Parma vs Monza Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
2.03
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
Parma Rest
4 days
Monza Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%2.60
X31%3.02
233%2.91
Double Chance
1X67%1.40
X264%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes39%1.91
No61%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.04 = 2.27
Over 1.558%1.41
Over 2.534%2.30
Over 3.59%4.30
Under 1.542%2.88
Under 2.566%1.62
Under 3.591%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.1
Over 8.557%2.03
Over 9.547%2.64
Over 10.531%3.56
Under 8.543%1.73
Under 9.553%1.41
Under 10.569%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.558%1.55
Over 4.539%2.19
Under 3.542%2.38
Under 4.561%1.62
Match Events
38'Jay RobinsonAssist: Ricardo Mangas
41'Michael FolorunshoFoul
45'Diego Carlos INLautaro Valenti out
45'Christian Ordóñez INVincent Sierro out
45'Giovanni Fabbian INMatija Frigan out
54'Omari Forson INAndrea Colpani out
55'José David Romero INSimone Lontani out
60'Simone Lontani
62'Dany Mota INLeonardo Colombo out
66'Mandela KeitaFoul
68'Leonardo ColomboFoul
77'Sascha Britschgi INPontus Almqvist out
81'Andrea Carboni INYvan Maye out
81'Jay Robinson INMathis Mout out
81'Eddy Kouadio INAdam Bakoune out
83'Pontus AlmqvistFoul
Lineups
ParmaMonza
3-4-2-1Coach: I. JuricAvg ratingAvg rating
40E. Corvi
15E. Del Prato
34D. Carlos
37M. Troilo
27S. Britschgi
32C. Ordoñez
16M. Keita
80G. Fabbian
14E. Valeri
9D. Romero
19E. Touré
20D. Thiam
60E. Kouadio
3L. Lucchesi
44A. Carboni
19S. Birindelli
90M. Folorunsho
14E. Akinsanmiro
7R. Mangas
11O. Forson
46J. Robinson
47D. MotaParma Substitutes
11P. Almqvist77'for Sascha Britschgi83'
29F. Carboni
8B. Cremaschi
30G. Daffara
72D. Drobnic
23N. Elphege
20M. Frigan45'for Giovanni Fabbian
22S. Ghidotti
47Abdou Konate
76S. Lontani55'for José David Romero60'
3A. N'Diaye
4V. Sierro45'for Christian Ordóñez
5L. Valenti45'for Diego Carlos
25T. De Martis
Monza Substitutes
6V. Antov
1N. Törnqvist
24A. Bakoune81'for Eddy Kouadio
21L. Colombo62'for Dany Mota68'
28A. Colpani54'for Omari Forson
2S. Goglichidze
5Y. Maye81'for Andrea Carboni
80M. Mout81'for Jay Robinson
8M. Ondoa
43A. Strajnar
Match Stats
ParmaMonza 46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box13
0Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
16Fouls16
0Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves2
347Total Passes410
269Passes Accurate346
78%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
ParmaMonza1676Elo Rating 1668
1.00Attack 1.69
1.69Defense 0.54
27%Hit Rate 17%
10.8Shots per Game 10.0
3.7Shots on Target 4.6
3.8Corners per Game 3.0
0.9Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Parma- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
Monza- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Parma1Wins · 25%Draws375%
Monza0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
15/03/2025MonzaParma11
28/12/2024ParmaMonza21
02/03/2022MonzaParma11
17/10/2021ParmaMonza00
Recent Form
Parma2W2D6L
01/09/2026Parma
Cremonese
29/08/2026ParmaCremonese02
L
JuventusParma20
L22/08/2026Parma
Cagliari01
L14/08/2026Parma
Catania20
W09/08/2026Parma
Sampdoria
ParmaSampdoria02
L02/08/2026Parma
Iraklis 1908
ParmaIraklis 190811
D30/07/2026Parma
Arezzo
ParmaArezzo11
D24/05/2026Parma
Sassuolo
ParmaSassuolo10
W17/05/2026
ComoParma
ComoParma10
L10/05/2026Parma
AS Roma
ParmaAS Roma23
LMonza5W1D4L
01/09/2026
TorinoMonzaMonza
Udinese
InterMonzaMonza
Avellino
TorinoMonza01
W29/08/2026MonzaUdinese23
L22/08/2026InterMonza41
L14/08/2026MonzaAvellino30
W07/08/2026Monza
Padova
MonzaPadova33
D30/07/2026Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
MonzaAris Thessalonikis13
L24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
GalatasarayMonza02
W18/07/2026Monza
PRO Vercelli
MonzaPRO Vercelli43
W29/05/2026Monza
Catanzaro
MonzaCatanzaro02
L24/05/2026CatanzaroMonza
CatanzaroMonza02
WReferee Profile
4.87Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.87 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).
Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 10 |  Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW |
| 12 |  Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 11 | 31:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Inter | 10 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 10 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa | 10 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 16:29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 12:25 | 5 |
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About the Parma vs Monza forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Parma and Monza in the Serie A table
Parma and Monza are close in the Serie A table, 16th and 18th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Parma 9-17, Monza 17-24. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.