Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.9%
Deportivo Pasto Rest
8 days
Fortaleza FC Rest
6 days
Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC: the result in context
Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza FC drew 0-0 in the Primera A on 4 Oct 2026. Deportivo Pasto had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Fortaleza FC.
Deportivo Pasto have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 1.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.15
X29%3.20
228%3.40
Double Chance
1X72%1.29
X257%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.91
No50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.95 = 2.54
Over 1.569%1.40
Over 2.545%2.22
Over 3.525%4.04
Under 1.531%2.75
Under 2.555%1.62
Under 3.575%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.4 = 8.7
Over 8.553%1.85
Over 9.539%2.38
Over 10.532%3.26
Under 8.547%1.85
Under 9.561%1.48
Under 10.568%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 3.1 = 5.8
Over 3.583%-
Over 4.569%-
Under 3.517%-
Under 4.531%-
Match Events
45'Brandon Mejía INLeonardo Pico out
45'Patrick Preciado INMatias Pisano out
57'Mariano Vázquez INJhoiner Salas out
62'Enrique SerjeFoul
67'Enrique Serje INTomás Blandón Vélez out
69'Mateo GaravitoFoul
77'Jeferson MedinaFoul
78'Jordan Garcia INItalo Montano Cortes out
78'Diego Gabriel Chavez INHarrinson Mancilla out
78'Jonathan Perlaza INKevin Daniel Santacruz Andrade out
85'Sebastian Navarro INKevin Balanta out
85'Santiago Vivas Vélez INFranco Pulicastro out
90+4'Harrinson MancillaFoul
Lineups
Deportivo PastoFortaleza FC
4-1-4-1Coach: Diego AriasAvg ratingAvg rating
12G. Banguera
33M. Garavito
2F. Torijano
5N. Gil
27H. Goyes
7J. Perlaza
8E. Serje
25F. Leys
10D. Chávez
18J. Micolta
19P. Preciado
1W. Barlasina
16J. Cajares
6Y. Díaz
5J. Medina Obando
15S. Cuero
13B. Mejía3232M. Vázquez
8S. Navarro
28S. Vivas
25J. Garcia
9J. HerreraDeportivo Pasto Substitutes
24Kevin Daniel Santacruz Andrade78'replaced by Jonathan Perlaza
21Derik Osede
1E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
28Tomás Blandón Vélez67'replaced by Enrique Serje
11A. Ibargüen
15H. Mancilla78'for Diego Gabriel Chavez90+4'
17J. Mendez
3J. Ossa
32M. Pisano45'for Patrick Preciado
Fortaleza FC Substitutes
17K. Balanta85'for Sebastian Navarro
4E. Cabezas
2Andres Mosquera
7Í. Montaño78'for Jordan Garcia
14L. Pico45'for Brandon Mejía
19F. Pulicastro85'for Santiago Vivas Vélez
27J. Sinisterra
24J. Salas57'replaced by Mariano Vázquez
12C. Santander
Match Stats
Deportivo PastoFortaleza FC 49%Ball Possession51%
3Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots12
0Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
4Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots3
19Fouls13
3Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves0
384Total Passes398
314Passes Accurate328
12Free Kicks19
Team Comparison
Deportivo PastoFortaleza FC1434Elo Rating 1470
0.14Attack 1.20
1.47Defense 1.53
14%Hit Rate 0%
9.9Shots per Game 16.8
1.9Shots on Target 4.2
3.4Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 3.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fortaleza FC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Deportivo Pasto3Wins · 60%Draws120%
Fortaleza FC1Wins · 20%
1Wins · 20%1.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5
Previous meetings
25/03/2026Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto12
25/10/2025Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto20
04/05/2025Deportivo PastoFortaleza FC10
15/09/2024Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto00
05/03/2024Deportivo PastoFortaleza FC10
Recent Form
Deportivo Pasto2W2D6L
26/09/2026
ChicoDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
America de CaliDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de BogotaDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
LlanerosDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
MillonariosDeportivo Pasto
ChicoDeportivo Pasto30
L20/09/2026Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas10
W15/09/2026America de CaliDeportivo Pasto01
W10/09/2026Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
L06/09/2026
CucutaDeportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira12
L28/08/2026Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto11
D23/08/2026Deportivo PastoLlaneros01
L09/08/2026Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali02
L05/08/2026MillonariosDeportivo Pasto20
LFortaleza FC1W5D4L
28/09/2026Fortaleza FC
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza FCDeportes Tolima22
D20/09/2026Fortaleza FC
Junior
12/09/2026Fortaleza FCJunior14
L
JaguaresFortaleza FC22
D06/09/2026
Santa FeFortaleza FC22
D02/09/2026Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas12
L26/08/2026ChicoFortaleza FC00
D23/08/2026Fortaleza FC
Atletico Nacional12
L08/08/2026Fortaleza FCCucuta20
W04/08/2026LlanerosFortaleza FC31
L01/08/2026Fortaleza FCDeportivo Pereira00
DReferee Profile
4.43Cards per match
3.90Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.43 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.78).
Cards come from 21 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDL |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Atletico Nacional vs Junior 01/10/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar 03/10/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares 03/10/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Chico 03/10/26
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira 04/10/26
- Bucaramanga vs Junior 05/10/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe 06/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima 09/10/26
About the Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza FC in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Deportivo Pasto are 3rd and Fortaleza FC 15th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Pasto 29-25, Fortaleza FC 22-27. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.