Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction

Ludogorets
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Arda Kardzhali
Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad·Kolev, Ivo 12/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+0.7%
Ludogorets Rest
8 days
Arda Kardzhali Rest
10 days

Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali: the result in context

Ludogorets beat Arda Kardzhali 5-0 in the First League on 12 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ludogorets had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Arda Kardzhali.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Ludogorets tend to win more corners, 6.1 a game to 2.3 for Arda Kardzhali.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.47
X
20%4.00
2
12%6.60
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
33%2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 0.94 = 2.78
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
55%1.85
Over 3.5
32%3.10
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
45%1.88
Under 3.5
68%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'Caio Vidal RochaAssist: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
21'Hossam Abdelmaguid
30'Georgi Nikolaev Nikolov
41'Caio Vidal Rocha
44'Bernard TekpeteyAssist: Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
45+3'Vyacheslav Velev
45+4'Bernard Tekpetey
46'petar stanic INAguibou Camara out
46'Deroy Duarte INAmir Hadžiahmetović out
56'Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
56'Bernard Tekpetey INErick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo out
57'Antonio Vutov INPreslav·Bachev out
63'Svetoslav Kovachev INAtanas Kabov out
63'Stanislav Ivanov INBirsent Karagaren out
68'Viktor Lyubenov
68'Caio Vidal Rocha INNathan Fernandes out
78'Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz INIvajlo Čočev out
79'Viktor Lyubenov INDerick Fernando da Silva out
86'Ivan Zhelizko

Lineups

Ludogorets
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Jovičević
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Tunchev
H. Bonmann39H. Bonmann
S. Shishkov42S. Shishkov
Hossam Abdelmaguid4H. Abdelmaguid
E. Kurtulus15E. Kurtulus
J. Andersson2J. Andersson
I. Zhelizko6I. Zhelizko
Deroy Duarte23D. Duarte
B. Tekpetey37B. Tekpetey
P. Stanić14P. Stanić
Caio Vidal11C. Vidal
Rwan Cruz12R. Cruz
A. Gospodinov1A. Gospodinov
V. Popov6V. Popov
M. Paskalev24M. Paskalev
V. Lyubenov5V. Lyubenov
D. Velkovski35D. Velkovski
L. Kotev80L. Kotev
V. Velev21V. Velev
S. Kovachev10S. Kovachev
A. Vutov39A. Vutov
S. Ivanov91S. Ivanov
G. Nikolov9G. Nikolov

Ludogorets Substitutes

16Nathan Fernandes68'for Caio Vidal Rocha
3A. Nedyalkov
44O. Rekik
22M. Polendakov
5G. Terziev
20A. Camara46'for petar stanic
18I. Chochev78'for Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
77Erick Marcus56'for Bernard Tekpetey
13I. Grbić
8A. Hadžiahmetović46'for Deroy Duarte
26F. Kaloč

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

18S. Vasilev
70Nabil Makni
99B. Karagaren63'for Stanislav Ivanov
11A. Kabov63'for Svetoslav Kovachev
22Y. Georgiev
2Derick Fernando da Silva79'replaced by Viktor Lyubenov
16P. Bachev57'for Antonio Vutov
26B. Akandzha
44Adama Ardile Traoré

Match Stats

LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
70%Ball Possession30%
7Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots4
6Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

LudogoretsLudogorets
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
1683Elo Rating 1558
2.82Attack 1.18
2.50Defense 0.30
86%Hit Rate 27%
14.0Shots per Game 6.8
6.9Shots on Target 3.8
6.1Corners per Game 2.3
2.0Cards per Game 3.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1 in first half)
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LudogoretsLudogorets4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League15/04/2026
Arda KardzhaliLudogorets
10
First League09/11/2025
LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
23
First League26/05/2025
LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
22
First League09/05/2025
Arda KardzhaliLudogorets
11
First League04/12/2024
Arda KardzhaliLudogorets
04
First League03/08/2024
LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
51
First League15/04/2024
LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
20
First League22/10/2023
Arda KardzhaliLudogorets
00
First League14/04/2023
Arda KardzhaliLudogorets
12
First League18/09/2022
LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
11

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
5W1D4L
02/10/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
19/09/2026
Arda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
11
D
12/09/2026
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
41
L
04/09/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
23
L
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
W
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
W
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
W
08/08/2026
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
02
W
31/07/2026
CSKA 1948Arda Kardzhali
21
L
24/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
10
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1182121:9+1226LWWWD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv122376:14-89DDDLW
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
2Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
3LudogoretsLudogorets1121:926
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv126:149
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Ludogorets vs Arda Kardzhali forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ludogorets and Arda Kardzhali in the First League table

In the First League table, Ludogorets are 3rd and Arda Kardzhali 6th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Ludogorets 21-9, Arda Kardzhali 15-17. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.