Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino Prediction

Atletico-MG
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
RB Bragantino
Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte·Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
Atletico-MG Rest
3 days
RB Bragantino Rest
4 days

Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino: the result in context

Atletico-MG and RB Bragantino drew 2-2 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 19 Aug 2026. Atletico-MG had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for RB Bragantino.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Nicolas Ramirez averages 6.18 cards a game, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.20
X
39%3.25
2
29%3.30
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
68%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.91
No
55%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.88 = 2.46
Over 1.5
71%1.40
Over 2.5
38%2.24
Over 3.5
19%4.15
Under 1.5
29%2.87
Under 2.5
62%1.63
Under 3.5
81%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
58%1.55
Over 9.5
45%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.46
Under 8.5
42%2.25
Under 9.5
55%1.80
Under 10.5
66%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.6 = 4.4
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
47%1.39
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
53%2.61

Match Events

44'Eric RamiresFoul
45+5'Tomás CuelloFoul
45+8'Eric RamiresAssist: Lucas Barbosa
52'Maycon
60'Bernard INAlan Minda out
60'Reinier INMateo Cassierra out
67'Vinicinho INHenry Mosquera out
77'José Herrera INEduardo Sasha out
81'Eduardo SashaAssist: Lucas Barbosa
84'Alan Franco INMamady Cissé out
86'Rodriguinho INFabinho out
86'Eric Ramires INAlix Vinicius out
88'Alix ViniciusTime wasting
90+3'Tomás Cuello

Lineups

Atletico-MG
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
RB Bragantino
Coach: Mancini Vagner

Atletico-MG Starting XI

22EversonC9.0
2Natanael6.7
4Ruan6.6
14Vitor Hugo6.3
6Renan Lodi6.2
8Maycon52'7.7
21Alan Franco84'replaced by Mamady Cissé6.6
28Tomás Cuello45+5'90+3'8.5
30Victor Hugo7.2
11Bernard60'replaced by Alan Minda6.6
19Reinier60'replaced by Mateo Cassierra6.9
Avg rating7.04

RB Bragantino Starting XI

1Cleiton5.9
23Agustin Sant Anna6.9
14Pedro Henrique6.2
16Gustavo Marques6.9
29Juninho Capixaba6.2
7Eric Ramires44'45+8'86'replaced by Alix Vinicius7.5
20Rodriguinho86'replaced by Fabinho6.3
32José HerreraC77'replaced by Eduardo Sasha7.2
21Lucas Barbosa6.3
17Vinicinho67'replaced by Henry Mosquera5.9
9Isidro Pitta6.6
Avg rating6.57

Atletico-MG Substitutes

27Alan Minda60'for Bernard6.6
9Mateo Cassierra60'for Reinier6.9
39Mamady Cissé84'for Alan Franco6.7
1Gabriel Delfim
31Robert Alves
40Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
36Kauã Pascini
23Ángelo Preciado
25Tomás Pérez
48Gutte
92Dudu
29Cauã Campos Soares

RB Bragantino Substitutes

30Henry Mosquera67'for Vinicinho6.3
8Eduardo Sasha77'for José Herrera81'7.2
4Alix Vinicius86'for Eric Ramires88'
5Fabinho86'for Rodriguinho
18Tiago Volpi
2Guzmán Rodríguez
51Cauê Nascimento
34José Andrés Hurtado
22Gustavo Neves
15Ignacio Sosa
35Matheus Fernandes
6Gabriel Girotto

Match Stats

Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
44%Ball Possession56%
5Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal9
6Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots4
7Fouls11
7Goalkeeper Saves2
325Total Passes416
253Passes Accurate331
78%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
1704Elo Rating 1704
0.33Attack 1.96
1.30Defense 1.89
0%Hit Rate 64%
12.8Shots per Game 16.9
3.1Shots on Target 6.6
5.8Corners per Game 6.7
1.9Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
RB BragantinoRB Bragantino2Wins · 20%
2.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Sudamericana13/08/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
01
Serie A04/02/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
10
Serie A16/11/2025
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
20
Serie A03/08/2025
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
21
Serie A22/09/2024
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
30
Serie A12/06/2024
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
12
Serie A27/10/2023
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
12
Serie A10/06/2023
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
11
Serie A07/09/2022
Atletico-MGRB Bragantino
11
Serie A12/05/2022
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
11

Recent Form

Atletico-MGAtletico-MG
6W3D1L
16/08/2026
Atletico-MGGremio
30
W
13/08/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
01
W
08/08/2026
RemoAtletico-MG
22
D
05/08/2026
JuventudeAtletico-MG
01
W
02/08/2026
Atletico-MGJuventude
00
D
27/07/2026
PalmeirasAtletico-MG
12
W
22/07/2026
Atletico-MGBahia
11
D
31/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaAtletico-MG
01
W
28/05/2026
Atletico-MGPuerto Cabello
10
W
24/05/2026
CorinthiansAtletico-MG
10
L

Referee Profile

Nicolas Ramirez147 matches

6.18Cards per match
5.88Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Ramirez6.18
Other referees5.12

6.18 cards a match, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).

Cards come from 103 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG63128:6+210WWDLW
2CiencianoCienciano62225:7-28DLLWW
3JuventudJuventud614110:7+37DDDWL
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello62136:9-37LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico-MGAtletico-MG68:610
2CiencianoCienciano65:78
3JuventudJuventud610:77
4Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello66:97

Group H

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1River PlateRiver Plate64209:3+614WDWWW
2RB BragantinoRB Bragantino631212:5+710WDWLW
3Carabobo FCCarabobo FC63036:5+19LWLWL
4BloomingBlooming60153:17-141LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1River PlateRiver Plate69:314
2RB BragantinoRB Bragantino612:510
3Carabobo FCCarabobo FC66:59
4BloomingBlooming63:171
Promotion

About the Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

RB Bragantino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.