CRB vs Nautico Recife Prediction

CRB
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Nautico Recife
Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceio·Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil 17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.30
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
CRB Rest
4 days
Nautico Recife Rest
4 days

CRB vs Nautico Recife: the result in context

CRB beat Nautico Recife 2-1 in the Serie B on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Referee Lucas Paulo Torezin averages 5.71 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.97
X
25%3.27
2
29%3.92
Double Chance
1X
71%1.23
X2
54%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.73
No
50%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 0.92 = 2.30
Over 1.5
70%1.28
Over 2.5
44%1.94
Over 3.5
23%3.20
Under 1.5
30%3.40
Under 2.5
56%1.85
Under 3.5
77%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
62%1.32
Over 9.5
52%1.59
Over 10.5
39%1.91
Under 8.5
38%3.08
Under 9.5
48%2.27
Under 10.5
61%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.7 = 5.4
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
63%1.41
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
37%2.63

Match Events

20'WendersonFoul
34'Mikael(Penalty)
46'Matheus Ribeiro INArnaldo out
60'Junior Todinho INDerek out
63'Hereda INKevin out
65'Victor Andrade INKauan Maranhao out
72'Gustavo Henrique INLuiz Paulo out
72'Luiz Felipe INSamuel Felix out
75'Danielzinho INGuilherme Pato out
75'Thiaguinho INGeovane out
81'Kauan MaranhaoAssist: Jean Carlos
83'Crystopher RibeiroAssist: Dada Belmonte
85'Dada BelmonteFoul
85'Bressan INLyncon out
85'Dada Belmonte INDe Lucca out

Lineups

CRB
4-3-3Coach: Barroca Eduardo
Nautico Recife
4-2-3-1Coach: Anjos Helio dos
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.74
Vitor Caetano6.91V. Caetano
Diogo Hereda6.732D. Hereda
Bressan6.922Bressan
Fábio AlemãoC6.927F. Alemão
Lucas Lovat6.936L. Lovat
Crystopher7.68Crystopher
Pedro Castro6.721P. Castro
Danielzinho7.710Danielzinho
Thiaguinho6.317Thiaguinho
Mikael7.028Mikael
Dadá Belmonte7.697D. Belmonte
Muriel9.31Muriel
Matheus Ribeiro5.714M. Ribeiro
Léo Índio6.515L. Índio
Gustavo Henrique6.346G. Henrique
Igor Fernandes6.223I. Fernandes
Luiz Felipe6.727L. Felipe
Wenderson6.98Wenderson
Reginaldo6.593Reginaldo
Jean CarlosC6.920J. Carlos
Victor Andrade6.911V. Andrade
Todinho6.629Todinho

CRB Substitutes

2Kevin63'for Hereda6.2
11Guilherme Pato75'for Danielzinho6.6
18Geovane75'for Thiaguinho6.5
33Lyncon85'for Bressan6.6
45Patrick De Lucca85'for Dada Belmonte6.3
23Fábio Henrique
6Reverson
14Ruy Marcos Levino de Oliveira
77Leo Campos
20Vinicius Barata
16Guilherme Kauan
7Douglas Baggio

Nautico Recife Substitutes

2Arnaldo46'for Matheus Ribeiro6.9
72Derek Freitas60'for Junior Todinho6.6
19Kauã Maranhão65'for Victor Andrade81'7.2
60Luiz Paulo72'replaced by Gustavo Henrique6.2
41Samuel72'for Luiz Felipe6.5
55Gastón Guruceaga
13Gabriel Índio
34Wanderson
37Juan Rikelme
5Auremir
18Halan

Match Stats

CRBNautico Recife
43%Ball Possession57%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots2
13Fouls12
3Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves6
360Total Passes467
296Passes Accurate385
82%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

CRBCRB
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
1642Elo Rating 1552
1.48Attack 0.27
1.56Defense 1.47
37%Hit Rate 27%
23.3Shots per Game 15.3
8.1Shots on Target 4.2
9.1Corners per Game 5.7
1.2Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CRBCRB
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CRBCRB1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife2Wins · 50%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B11/08/2022
Nautico RecifeCRB
21
Serie B28/04/2022
CRBNautico Recife
12
Serie B29/09/2021
Nautico RecifeCRB
13
Serie B30/06/2021
CRBNautico Recife
11

Recent Form

CRBCRB
3W4D3L
13/07/2026
CRBGoias
22
D
04/07/2026
LondrinaCRB
50
L
01/07/2026
Botafogo SPCRB
01
W
21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D
13/06/2026
Atletico GoianienseCRB
33
D
07/06/2026
CRBSão Bernardo
23
L
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
L
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
W
18/05/2026
Sport RecifeCRB
12
W
15/05/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
00
D
Nautico RecifeNautico Recife
3W2D5L
12/07/2026
AvaiNautico Recife
20
L
06/07/2026
Nautico RecifeJuventude
00
D
28/06/2026
Nautico RecifeGoias
01
L
21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
L
15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D
10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
L
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
L
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
W
16/05/2026
Operario-PRNautico Recife
26
W
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Paulo Torezin129 matches

5.71Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Paulo Torezin5.71
Other referees5.21

5.71 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).

Cards come from 76 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the CRB vs Nautico Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CRB and Nautico Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, CRB are 6th and Nautico Recife 15th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: CRB 57-51, Nautico Recife 41-51. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.