São Bernardo vs Avai Prediction

São Bernardo
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Avai
Estádio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo do Campo·Lucas Guimarães Rechatiko Horn, Brazil 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
São Bernardo Rest
5 days
Avai Rest
5 days

São Bernardo vs Avai: the result in context

São Bernardo and Avai drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 17 Jul 2026. Avai had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for São Bernardo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.95
X
26%3.25
2
23%4.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
49%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.92
No
50%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 0.86 = 2.29
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
43%2.18
Over 3.5
23%3.80
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
57%1.65
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 3.6 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.32
Over 9.5
52%1.60
Over 10.5
39%2.00
Under 8.5
38%2.96
Under 9.5
48%2.18
Under 10.5
61%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
66%-
Over 4.5
49%-
Under 3.5
34%-
Under 4.5
51%-

Match Events

6'Douglas TeixeiraFoul
35'JemersonAssist: Felipe Garcia
45'Zé RicardoFoul
46'Sorriso INJuan Sousa Rocha Leandro out
46'Douglas Teixeira INMateus Quaresma out
57'EchaporãFoul
62'Daniel PenhaAssist: Jean Lucas
64'AugustoFoul
66'Dudu MiraímaFoul
69'Foguinho INLucas Lima out
69'Dudu Miraíma INHyoran out
69'Echaporã INPedrinho out
79'Jean Lucas INLéo Gamalho out
79'Zé Ricardo INWenderson out
80'Lucas Rian INDaniel Amorim out
83'Jefferson Maciel INJoao Victor out

Lineups

São Bernardo
Coach: Catala Ricardo
Avai
Coach: Almeida Cauan de

São Bernardo Starting XI

1Alex Alves6.2
2Rodrigo Ferreira6.6
35Jemerson35'8.5
97Augusto64'6.5
6Pará7.3
26Dudu Miraíma66'69'replaced by Hyoran7.0
17Romisson6.5
8FoguinhoC69'replaced by Lucas Lima6.5
7Lucas Rian80'replaced by Daniel Amorim6.9
9Felipe Garcia6.7
27Echaporã57'69'replaced by Pedrinho6.7
Avg rating6.81

Avai Starting XI

1Igor Bohn5.6
2Wallison6.6
3Allyson7.0
38Jefferson Maciel83'replaced by Joao Victor6.9
36Douglas Teixeira6'46'replaced by Mateus Quaresma6.3
43Thayllon Roberth6.3
77Zé RicardoC45'79'replaced by Wenderson6.6
8Luiz Henrique6.9
11Sorriso46'replaced by Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro6.7
14Daniel Penha62'7.7
10Jean Lucas79'replaced by Léo Gamalho7.3
Avg rating6.69

São Bernardo Substitutes

14Lucas Lima69'for Foguinho6.9
42Hyoran69'for Dudu Miraíma6.9
29Pedrinho69'for Echaporã6.7
89Daniel Amorim80'for Lucas Rian6.2
12Júnior Oliveira
3Helder Maciel
21Hugo
25Wellington Manzoli
33Mário Sergio
77Marcão Silva
10Fabrício Daniel
70Lucas Reis

Avai Substitutes

66Mateus Quaresma46'for Douglas Teixeira6.9
17Juan Sousa Rocha Leandro46'for Sorriso6.3
95Wenderson79'for Zé Ricardo6.7
9Léo Gamalho79'for Jean Lucas6.3
50Joao Victor83'for Jefferson Maciel6.9
21Otávio
4Gabriel Pereira Simples
16Jamerson dos Santos Nascimento
25Paulo Vitor

Match Stats

São BernardoAvai
57%Ball Possession43%
9Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
5Shots Inside Box1
6Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
16Fouls9
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
574Total Passes458
502Passes Accurate376
87%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

São BernardoSão Bernardo
AvaiAvai
1618Elo Rating 1522
1.70Attack 0.45
1.46Defense 2.13
50%Hit Rate 31%
11.5Shots per Game 18.1
4.2Shots on Target 5.7
6.2Corners per Game 8.2
2.1Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
AvaiAvai
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Recent Form

São BernardoSão Bernardo
3W4D3L
12/07/2026
São BernardoCuiaba
22
D
07/07/2026
Vila NovaSão Bernardo
21
L
27/06/2026
CriciumaSão Bernardo
10
L
21/06/2026
São BernardoJuventude
01
L
14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
07/06/2026
CRBSão Bernardo
23
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
24/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseSão Bernardo
01
W
16/05/2026
São BernardoAmerica Mineiro
11
D
13/05/2026
LondrinaSão Bernardo
13
W
AvaiAvai
5W0D5L
12/07/2026
AvaiNautico Recife
20
W
07/07/2026
Botafogo SPAvai
31
L
28/06/2026
Athletic ClubAvai
10
L
21/06/2026
AvaiCuiaba
10
W
16/06/2026
LondrinaAvai
32
L
11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
L
07/06/2026
Chapecoense-scAvai
4350
W
04/06/2026
AvaiChapecoense-sc
30
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
L
28/05/2026
AvaiVolta Redonda
30
W

Referee Profile

Lucas Guimarães Rechatiko Horn83 matches

4.80Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
29.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lucas Guimarães Rechatiko Horn4.80
Other referees5.23

4.80 cards a match, 0.43 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the São Bernardo vs Avai forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

São Bernardo and Avai in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, São Bernardo are 11th and Avai 17th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: São Bernardo 54-44, Avai 35-47. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

São Bernardo and Avai have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.