Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.64
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Atletico Nacional Rest
7 days
Deportes Tolima Rest
5 days
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: the result in context
Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima drew 0-0 in the Primera A on 9 Oct 2026. Atletico Nacional had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Deportes Tolima.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.64
X24%3.75
217%5.01
Double Chance
1X84%1.14
X241%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.78
No49%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.7 = 2.66
Over 1.576%1.25
Over 2.553%1.81
Over 3.531%3.00
Under 1.524%3.70
Under 2.547%1.93
Under 3.569%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.5 = 9.8
Over 8.560%1.47
Over 9.548%1.85
Over 10.536%2.28
Under 8.540%2.44
Under 9.552%1.87
Under 10.564%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 3 = 5.2
Over 3.576%-
Over 4.559%-
Under 3.524%-
Under 4.541%-
Match Events
45'Luis Sanchez INAdrián Parra out
45'Yeicar Perlaza INMateus Uribe out
54'Brayan RoviraDissent
59'Milton Casco INSamuel Velasquez Uribe out
59'Edwin Cardona INJuan Rengifo out
66'Shean Barbosa INEdwar López out
70'Jorman Campuzano INFelipe Marín out
74'Sergio Aguayo INLuis Sandoval out
87'Sebastian Guzman INJuan Jose Mera Gonzalez out
87'Ever Valencia INJader Valencia out
87'Ian Carlo Poveda INEmmanuel Benítez out
90+1'Homer MartinezDissent
Lineups
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima
4-2-3-1Coach: L. SuárezAvg ratingAvg rating
34F. Armani
6A. Román
3N. Parra
4C. Haydar
20M. Casco
21J. Campuzano
22E. Cabrera
27Y. Perlaza
23J. Rodríguez
10E. Cardona
99I. Poveda
1N. Volpi
33J. Mosquera
80B. Rovira
2A. Angulo
30S. P. Barbosa Gomez
32S. Guzmán
14H. Martínez
8E. Valencia
10L. Sánchez
20J. Hernández1515S. Aguayo
Atletico Nacional Substitutes
30K. Parra
19J. Rengifo59'for Edwin Cardona
31X. Rios
33S. Velásquez59'for Milton Casco
80J. Zapata
8M. Uribe45'for Yeicar Perlaza
26F. Marin70'for Jorman Campuzano
25L. Marquinez
32Emmanuel Benítez87'replaced by Ian Carlo Poveda
Deportes Tolima Substitutes
28E. López66'for Shean Barbosa
5J. Mera87'for Sebastian Guzman
34Gustavo Moreno
11J. Valencia87'for Ever Valencia
13M. Ortega
24A. Parra45'for Luis Sanchez
16V. Reyes
9L. Sandoval74'replaced by Sergio Aguayo
29Néifer Sánchez
Match Stats
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima 60%Ball Possession40%
4Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots2
12Fouls11
4Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves6
460Total Passes311
405Passes Accurate243
11Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima1735Elo Rating 1569
2.08Attack 1.01
2.24Defense 1.49
63%Hit Rate 0%
16.2Shots per Game 12.8
6.4Shots on Target 4.9
5.3Corners per Game 5.5
1.9Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+166 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportes Tolima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico Nacional5Wins · 50%Draws220%
Deportes Tolima3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
24/05/2026Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima31
17/05/2026Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional01
02/03/2026Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional10
03/08/2025Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional00
20/03/2025Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima43
23/12/2024Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima20
19/12/2024Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional11
15/11/2024Deportes TolimaAtletico Nacional10
28/04/2024Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima31
09/11/2023Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima23
Recent Form
Atletico Nacional7W2D1L
01/10/2026Atletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico Nacional
Millonarios
LlanerosAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico NacionalAtletico Nacional
Águilas DoradasAtletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional
Fortaleza FCAtletico Nacional
Atletico NacionalJunior31
W26/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Chapecoense-sc
25/09/2026Atletico NacionalChapecoense-sc11
DAtletico NacionalMillonarios11
D21/09/2026LlanerosAtletico Nacional20
L17/09/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional23
W13/09/2026Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas20
W08/09/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali30
W30/08/2026Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional15
W27/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
23/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali21
WFortaleza FCAtletico Nacional12
WDeportes Tolima2W4D4L
03/10/2026Deportes Tolima
ChicoDeportes Tolima
America de Cali
Santa FeDeportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
Cucuta
Independiente del ValleDeportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
BucaramangaDeportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle
Deportes TolimaChico00
D28/09/2026Fortaleza FCDeportes Tolima
21/09/2026Fortaleza FCDeportes Tolima22
DDeportes TolimaAmerica de Cali11
D17/09/2026
Once CaldasDeportes Tolima
12/09/2026Once CaldasDeportes Tolima10
LSanta FeDeportes Tolima10
L08/09/2026LlanerosDeportes Tolima
01/09/2026LlanerosDeportes Tolima12
WDeportes TolimaCucuta21
W26/08/2026Independiente del ValleDeportes Tolima31
L22/08/2026Deportes TolimaBucaramanga00
D19/08/2026Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle01
LReferee Profile
6.24Cards per match
5.80Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.09).
Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 |  Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DWDDL |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC 04/10/26
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira 04/10/26
- Bucaramanga vs Junior 05/10/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe 06/10/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas 10/10/26
- Once Caldas vs Llaneros 10/10/26
- Junior vs Internacional de Bogota 11/10/26
- Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima 11/10/26
About the Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional are 1st and Deportes Tolima 6th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Nacional 35-15, Deportes Tolima 27-17. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.