Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction
Bulgaria · Regular Season - 14
Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia: what the numbers say
Both Arda Kardzhali and Septemvri Sofia have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the First League on 2 Nov 2026.
Arda Kardzhali have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee Vasil Minev averages 4.05 cards a game, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Team Comparison
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri SofiaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Arda Kardzhali- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Septemvri Sofia- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Arda Kardzhali5Wins · 72%1Wins · 14%Previous meetings
18/07/2026Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali21/03/2026Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali20/10/2025Arda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia07/04/2025Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali25/10/2024Arda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia12/02/2023Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali01/08/2022Arda KardzhaliSeptemvri SofiaRecent Form
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
Spartak PlovdivArda Kardzhali
LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
CSKA SofiaArda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
Botev VratsaLokomotiv PlovdivArda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv SofiaSeptemvri SofiaCherno More VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSeptemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Dunav RuseSeptemvri SofiaBotev PlovdivLudogoretsSeptemvri SofiaSeptemvri SofiaBotev Vratsa
Slavia SofiaSeptemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
Spartak VarnaSeptemvri SofiaSeptemvri SofiaCSKA SofiaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.05 cards a match, 0.67 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.72).
Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25:5 | +20 | 32 | WDWDW |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:9 | +15 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31:14 | +17 | 28 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 13 | LLWLD |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 | DLLDW |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | LWWDL |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 | DLDDW |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6:17 | -11 | 9 | LDDDL |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 13 | Cherno More Varna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WLDDL |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | 25:5 | 32 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 29:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 12 | 24:9 | 29 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 13 | 31:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 13 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 12 | 16:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 13 | 12:23 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 13 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 10:21 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 13 | 6:17 | 9 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 13 | 15:25 | 9 |
| 13 | Cherno More Varna | 12 | 13:22 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 12 | 10:23 | 8 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More First League matches
- Cherno More Varna vs Septemvri Sofia 27/10/26
- Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia 27/10/26
- CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Varna 30/10/26
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv 30/10/26
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets 31/10/26
- Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia 31/10/26
- CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Sofia 31/10/26
- Cherno More Varna vs Botev Vratsa 02/11/26
About the Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia forecast
The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Arda Kardzhali and Septemvri Sofia in the First League table
In the First League table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th and Septemvri Sofia 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Arda Kardzhali 16-18, Septemvri Sofia 10-23. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.