AS Roma vs Inter Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.55
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
AS Roma Rest
4 days
Inter Rest
4 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.65
X28%3.49
234%2.60
Double Chance
1X66%1.49
X261%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.46
No43%2.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.26 = 2.75
Over 1.575%1.15
Over 2.556%1.63
Over 3.534%2.45
Under 1.525%4.65
Under 2.544%2.33
Under 3.566%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.1
Over 8.551%1.69
Over 9.542%2.13
Over 10.531%2.82
Under 8.549%2.09
Under 9.558%1.65
Under 10.569%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.547%1.61
Over 4.528%2.13
Under 3.553%2.23
Under 4.572%1.66
Match Events
6'M. KoneAssist: N. Molina
11'N. BarellaUnsportsmanlike conduct
37'M. KoneAssist: G. Mancini
45+4'M. AkanjiTripping
46'L. MartinezAssist: M. Thuram
54'C. Jones INP. Sucic out
54'F. Dimarco INCarlos Augusto out
57'A. BastoniHolding
60'N. Molina IND. Rensch out
60'M. Kone INN. Pisilli out
60'G. Mancini INE. Ndicka out
63'A. Bastoni INLuis Henrique out
66'L. Balerdi IND. Ghilardi out
73'E. NdickaHolding
79'L. MartinezAssist: Y. Bisseck
81'M. Hermoso INK. Koulierakis out
82'K. KoulierakisFoul
89'D. GhilardiHolding
90'M. Thuram INA. Bonny out
90'L. Martinez INF. Esposito out
Lineups
AS RomaInter
3-1-4-2Coach: Cristian ChivuAvg ratingAvg rating
99M. Svilar
23G. Mancini
26L. Balerdi
22M. Hermoso
43Wesley
C4B. Cristante
17M. Koné
20N. Molina
21P. Dybala
18M. Soulé
14D. Malen
1J. Martínez
31Y. Bisseck
25M. Akanji
95A. Bastoni
7P. Zieliński
17A. Diouf
23N. Barella
21C. Jones
32F. Dimarco
C10L. Martínez
9M. ThuramAS Roma Substitutes
5Evan Ndicka60'for G. Mancini73'
61Niccolò Pisilli60'for M. Kone
2Devyne Rensch60'for N. Molina
87Daniele Ghilardi66'for L. Balerdi89'
70Giorgio De Marzi
95Pierluigi Gollini
3Konstantinos Koulierakis81'for M. Hermoso82'
15Marten de Roon
86Rodrigo Mora
77Emanuele Lulli
9Santiago Castro
7Lorenzo Pellegrini
Inter Substitutes
30Carlos Augusto54'for F. Dimarco
8Petar Sučić54'for C. Jones
11Luís Henrique63'for A. Bastoni
49Ivan Provedel
12Raffaele Di Gennaro
28Benjamin Pavard
46Leonardo Bovio
22Henrikh Mkhitaryan
5Aleksandar Stanković
14Ange-Yoan Bonny90'for M. Thuram
94Pio Esposito90'for L. Martinez
48Mattia Mosconi
Match Stats
AS RomaInter 49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots16
4Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots3
13Fouls7
3Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
463Total Passes472
389Passes Accurate407
84%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
AS RomaInter1933Elo Rating 1979
3.52Attack 1.90
0.85Defense 2.15
56%Hit Rate 77%
16.6Shots per Game 17.7
6.8Shots on Target 6.4
5.5Corners per Game 6.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
AS Roma- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Inter- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
AS Roma2Wins · 20%Draws00%
Inter8Wins · 80%
8Wins · 80%2.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
05/04/2026InterAS Roma52
18/10/2025AS RomaInter01
27/04/2025InterAS Roma01
20/10/2024AS RomaInter01
10/02/2024AS RomaInter24
29/10/2023InterAS Roma10
06/05/2023AS RomaInter02
01/10/2022InterAS Roma12
23/04/2022InterAS Roma31
08/02/2022InterAS Roma20
Recent Form
AS Roma5W3D2L
14/09/2026
TorinoAS Roma
FenerbahçeAS RomaAS Roma
Atalanta
LecceAS RomaAS Roma
Fiorentina
TorinoAS Roma02
W10/09/2026FenerbahçeAS Roma11
D05/09/2026AS RomaAtalanta21
W31/08/2026LecceAS Roma04
W24/08/2026AS RomaFiorentina40
W15/08/2026
Borussia DortmundAS Roma
Borussia DortmundAS Roma22
D08/08/2026
BrightonAS Roma
BrightonAS Roma30
L04/08/2026
Newport CountyAS Roma
Newport CountyAS Roma14
W01/08/2026
CardiffAS Roma
CardiffAS Roma41
L26/07/2026
CannesAS Roma
CannesAS Roma33
DInter8W1D1L
14/09/2026Inter
Udinese
Real MadridInterInter
Napoli
CagliariInterInter
Monza
InterUdinese53
W08/09/2026Real MadridInter21
L05/09/2026InterNapoli32
W30/08/2026CagliariInter01
W22/08/2026InterMonza41
W15/08/2026Inter
Real Betis
InterReal Betis10
W08/08/2026
JuventusInter
JuventusInter12
W05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
AC MilanInter11
D01/08/2026
Manchester CityInter
Manchester CityInter1131
W26/07/2026
Karlsruher SCInter
Karlsruher SCInter12
WReferee Profile
4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.77 cards a match, 0.36 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.41).
Cards come from 213 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24:8 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 27 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:13 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WLLLL |
| 10 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | DLLWW |
| 12 |  Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LDDLW |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 | DLLLW |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 16 |  Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 19 |  Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | WLLLW |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 11 | 31:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Inter | 10 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 24:15 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli | 10 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 12 | Genoa | 10 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 12:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 10 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 16:29 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 12:25 | 5 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Serie A matches
About the AS Roma vs Inter forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
AS Roma and Inter in the Serie A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: AS Roma are 2nd in the Serie A, 2 points ahead of Inter in 3rd. League goal record so far: AS Roma 31-10, Inter 26-13. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
AS Roma have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.