Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro Prediction

Estadio Antonio Accioly, Goiania·Marianna Nanni Batalha 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.34
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.83
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Atletico Goianiense Rest
6 days
America Mineiro Rest
4 days

Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro: result, form and history

Atletico Goianiense beat America Mineiro 2-0 in the Serie B on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atletico Goianiense had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for America Mineiro.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 7 matches. Atletico Goianiense tend to win more corners, 10.2 a game to 5.0 for America Mineiro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.34
X
20%4.85
2
11%8.50
Double Chance
1X
89%1.07
X2
31%3.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.00
No
53%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 0.81 = 3.04
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
57%1.70
Over 3.5
35%2.74
Under 1.5
21%4.00
Under 2.5
43%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.6 = 10
Over 8.5
67%1.23
Over 9.5
55%1.48
Over 10.5
45%1.84
Under 8.5
33%3.15
Under 9.5
45%2.46
Under 10.5
55%1.96
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.6 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
42%1.83
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
58%1.83

Match Events

5'Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira
12'Penalty cancelledFábio das Neves Gerônimo de Almeida
22'Guilherme ParedeFoul
28'Luca SosaFoul
49'Heitor Manuel Barcelos Lima INJulio César Leme Do Nascimento out
53'Adriano FonsecaAssist: José Domingos de Moraes Neto
59'José Domingos de Moraes NetoFoul
60'Geovany Soares INGuilherme Costa Marques out
60'Gustavo Maia da Silva INMatheuzinho out
60'Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira INBruno José out
60'Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes INJoão Pedro out
62'Willian INMarcelo Enrique Maçola Filho out
62'Guilherme Parede INRicardo Silva out
74'José Domingos de Moraes Neto INCristiano Claudinei Nogueira out
74'Rafael Raul Barcelos INTobias Ostchega out
74'Matías Segovia INFilipe Pereira Dahora out

Lineups

Atletico Goianiense
4-2-3-1Coach: Roger
America Mineiro
4-2-3-1Coach: Douglas Leite
Avg rating7.33
Avg rating6.34
Paulo Vítor7.31P. Vítor
Ewerthon7.52Ewerthon
J. Barreto7.53J. Barreto
Adriano Martins8.84A. Martins
Guilherme Lopes7.36G. Lopes
Netinho7.78Netinho
Peixoto7.15Peixoto
Soares Geovany7.27S. Geovany
Marrony8.210Marrony
Gustavo Maia7.011G. Maia
Gustavo Coutinho6.99G. Coutinho
William7.719William
Fábio Almeida6.631F. Almeida
Rafael Barcelos6.84R. Barcelos
L. Sosa5.63L. Sosa
L. Montes6.130L. Montes
Barreto6.488Barreto
Heitor6.413Heitor
Paulo Victor6.320P. Victor
M. Segovia6.377M. Segovia
Guilherme Parede5.97G. Parede
Willian6.09Willian

Atletico Goianiense Substitutes

16Yuri
19Henrique Freitas Alves
14Gebson
20Guilherme Marques60'for Geovany Soares7.2
17Cristiano74'for José Domingos de Moraes Neto6.9
21Matheusinho60'for Gustavo Maia da Silva7.0
18João Pedro60'for Gustavo Coutinho Silva Lopes6.7
15Natã
22Bruno José60'for Marrony da Silva Liberato Silveira6.9
13Kaua Henrique
12Paulo Henrique

America Mineiro Substitutes

71Cristian Do Espirito Santo Rodrigues
26Manoel
32Filipe74'for Matías Segovia5.9
25T. Ostchega74'for Rafael Raul Barcelos6.1
27Cássio
99Marcelo Macola62'for Willian6.2
37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento Julio49'for Heitor Manuel Barcelos Lima6.5
45Ricardo Silva62'for Guilherme Parede6.6
8Felipe Amaral

Match Stats

Atletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
55%Ball Possession45%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box3
10Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots2
17Fouls7
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
482Total Passes394
435Passes Accurate340
7Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1647Elo Rating 1451
0.87Attack 0.27
1.81Defense 2.10
14%Hit Rate 27%
24.8Shots per Game 12.7
4.3Shots on Target 3.3
10.2Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+196 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense2Wins · 29%
Draws343%
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 28%
1.7Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7

Previous meetings

Serie B09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
Serie B26/09/2025
Atletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
10
Serie B28/05/2025
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
21
Serie A13/11/2022
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
11
Serie A24/07/2022
Atletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
01
Serie A17/11/2021
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
00
Serie A02/08/2021
Atletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
11

Referee Profile

Marianna Nanni Batalha28 matches

5.31Cards per match
5.25Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marianna Nanni Batalha5.31
Other referees4.85

5.31 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.85).

Cards come from 16 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino351810762:30+3264WDWWW
2Vila NovaVila Nova35188950:36+1462LDWDW
3JuventudeJuventude341710741:23+1861DDWWW
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC351613643:31+1261DWDWD
5CriciumaCriciuma351781036:30+659LWWLW
6CRBCRB351671253:49+455WLDWL
7Sport RecifeSport Recife351412947:38+954WLDWW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense351412942:33+954LDDLW
9Operario-PROperario-PR351491245:46-151WLLLL
10GoiasGoias341471334:40-649DWWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3513101249:39+1049WLDLW
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP351381440:38+247WWWWL
13CuiabaCuiaba341114932:27+547LLDWL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3510141140:40044LDDLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3411101339:42-343DLLDW
16CearaCeara3411101337:42-543DLWWD
17AvaiAvai351071833:45-1237LDWWL
18LondrinaLondrina35881944:51-732LWDLL
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro34552422:54-3220WLLLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta35362621:76-5515DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3562:3064
2Vila NovaVila Nova3550:3662
3JuventudeJuventude3441:2361
4Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3543:3161
5CriciumaCriciuma3536:3059
6CRBCRB3553:4955
7Sport RecifeSport Recife3547:3854
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3542:3354
9Operario-PROperario-PR3545:4651
10GoiasGoias3434:4049
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3549:3949
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3540:3847
13CuiabaCuiaba3432:2747
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3540:4044
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3439:4243
16CearaCeara3437:4243
17AvaiAvai3533:4537
18LondrinaLondrina3544:5132
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3422:5420
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3521:7615
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Goianiense vs America Mineiro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Goianiense and America Mineiro in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th and America Mineiro 19th, 34 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Goianiense 42-33, America Mineiro 22-54. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.