvai
12
Catarinense - 122/02/2025
AvaiCriciuma
03
Catarinense - 112/02/2024
AvaiCriciuma
23
Serie B05/08/2023
AvaiCriciuma
10
Serie B29/04/2023
CriciumaAvai
10
Catarinense - 122/03/2023
CriciumaAvai
1000
Catarinense - 118/03/2023
AvaiCriciuma
00

Referee Profile

Bruno Arleu241 matches

5.67Cards per match
5.44Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Bruno Arleu5.67
Other referees5.17

5.67 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).

Cards come from 198 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC341612641:29+1260WDWDD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
8CRBCRB341571251:48+352LDWLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina34881843:49-632WDLLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta34352619:74-5514DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3441:2960
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
7Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
8CRBCRB3451:4852
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3443:4932
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3419:7414
PromotionRelegation

About the Criciuma vs Avai forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Criciuma and Avai in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 5th and Avai 17th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Criciuma 36-30, Avai 33-45. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.