Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia Prediction

Vasco DA Gama
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Olimpia
Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro· Dario Herrera, Argentina 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel40%RiskHighGap+6.0%
Vasco DA Gama Rest
4 days
Olimpia Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.75
X
34%3.35
2
22%5.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.17
X2
56%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.15
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 0.84 = 2.23
Over 1.5
70%1.44
Over 2.5
38%2.39
Over 3.5
19%4.50
Under 1.5
30%2.62
Under 2.5
62%1.56
Under 3.5
81%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.5
57%1.45
Over 9.5
45%1.77
Over 10.5
34%2.23
Under 8.5
43%2.51
Under 9.5
55%1.97
Under 10.5
66%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.17
Over 4.5
57%1.48
Under 3.5
26%3.70
Under 4.5
43%2.35

Match Events

34'F. CardozoUnsportsmanlike conduct
34'Thiago MendesUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'J. RojasTripping
55'S. Quintana INF. Alfonso out
56'F. AlfonsoFoul
57'N. Moreira INM. Hinestroza out
57'Adson INC. Spinelli out
64'B. Romero INT. I. Caballero Fleytas out
64'R. Benitez INR. Lezcano out
67'Thiago Mendes INRamon Rique out
67'Cuiabano INLucas Piton out
84'David INLukas Zuccarello out
86'E. Delmas INA. F. Rodriguez Armoa out
86'R. Sanchez INR. Ortiz out

Lineups

Vasco DA Gama
4-3-3Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Olimpia
4-1-4-1Coach: Pablo Sanchez
Léo Jardim1L. JardimLéo Jardim
Puma Rodríguez2P. RodríguezPuma Rodríguez
Alan Saldivia4A. SaldiviaAlan Saldivia
Robert Renan30R. RenanRobert Renan
Cuiabano66CuiabanoCuiabano
Johan Rojas10J. RojasJohan Rojas
Cauan Barros88C. BarrosCauan Barros
Thiago Mendes23T. MendesThiago Mendes
Adson28AdsonAdson
David7DavidDavid
Nuno Moreira17N. MoreiraNuno Moreira
Gastón Olveira1G. OlveiraGastón Olveira
Raúl Cáceres27R. CáceresRaúl Cáceres
Brayan Bentaberry2B. BentaberryBrayan Bentaberry
Mateo Gamarra15M. GamarraMateo Gamarra
Esteban Matus23E. MatusEsteban Matus
Richard Sánchez26R. SánchezRichard Sánchez
Eduardo Delmas20E. DelmasEduardo Delmas
Fernando Cardozo7F. CardozoFernando Cardozo
Sebastián Quintana18S. QuintanaSebastián Quintana
Romeo Benítez37R. BenítezRomeo Benítez
Braian Romero31B. RomeroBraian Romero

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

18Marino HinestrozaF
77Claudio SpinelliF
6Lucas PitonD
83Ramon RiqueM
13Daniel FuzatoG
43Lucas FreitasD
82Riquelme AvellarD
80Bruno André Azevedo RibeiroD
96Paulo HenriqueD
86Lukas ZuccarelloM
67Samuel JesusM
3Tchê TchêM

Olimpia Substitutes

35Franco AlfonsoF
19Rubén LezcanoM
24Tiago CaballeroF
25Sebastián LentinellyG
14Gustavo VargasD
22Juan VeraD
4Tim PayneD
30Alan RodríguezD
17Pedro ZarzaF
6Richard OrtizM
9Hugo SandovalF
11Sebastián FerreiraF

Match Stats

Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
75%Ball Possession25%
11Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards2
21Total Shots2
7Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box1
6Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
4Fouls8
0Goalkeeper Saves7
608Total Passes216
546Passes Accurate123
90%Pass Accuracy57%

Team Comparison

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
OlimpiaOlimpia
1711Elo Rating 1649
1.29Attack 2.50
2.39Defense 1.99
58%Hit Rate 81%
15.9Shots per Game 14.7
5.3Shots on Target 6.0
5.7Corners per Game 5.1
3.0Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.1 in first half)
OlimpiaOlimpia
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Vasco DA Gama 46%Draw 0%54% Olimpia
3.54Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Dario Herrera, Argentina · 22 matches analysed

5.2Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
25.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 97% of referees analysed

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia641110:6+413WWWLD
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama631210:6+410WLWWL
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano62137:9-27LWLDW
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central60332:8-63LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia610:613
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama610:610
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano67:97
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central62:83
Promotion

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia Prediction

As a knockout-stage CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

ScorePredicts covers CONMEBOL Sudamericana across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Olimpia have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Vasco DA Gama and Olimpia have met 2 times recently, averaging 3.54 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.