Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.42
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Monza Rest
5 days
Sassuolo Rest
5 days
Monza vs Sassuolo: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
135%2.67
X27%3.35
238%2.62
Double Chance
1X62%1.50
X265%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.57
No45%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.29 = 2.62
Over 1.574%1.22
Over 2.546%1.77
Over 3.524%2.77
Under 1.526%4.02
Under 2.554%2.10
Under 3.576%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.566%1.64
Over 9.554%2.05
Over 10.540%2.66
Under 8.534%2.19
Under 9.546%1.73
Under 10.560%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.548%1.83
Over 4.529%2.79
Under 3.552%1.84
Under 4.571%1.42
Match Events
30'E. KouadioRoughing
51'G. VarelaAssist: S. Birindelli
56'P. Cutrone IND. Mota out
56'R. Mangas INA. Bakoune out
56'E. Akinsanmiro INF. Ondoa out
63'G. Varela(Penalty)
64'K. Thorstvedt INK. Bowie out
64'N. Matic INL. Lipani out
72'D. Berardi INB. Dominguez out
72'S. Esposito INV. Adzic out
74'M. FolorunshoTripping
82'J. Robinson INM. Mout out
82'D. Bakola INL. Skjellerup out
85'L. LipaniUnsportsmanlike conduct
85'S. BirindelliTripping
88'V. Adzic
90+2'G. VarelaHolding
90+3'S. Birindelli INY. Maye out
Lineups
MonzaSassuolo
4-3-3Coach: Alberto AquilaniAvg ratingAvg rating
1N. Törnqvist
60E. Kouadio
3L. Lucchesi
44A. Carboni
C19S. Birindelli
90M. Folorunsho
14E. Akinsanmiro
7R. Mangas
10P. Cutrone
46J. Robinson
9G. Varela
49A. Murić
46S. Cinquegrano
15D. Ćaleta-Car
16F. Leysen
3J. Doig
42K. Thorstvedt
18N. Matić
50D. Bakola
C10D. Berardi
94S. Esposito
45A. LaurientéMonza Substitutes
24Adam Bakoune56'for R. Mangas
8Manga Foe Ondoa56'for E. Akinsanmiro
47Dany Mota56'for P. Cutrone
80Mathis Mout82'for J. Robinson
43Aljaz Strajnar
20Demba Thiam
6Valentin Antov
2Saba Goglichidze
5Yvan Maye90+3'for S. Birindelli
21Leonardo Colombo
11Omari Forson
22Exequiel Zeballos
16Cyril Ngonge
28Andrea Colpani
Sassuolo Substitutes
35Luca Lipani64'for N. Matic85'
9Kieron Bowie64'for K. Thorstvedt
17Vasilije Adžić72'for S. Esposito88'
25Benjamín Domínguez72'for D. Berardi
19Laurs Skjellerup82'for D. Bakola
80Stefano Turati
12Giacomo Satalino
20Ignace Van der Brempt
26Cas Odenthal
8Andrea Ghion
33Rafael Obrador
55Ibrahim Sulemana
77Nicholas Pierini
Match Stats
MonzaSassuolo 35%Ball Possession65%
7Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots20
6Shots on Goal8
6Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box13
7Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots5
13Fouls6
0Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves4
312Total Passes581
247Passes Accurate513
79%Pass Accuracy88%
Team Comparison
MonzaSassuolo1710Elo Rating 1735
2.17Attack 1.74
1.48Defense 0.69
46%Hit Rate 17%
15.3Shots per Game 13.7
6.7Shots on Target 5.9
4.7Corners per Game 4.2
1.8Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Monza- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sassuolo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Monza3Wins · 75%Draws125%
Sassuolo0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
28/01/2024MonzaSassuolo10
02/10/2023SassuoloMonza01
19/05/2023SassuoloMonza12
22/01/2023MonzaSassuolo11
Recent Form
Monza4W2D4L
13/09/2026
LecceMonza
ParmaMonza
TorinoMonzaMonza
Udinese
InterMonzaMonza
Avellino
LecceMonza32
L06/09/2026ParmaMonza11
D01/09/2026TorinoMonza01
W29/08/2026MonzaUdinese23
L22/08/2026InterMonza41
L14/08/2026MonzaAvellino30
W07/08/2026Monza
Padova
MonzaPadova33
D30/07/2026Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
MonzaAris Thessalonikis13
L24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
GalatasarayMonza02
W18/07/2026Monza
PRO Vercelli
MonzaPRO Vercelli43
WSassuolo5W2D3L
13/09/2026Sassuolo
Juventus
BolognaSassuoloSassuolo
FrosinoneSassuoloTorino
AtalantaSassuoloSassuolo
Cesena
SassuoloJuventus32
W06/09/2026BolognaSassuolo22
D02/09/2026SassuoloFrosinone4131
W29/08/2026SassuoloTorino21
W23/08/2026AtalantaSassuolo21
L17/08/2026SassuoloCesena30
W08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
FC AugsburgSassuolo32
L05/08/2026Sassuolo
Celta Vigo
SassuoloCelta Vigo14
L31/07/2026Sassuolo
Folgore Caratese
SassuoloFolgore Caratese00
D22/07/2026SassuoloPadova
SassuoloPadova41
WReferee Profile
4.82Cards per match
4.63Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.82 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).
Cards come from 72 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:9 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 19 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | +13 | 17 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 5 |  Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | +5 | 14 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 7 |  Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 13 | LDWWW |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 11 | LDWLD |
| 9 |  Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 | LWDLD |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 3 | WLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 7 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 6:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 6:16 | 3 |
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This match
About the Monza vs Sassuolo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Monza and Sassuolo in the Serie A table
Sassuolo and Monza are close in the Serie A table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Monza 13-15, Sassuolo 12-14. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.