Deportes Tolima vs Chico Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalHIGHModel70%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.77
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
Deportes Tolima Rest
5 days
Chico Rest
7 days
Deportes Tolima vs Chico: result, form and history
Deportes Tolima and Chico drew 0-0 in the Primera A on 3 Oct 2026. Chico had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Deportes Tolima.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
177%1.26
X15%5.25
28%11.00
Double Chance
1X92%1.04
X223%3.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes44%2.31
No56%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 0.74 = 2.82
Over 1.577%1.22
Over 2.554%1.77
Over 3.533%2.85
Under 1.523%3.90
Under 2.546%2.03
Under 3.567%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.8 + 3.5 = 10.3
Over 8.565%1.60
Over 9.554%2.01
Over 10.544%2.60
Under 8.535%2.17
Under 9.546%1.72
Under 10.556%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.573%-
Over 4.555%-
Under 3.527%-
Under 4.545%-
Match Events
9'Shean BarbosaFoul
45+1'Jacobo PimentelFoul
55'Cristian Blanco INDelio Ramírez out
56'Luis Sanchez INSergio Aguayo out
68'Sebastian Guzman INSantiago Joven Jiménez out
68'Jorge Hurtado INKelvin Flórez out
69'Jacobo Pimentel INsebastian viveros out
69'Alejandro Maya INFelipe Cifuentes out
73'Ever ValenciaFoul
78'Brayan Rovira INJader Valencia out
78'Ever Valencia INVictor Manuel Reyes Clavijo out
83'S. Mera INDaniel Polanco out
Lineups
Deportes TolimaChico
4-4-2Coach: J. GómezAvg ratingAvg rating
1N. Volpi
3J. Angulo
2A. Angulo
30S. P. Barbosa Gomez
33J. Mosquera
80B. Rovira
32S. Guzmán
8E. Valencia
7J. Cabezas
24A. Parra
10L. Sánchez
1D. Agudelo
24C. Mosquera
5J. Alomía
4J. Mena
14C. Blanco
17E. Sarria
8S. Salazar
6J. Díaz
16S. Mera2222A. Maya
21J. PimentelDeportes Tolima Substitutes
18K. Flórez68'for Jorge Hurtado
15Sergio Aguayo56'replaced by Luis Sanchez
19Joven Santiago68'for Sebastian Guzman
13M. Ortega
4D. Pedrozo
16V. Reyes78'for Ever Valencia
11J. Valencia78'for Brayan Rovira
26Nilder Yankarlos Zapata Olarte
Chico Substitutes
10Y. Cabrera
29Luis Carabalí
7F. Cifuentes69'replaced by Alejandro Maya
28Jesús Cárdenas
19J. Pimentel Betancourt
2D. Polanco83'for S. Mera
11D. Ramírez55'for Cristian Blanco
20sebastian viveros69'replaced by Jacobo Pimentel
12B. Zapata
Match Stats
Deportes TolimaChico 75%Ball Possession25%
10Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots1
6Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal0
13Shots Inside Box0
5Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots0
17Fouls8
6Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves6
585Total Passes204
510Passes Accurate112
8Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
Deportes TolimaChico1569Elo Rating 1451
1.01Attack 0.46
1.49Defense 1.60
0%Hit Rate 27%
12.8Shots per Game 10.6
4.9Shots on Target 3.4
5.5Corners per Game 5.2
3.3Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+118 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportes Tolima- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chico- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Deportes Tolima4Wins · 50%Draws225%
Chico2Wins · 25%
2Wins · 25%2.9Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8
Previous meetings
23/03/2026ChicoDeportes Tolima11
15/09/2025Deportes TolimaChico40
02/04/2025ChicoDeportes Tolima14
16/09/2024Deportes TolimaChico21
02/03/2024ChicoDeportes Tolima11
30/09/2023Deportes TolimaChico20
24/04/2023ChicoDeportes Tolima20
08/03/2021ChicoDeportes Tolima21
Recent Form
Deportes Tolima3W3D4L
28/09/2026
Fortaleza FCDeportes Tolima
21/09/2026Fortaleza FCDeportes Tolima22
DDeportes Tolima
America de Cali11
D17/09/2026
Once CaldasDeportes Tolima
12/09/2026Once CaldasDeportes Tolima10
L
Santa FeDeportes Tolima10
L08/09/2026
LlanerosDeportes Tolima
01/09/2026LlanerosDeportes Tolima12
WDeportes Tolima
Cucuta21
W26/08/2026
Independiente del ValleDeportes Tolima31
L22/08/2026Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga00
D19/08/2026Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle01
L09/08/2026Deportes Tolima
Internacional de Bogota21
WChico3W2D5L
26/09/2026Chico
Deportivo Pasto
MillonariosChicoChico
Alianza ValleduparChicoOnce Caldas
Águilas DoradasChicoChicoFortaleza FC
JaguaresChicoSanta FeChicoAmerica de CaliChico
ChicoDeportivo Pasto30
W19/09/2026MillonariosChico30
L16/09/2026ChicoAlianza Valledupar12
L13/09/2026Chico
Independiente Medellin
05/09/2026ChicoIndependiente Medellin21
WChicoOnce Caldas20
W30/08/2026Águilas DoradasChico22
D26/08/2026ChicoFortaleza FC00
D21/08/2026JaguaresChico10
L08/08/2026Santa FeChico20
L03/08/2026America de CaliChico70
LReferee Profile
5.99Cards per match
5.59Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.99 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).
Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WDWWL |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWLDW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DDDLD |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | LWWDD |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WDLLD |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | LDWLW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | WLWDL |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | DDLLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | WLDLL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | WDLWW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DWDDL |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30:13 | +17 | 32 | WDWWL |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:11 | +18 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | +9 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 25 | LWWDD |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22:21 | +1 | 23 | LDWLW |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | DDDLD |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18:22 | -4 | 17 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 15 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 15 | 30:13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 29:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 15 | 18:22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 15 | 19:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza Valledupar | 15 | 16:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 18:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 20:23 | 15 |
| 16 | Chico | 15 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 15 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios 30/09/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Junior 01/10/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar 03/10/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares 03/10/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC 04/10/26
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira 04/10/26
- Bucaramanga vs Junior 05/10/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe 06/10/26
About the Deportes Tolima vs Chico forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportes Tolima and Chico in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Deportes Tolima are 6th and Chico 18th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportes Tolima 27-17, Chico 15-32. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.