Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Olimpia
1-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Vasco DA Gama
Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asuncion·Juan Gabriel Benitez, Paraguay 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap+7.5%
Olimpia Rest
4 days
Vasco DA Gama Rest
4 days

Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama: the result in context

Vasco DA Gama beat Olimpia 4-1 in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana on 20 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.60
X
31%3.08
2
37%2.83
Double Chance
1X
63%1.40
X2
68%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%1.91
No
55%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.15 = 2.56
Over 1.5
71%1.42
Over 2.5
38%2.32
Over 3.5
19%4.33
Under 1.5
29%2.78
Under 2.5
62%1.59
Under 3.5
81%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.3 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.70
Over 9.5
45%2.12
Over 10.5
34%2.70
Under 8.5
42%2.06
Under 9.5
55%1.65
Under 10.5
66%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.5 = 4
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
44%1.20
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
56%3.45

Match Events

15'E. Matus
22'Ramon RiqueFoul
29'Thiago MendesAssist: David
36'DavidAssist: J. Rodriguez
55'Andrés GómezFoul
55'F. Cardozo INH. Sandoval out
63'B. Romero INS. Ferreira out
63'Ramon Rique INTche Tche out
64'Hugo SandovalFoul
66'Brayan BentaberryArgument
70'AdsonAssist: Thiago Mendes
77'Goal cancelledHugo Sandoval
78'Thiago MendesArgument
79'A. Gomez INN. Moreira out
79'David INC. Spinelli out
80'B. Bentaberry ING. Vargas out
80'J. F. Alfaro INA. F. Franco Zayas out
80'E. Delmas INR. Lezcano out
83'Carlos CuestaFoul
84'C. SpinelliAssist: J. Rodriguez
86'Adson INLucas Freitas out
86'Robert Renan INPaulo Henrique out

Lineups

Olimpia
4-1-4-1Coach: Pablo Sanchez
Vasco DA Gama
4-3-3Coach: Pedro Emanuel
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating7.27
G. OlveiraC7.91G. Olveira
R. Caceres6.227R. Caceres
B. Bentaberry6.72B. Bentaberry
M. Gamarra6.615M. Gamarra
E. Matus6.723E. Matus
J. F. Alfaro6.95J. F. Alfaro
F. Cardozo6.27F. Cardozo
R. Sanchez6.726R. Sanchez
E. Delmas6.620E. Delmas
R. Benitez7.537R. Benitez
B. Romero6.331B. Romero
Leo Jardim8.31L. Jardim
J. Rodriguez8.32J. Rodriguez
C. Cuesta6.946C. Cuesta
Robert Renan7.630R. Renan
Cuiabano7.366Cuiabano
Ramon Rique6.283R. Rique
Cauan Barros7.088C. Barros
Thiago MendesC8.923T. Mendes
Adson8.028Adson
David7.27David
A. Gomez6.911A. Gomez

Olimpia Substitutes

25S. Lentinelly
4T. Payne
30A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
14G. Vargas80'for B. Bentaberry6.7
22J. Vera
6R. Ortiz
8A. F. Franco Zayas80'for J. F. Alfaro6.5
11S. Ferreira63'for B. Romero6.5
9H. Sandoval55'for F. Cardozo64'6.2
35F. Alfonso
19R. Lezcano80'for E. Delmas6.3
24T. I. Caballero Fleytas

Vasco DA Gama Substitutes

13Daniel Fuzato
6Lucas Piton
43Lucas Freitas86'for Adson6.6
96Paulo Henrique86'for Robert Renan6.3
82Riquelme Avellar
80B. Andre
86Lukas Zuccarello
67Samuel
3Tche Tche63'for Ramon Rique6.7
17N. Moreira79'for A. Gomez6.9
77C. Spinelli79'for David84'7.2
18M. Hinestroza

Match Stats

OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
57%Ball Possession43%
7Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
12Fouls9
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves6
428Total Passes337
337Passes Accurate263
79%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

OlimpiaOlimpia
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
1671Elo Rating 1722
1.80Attack 1.29
2.15Defense 0.71
50%Hit Rate 37%
23.1Shots per Game 15.5
6.1Shots on Target 3.4
5.7Corners per Game 4.1
2.5Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

OlimpiaOlimpia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

OlimpiaOlimpia1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

CONMEBOL Sudamericana14/08/2026
Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
00
CONMEBOL Sudamericana21/05/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
31
CONMEBOL Sudamericana01/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
30

Recent Form

OlimpiaOlimpia
5W1D4L
16/08/2026
OlimpiaSportivo Ameliano
21
W
14/08/2026
Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
00
D
08/08/2026
2 de MayoOlimpia
10
L
02/08/2026
OlimpiaRubio NU
50
W
29/07/2026
Nacional AsuncionOlimpia
20
L
26/07/2026
OlimpiaLibertad Asuncion
01
L
18/07/2026
FlamengoOlimpia
42
L
28/05/2026
OlimpiaA. Italiano
31
W
23/05/2026
Sportivo LuquenoOlimpia
12
W
21/05/2026
OlimpiaVasco DA Gama
31
W

Referee Profile

Juan Gabriel Benitez165 matches

4.26Cards per match
4.08Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Gabriel Benitez4.26
Other referees4.75

4.26 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.75).

Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia641110:6+413WWWLD
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama631210:6+410WLWWL
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano62137:9-27LWLDW
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central60332:8-63LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia610:613
2Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama610:610
3A. ItalianoA. Italiano67:97
4Barracas CentralBarracas Central62:83
Promotion

About the Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Olimpia and Vasco DA Gama in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Olimpia are 1st in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, 3 points ahead of Vasco DA Gama in 2nd. League goal record so far: Olimpia 10-6, Vasco DA Gama 10-6. The full standings are on the CONMEBOL Sudamericana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.