Macara vs Santos Prediction

Macara
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Santos
Estadio Bellavista, Ambato·Cristian Garay, Chile 21/08/2026
MacaraMacara
0-0
Finished
SantosSantos

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap+8.9%
Macara Rest
2 days
Santos Rest
4 days

Macara vs Santos: the result in context

Macara and Santos drew 0-0 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Cristian Garay averages 4.64 cards a game, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.20
X
28%3.23
2
31%3.39
Double Chance
1X
69%1.33
X2
59%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.80
No
55%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 0.95 = 2.24
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
38%2.10
Over 3.5
19%3.70
Under 1.5
29%3.10
Under 2.5
62%1.73
Under 3.5
81%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.4 = 8.3
Over 8.5
58%1.52
Over 9.5
45%1.86
Over 10.5
34%2.42
Under 8.5
42%2.33
Under 9.5
55%1.85
Under 10.5
66%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 3 + 2.4 = 5.5
Over 3.5
75%1.28
Over 4.5
57%1.63
Under 3.5
25%2.95
Under 4.5
43%2.12

Match Events

11'GustavinhoFoul
46'D. Fernandes INRafael Gonzaga out
46'Joao Ananias INB. Rollheiser out
62'Denilson BolañosFoul
64'M. Viera INJ. Klinger out
74'J. Estacio INM. Tello out
74'Thaciano INMiguelito out
83'C. Oliva INS. Pierri out
84'A. I. Campana INL. Ferro out
90+1'RonyFoul
90+1'G. Caballero INPedro Assis out

Lineups

Macara
4-3-3Coach: Guillermo Sanguinetti
Santos
4-4-2Coach: Cuca
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.85
R. Rodriguez6.71R. Rodriguez
D. Bolanos6.925D. Bolanos
S. Etchebarne7.321S. Etchebarne
J. MarrufoC7.214J. Marrufo
J. Mohor7.027J. Mohor
J. Estacio6.65J. Estacio
J. Cazares7.316J. Cazares
M. Miranda7.310M. Miranda
A. I. Campana6.928A. I. Campana
F. Posse6.39F. Posse
M. Viera6.320M. Viera
Gabriel Brazao7.777G. Brazao
D. Fernandes6.927D. Fernandes
Willian AraoC7.215W. Arao
Joao Ananias7.026J. Ananias
Luan Peres7.514L. Peres
Gustavo Henrique6.948G. Henrique
C. Oliva6.928C. Oliva
Joao Schmidt7.05J. Schmidt
Rony6.311Rony
G. Caballero6.317G. Caballero
Thaciano6.516Thaciano

Macara Substitutes

12D. Cuero
26M. Medranda
4J. Jimenez
3J. Espinoza
50C. Caicedo
30T. Chamba
15M. Tello74'for J. Estacio6.7
22L. Ferro84'for A. I. Campana6.3
77J. Chala
87J. Klinger64'for M. Viera6.6
19P. Ramos

Santos Substitutes

1Diogenes
34Joao Paulo
42Joao Alencar
38Rafael Gonzaga46'for D. Fernandes6.9
81S. Pierri83'for C. Oliva6.7
30Miguelito74'for Thaciano6.6
39Pedro Assis90+1'for G. Caballero
7J. Robinho
32B. Rollheiser46'for Joao Ananias6.3
21Moises

Match Stats

MacaraSantos
56%Ball Possession44%
10Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal0
4Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box3
5Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
11Fouls11
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total Passes329
308Passes Accurate223
76%Pass Accuracy68%

Team Comparison

MacaraMacara
SantosSantos
1702Elo Rating 1771
1.44Attack 1.07
2.56Defense 1.96
100%Hit Rate 19%
13.1Shots per Game 16.8
5.0Shots on Target 5.9
3.9Corners per Game 5.7
1.9Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

MacaraMacara
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SantosSantos
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

MacaraMacara0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
SantosSantos1Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Referee Profile

Cristian Garay185 matches

4.64Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.34Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Cristian Garay4.64
Other referees5.44

4.64 cards a match, 0.80 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.44).

Cards come from 156 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MacaraMacara62406:3+310DDDWW
2TigreTigre62318:5+39WDDWL
3America de CaliAmerica de Cali62316:5+19DDWLW
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico60242:9-72LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MacaraMacara66:310
2TigreTigre68:59
3America de CaliAmerica de Cali66:59
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico62:92

Group D

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta61506:5+18WDDDD
2SantosSantos61418:6+27WDDDD
3San LorenzoSan Lorenzo61416:5+17LDDDW
4Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca61323:7-46LDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta66:58
2SantosSantos68:67
3San LorenzoSan Lorenzo66:57
4Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca63:76
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About the Macara vs Santos forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Macara have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Macara and Santos have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.