Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional Prediction

Arena da Baixada, Curitiba·Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima, Brazil 25/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.97
SignalNEUTRALModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Atletico Paranaense Rest
2 days
Internacional Rest
2 days

Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional: the result in context

Atletico Paranaense beat Internacional 2-0 in the Serie A on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.00
X
25%3.25
2
24%4.00
Double Chance
1X
76%1.23
X2
49%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.97
No
43%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1 = 2.48
Over 1.5
74%1.42
Over 2.5
55%2.30
Over 3.5
32%4.33
Under 1.5
26%2.80
Under 2.5
45%1.62
Under 3.5
68%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 3.9 = 8.8
Over 8.5
51%1.36
Over 9.5
39%1.63
Over 10.5
29%1.97
Under 8.5
49%2.85
Under 9.5
61%2.13
Under 10.5
71%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
71%1.30
Over 4.5
52%1.43
Under 3.5
29%3.30
Under 4.5
48%2.45

Match Events

45+1'LeozinhoAssist: K. Viveros
60'K. Viveros
62'Matheus Bahia INB. Aguirre out
63'F. Torres INBruno Henrique out
65'S. Mendoza INJoao Cruz out
69'Alerrandro INAlan Patrick out
81'Gilberto ING. Benavidez out
81'Leozinho INIsaac out
81'Jadson INJ. Portilla out
84'R. Villagra INJoao Bezerra out

Lineups

Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Coach: Joao Correia
Internacional
3-4-2-1Coach: Paulo Pezzolano
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating6.46
SantosC7.723Santos
Carlos Terán7.222C. Terán
Juan Felipe Aguirre7.333J. Felipe Aguirre
Lucas Esquivel7.637L. Esquivel
Gilberto7.712Gilberto
Jádson7.216Jádson
Luiz Gustavo7.014L. Gustavo
Claudinho6.926Claudinho
Leozinho8.721Leozinho
Steven Mendoza6.37S. Mendoza
Kevin Viveros7.99K. Viveros
AnthoniC6.912Anthoni
Félix Torres5.94F. Torres
Guillermo Maripán6.23G. Maripán
Jose Juninho5.918J. Juninho
Vitinho6.328Vitinho
Bruno Gomes6.715B. Gomes
Rodrigo Villagra6.95R. Villagra
Matheus Bahia6.56M. Bahia
Johan Carbonero6.67J. Carbonero
Alexandro Bernabei6.926A. Bernabei
Alerrandro6.09Alerrandro

Atletico Paranaense Substitutes

8João Cruz7.2
29Gastón Benavídez81'for Gilberto7.2
11Isaac81'replaced by Leozinho6.3
27Juan Portilla81'for Jadson6.5
42Matheus Soares
6Leonardo Derik
2Gilberto Junior
3Léo
53Dudu
63Diogo Riquelme
70Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno
19Jorge Rivaldo

Internacional Substitutes

35Braian Aguirre62'for Matheus Bahia6.6
8Bruno Henrique63'for F. Torres6.6
10Alan Patrick69'for Alerrandro6.6
49João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo84'for R. Villagra6.3
23Matheus Cunha
25Gabriel Mercado
53Luiz Felipe
46Pedro Kauã
31Allex
27Paulinho Paula
14Alan Rodríguez
54Fabricio Zechmeister do Prado

Match Stats

Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks7
14Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
11Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
13Fouls8
2Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
353Total Passes417
282Passes Accurate323
80%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
InternacionalInternacional
1673Elo Rating 1645
1.03Attack 1.22
1.07Defense 2.07
14%Hit Rate 46%
15.2Shots per Game 15.5
4.1Shots on Target 5.2
8.3Corners per Game 8.0
3.0Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
InternacionalInternacional
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense5Wins · 56%
Draws222%
InternacionalInternacional2Wins · 22%
2.1Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Serie A28/01/2026
InternacionalAtletico Paranaense
01
Serie A12/08/2024
InternacionalAtletico Paranaense
22
Serie A21/04/2024
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
10
Serie A22/09/2023
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
21
Serie A11/05/2023
InternacionalAtletico Paranaense
02
Serie A06/11/2022
InternacionalAtletico Paranaense
20
Serie A16/07/2022
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
00
Serie A13/11/2021
InternacionalAtletico Paranaense
21
Serie A25/07/2021
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
21

Recent Form

Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense
4W3D3L
23/07/2026
Sao PauloAtletico Paranaense
12
W
11/07/2026
RB BragantinoAtletico Paranaense
21
L
09/07/2026
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense
10
L
30/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseMirassol
10
W
18/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseFlamengo
11
D
15/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense
1040
W
11/05/2026
Vasco DA GamaAtletico Paranaense
10
L
03/05/2026
Atletico ParanaenseGremio
00
D
26/04/2026
Atletico ParanaenseVitoria
31
W
24/04/2026
Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Goianiense
00
D
InternacionalInternacional
4W2D4L
23/07/2026
InternacionalCruzeiro
12
L
31/05/2026
RB BragantinoInternacional
31
L
23/05/2026
VitoriaInternacional
20
L
16/05/2026
InternacionalVasco DA Gama
41
W
13/05/2026
InternacionalAthletic Club
32
W
09/05/2026
CoritibaInternacional
22
D
03/05/2026
InternacionalFluminense
20
W
25/04/2026
BotafogoInternacional
22
D
23/04/2026
Athletic ClubInternacional
12
W
19/04/2026
InternacionalMirassol
12
L

Referee Profile

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima170 matches

5.31Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima5.31
Other referees5.25

5.31 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo34237471:29+4276WWWWW
2PalmeirasPalmeiras342110362:23+3973WDWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro341861055:48+760WWWWL
4FluminenseFluminense34169955:42+1357WWLLL
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense341591051:43+854LLDLW
6BahiaBahia341411950:45+553LWDLW
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG341481244:40+450LLLWW
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino341381344:39+547WWLDW
9SantosSantos3412111150:49+147LDDWL
10Sao PauloSao Paulo341281439:39044DLDWW
11BotafogoBotafogo341191446:53-742WLLWD
12CoritibaCoritiba341191440:51-1142LWLLD
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama331181443:50-741WLWLD
14MirassolMirassol3410101439:48-940WLDWL
15VitoriaVitoria341081635:51-1638LLDDL
16InternacionalInternacional349111438:42-438WLWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians349101536:42-637DWLDL
18GremioGremio349101538:47-937LWWLD
19RemoRemo346111737:57-2029LWLDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc33492033:68-3521LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3471:2976
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3462:2373
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3455:4860
4FluminenseFluminense3455:4257
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3451:4354
6BahiaBahia3450:4553
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3444:4050
8RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3444:3947
9SantosSantos3450:4947
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3439:3944
11BotafogoBotafogo3446:5342
12CoritibaCoritiba3440:5142
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3343:5041
14MirassolMirassol3439:4840
15VitoriaVitoria3435:5138
16InternacionalInternacional3438:4238
17CorinthiansCorinthians3436:4237
18GremioGremio3438:4737
19RemoRemo3437:5729
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3333:6821
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Paranaense vs Internacional forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Atletico Paranaense and Internacional in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atletico Paranaense are 5th and Internacional 16th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Paranaense 51-43, Internacional 38-42. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.